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Names that I am watching for next week and general market thoughts 👀
$SPY & $QQQ made new lows for the year on Friday, Oil trading near its swing-highs, VIX first close > 30$ in the current down-cycle, S&P 500 breadth indicators (S5TW, S5FI) are looking horrible, bonds $TLT also trading at the lows for the year - not a lot of reasons to be positive here, right?
I think there are some. Small-Caps $IWM did not make a new low of the move last week which indicates that $MAGS are a big driver of the weakness in