Miguel cucho

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@KillaXBT That is why people will add more short and not trust the weekend pump, and it turns out that the plan is to get them stopped out. Let it pumpppp

Never trust a $BTC weekend pump.

Nobody is talking about what actually happened in the market yesterday. $2.6 trillion in S&P 500 call options traded in a single day. One day. The highest number ever recorded in market history. The chart goes back to 1999. Nothing comes close. Here is what that means in plain English. A call option is a bet that prices go higher. When traders buy millions of these bets at once, the market makers who sold those bets are forced to buy the actual stocks to protect themselves. That buying pushes prices up, which makes more people buy calls, which forces more stock buying. The loop feeds itself. The market goes up not because of fundamentals. It goes up because of pure mechanical force. 60% of all S&P options traded yesterday were calls. Not a normal day. Not even close. Goldman Sachs had a name for it. Their own traders called it a "semi-irrational chasing mode." That is Wall Street's polite way of saying the market has lost its mind a little. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index RSI just hit its highest level since 1999. That was the dot-com peak. Nobody is saying this is 1999. But the market itself is drawing the comparison. Here is the risk nobody wants to say out loud. When options expire or positions unwind, the mechanical buying stops. And it can reverse just as fast as it started. The rally is real. The all-time highs are real. But $2.6 trillion in one day tells you this move is running on jet fuel, not fundamentals. What happens when the tank runs empty?

@MudaFederico @CdeCriptoz Vaya error tomar el sp500 como activo para jubilarte mientras esta en máximos históricos

@CdeCriptoz Yo creo y lo e hablado con muchas personas el Syp500 lo hemos tomado todos como fondo de pensión igual que el Nasdaq aunque esté más volatil, partiendo por eso dudo que ambos caigan como en otros tiempos, por qué literal dejaría a varias personas sin jubilaciones sería un caos.

"La economía de Estados Unidos esta mal, el SP500 y el Nasdaq no pueden estar en ATH" Hermano: - No estamos en QT (casi QE) - El PMI esta en expansion económica - El VIX esta por debajo de 20 - Desempleo estable - M0, M1, M2 en aumento - Liquidez Mundial en aumento - Dólar perdiendo fuerza ¿Saben cuando realmente estuvo mal? Desde el 2022 hasta finales del 2025 y lo peor del caso es que el mercado pudo subir con eso.

We are in the middle of one of the greatest wealth creation events in human history. And it’s getting late. Let me put this in perspective. The pattern has repeated 3 times since 1900. The market grinds higher for 15-20 years. Builds enormous wealth. Then flatlines, resets, or crashes. Sits dead for a decade or more. Then a new multi-decade bull run begins. Bull Run #1 – 1949 to 1966 Came out of the ashes of WW2 and the Great Depression. 17 years. S&P compounded at 11.4% per year. Total gain: over 500%. Then 1966 hit. Stagflation. Vietnam. The Fed tightened. The next 16 years – 1966 to 1982 – the market went essentially nowhere. Flat. Bleeding. A generational dead zone. Bull Run #2 – 1982 to 2000 Volcker killed inflation. Valuations were at multi-decade lows. The Dow went from 776 to 11,722. 1,409% in 18 years. Then the dot-com bubble burst in March 2000. Two crashes followed. The S&P delivered -3% annualized from 2000 to 2009. Another lost decade. Bull Run #3 – 2009 to now. March 9, 2009. S&P bottoms at 676. The world looked like it was ending. Since then – over 940% total return. 14.55% per year on average. For 17 years straight. The COVID dip in 2020 was the first real scare. Recovered in months. Every correction got bought. Every dip felt like the end. None of them were. Until one of them is. The last two secular bulls lasted 17 and 18 years. Both ended when nobody expected it. Both ended with euphoria at the top. We are 17 years in. AI is real. The earnings are real. The momentum is real. But so is the valuation. So is the leverage. So is the retail participation. The fuel that drives a bull market to its peak is the same fuel that makes the crash brutal. Risk/reward from here is the worst it’s been since 2000. You’re not being paid enough to take on full exposure right now. A 10% upside from here vs a potential 30-40%+ drawdown if the cycle turns? The people who got destroyed in 2000 and 2008 weren’t idiots. They just didn’t have dry powder when it mattered most. Dry powder is not dead money right now. It’s optionality. It’s the ability to buy at prices that don’t exist yet. It’s what separates the people who survive the reset from the ones who need 10 years just to break even. The pattern always completes. The question is whether you’re positioned for what comes after the top, not just before it. Stay sharp. Protect the gains. Keep powder dry. History doesn’t lie. I will share a full report on this later. Notifications ON, this is very important.

@EricG230143 @KillaXBT You definitely have 3 brain cells and 2 of those are fighting the third one

@KillaXBT You're mistaken, most people are trying to short BTC.

Why is everyone targeting $80K+? Here’s the answer: The last major exhaustion gap formed around $84K over the weekend, right before the waterfall move down. What most people are missing is this: back in 2022, we saw two very similar CME gaps. - One took 290 days to fill - The other took over 500 days Right now, $BTC is following 2022 almost perfectly. If that continues, it suggests the $84K gap won’t be filled anytime soon, likely months down the line. And if that’s the case, it points to one thing: The local top may be much closer than people think.

🚨 THE FED IS NOW PRIVATELY PREPARING FOR A POSSIBLE $2 TRILLION CREDIT MARKET COLLAPSE. For the first time in over a decade, the Fed has started directly asking U.S. banks to hand over their exposure numbers to the private credit market. This is the exact move regulators make when they stop trusting public numbers and start preparing for real stress. Bloomberg reported on April 11 that the Fed has formally reached out to major U.S. banks for detailed information on how much risk they're carrying from private credit firms, and whether stress inside that sector could spread into the wider financial system. Here's why this is happening now. Over the past few weeks, three of the largest private credit funds in the market have limited investor withdrawals: - Blue Owl Capital restricted redemptions on its $14B fund - BlackRock capped withdrawals on its $26B HPS Corporate Lending Fund after investors requested $1.2B in redemptions - Cliffwater capped withdrawals on its $33B fund after investors tried to pull 14% and only 7% was allowed to exit Three of the biggest names in the industry, all hitting redemption limits within a short period. That's not random. That's investors trying to get out faster than the funds can return their money. At the same time, Apollo executive John Zito publicly said private equity marks are wrong across the board. He said he "literally thinks all the marks are wrong." His estimate: loans to a typical mid size software company bought between 2018 and 2022 could recover only 20 to 40 cents on the dollar in a slowdown. That implies losses of 60 to 80 percent. So the pattern: - Investors trying to withdraw from private credit funds - Funds blocking those withdrawals - A senior Apollo executive saying valuations across the industry aren't real - The Treasury calling a meeting with insurance regulators this month to discuss the $2T private credit market - The Fed directly asking banks for their exposure numbers Now here's why this matters far beyond the U.S. Private credit has grown to around $2T over the past decade, but it's not isolated. It sits in the middle of the global financial system. Pension funds, insurance companies, sovereign wealth funds, and foreign banks all have money parked in these funds because they were marketed as higher yielding and more stable than public bonds. If valuations are revised down the way Apollo's own executive is suggesting, the losses don't stay with a handful of U.S. firms. They flow directly into: - Public and private pension funds across Europe, Canada, Japan, and the Gulf that allocated heavily to private credit for yield - Insurance companies, some of the largest buyers of private credit whose solvency ratios are tied to these valuations - Banks in the U.S., Europe, and Asia that lend to the private credit firms themselves, which is exactly what the Fed is now trying to measure Most people miss this part. A private credit fund limiting withdrawals isn't just a problem for that fund. The banks lend to the funds. The funds lend to private equity. Private equity owns thousands of mid sized companies. Those companies employ millions. When valuations at the top are wrong, the entire chain underneath is mispriced. The exposure also ties directly into the AI infrastructure buildout. Blue Owl alone is behind some of the largest AI infrastructure deals in the world: - $27B joint venture with Meta in Louisiana - $15B deal with Crusoe in Texas - $5B backing CoreWeave Oracle now carries over $100B in debt, much tied to AI infrastructure that will take years to generate returns. Companies like CoreWeave, Crusoe, and others are funding their buildouts through private credit rather than public bond markets. The structure works as long as AI revenue grows fast enough to service the debt. If it slows, the stress doesn't stay in tech stocks. It moves straight into the credit side of the system, which is the exact part the Fed is now trying to get a clearer picture of. Globally, this is also colliding with: - Japan dealing with the weakest yen in decades and rising bond yields - Europe trying to manage weak growth and stretched sovereign balance sheets - China still working through its own property and local government debt problems - A U.S. consumer already showing signs of strain at the lower end The world financial system has been running on elevated debt and loose valuations for years. Private credit is one of the largest and least transparent parts of that system. If the valuations are wrong, if redemptions keep accelerating, and if AI revenue assumptions disappoint, losses could cascade through pensions, insurers, and banks across multiple countries at the same time. Fed Chair Jerome Powell said last month he doesn't currently see private credit issues infecting the wider financial system. St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said stress is "largely limited" to the sector. But the fact the Fed is now pulling exposure numbers directly from banks suggests the central bank wants to verify that for itself rather than take those statements at face value. And this happens when regulators are no longer comfortable being surprised by what they find later. If stress inside this $2T market turns into actual losses, it won't stay inside the U.S., and it won't stay inside one sector. It will move through pensions, insurers, banks, and AI infrastructure debt across the global system at the same time.

@BitunixES Eso no es para nada seguro :v

ÚNETE A LA CONVERSACIÓN 🛡️ El eterno debate sobre el portafolio ideal: 🔹 Unos dicen que ser un "Bitcoin Maximalist" es la única forma de sobrevivir a largo plazo. 🔹 Otros que la verdadera riqueza está en la diversificación y en buscar la próxima gran altcoin. Pregunta del día: ¿Tu portafolio es 100% "seguro" o eres de los que diversifican hasta en los sueños? 💰🧐 ¿De qué lado estás? 👇

@maxpain_crypto @NoLimitGains You are funny

@NoLimitGains #Bitcoin next.

I knew this wouldn’t end well. I feel sorry for everyone who bought VCX based on the hype and is now down 80% in 3 days. Big lesson right there.

@BitunixES Las tecnológicas como estas, son las que valen la pena tener en cuenta

¡Alerta de Listado! 🚀 $PLTR ya está disponible en Futuros. ¡Opera en cualquier momento y lugar — maximiza tus estrategias! 🔹 Futuros: bitunix.com/p/7n0N

@BitunixES Las alternativas a las compañías americanas me gustan, lo mejor es expandirse a otros mercados

¡Alerta de Listado! 🚀 $PAYP ya está disponible en Futuros. ¡Opera en cualquier momento y lugar — maximiza tus estrategias! 🔹 Futuros: bitunix.com/p/4H2p

@BitunixES Más opciones para tradear más potencial para aprender como se mueven cada activo 🔥

¡Alerta de Listado! 🚀 $BSB ya está disponible en Spot y Futuros. ¡Opera en cualquier momento y lugar — maximiza tus estrategias! 🔹 Spot: bitunix.com/p/9V5p 🔹 Futuros: bitunix.com/p/7l4x

@BitunixES Primera vez que puedo tradear con palanca a mi quérido Facebook

¡Alerta de Listado! 🚀 $META ya está disponible en Futuros. ¡Opera en cualquier momento y lugar — maximiza tus estrategias! 🔹 Futuros: bitunix.com/p/3V0h

@BitunixES Por los mal que están las criptos lo mejor es entrar en otros mercados o empresas

¡Alerta de Listado! 🚀 $GOOGL ya está disponible en Futuros. ¡Opera en cualquier momento y lugar — maximiza tus estrategias! 🔹 Futuros: bitunix.com/p/9V1i

@BitunixES Bitunix va para arriba pero Bitcoin va para abajo me gusta me no me agrada del todo

¡Ciudad de México, el día ha llegado! 🇲🇽 Del 26 al 28 de marzo, sumérgete en una experiencia de trading sin precedentes. La agenda está lista y los motores ya están encendidos. 🚀 Mantente atento a nuestras redes; estaremos soltando las últimas actualizaciones minuto a minuto. ¡El juego acaba de empezar! 📊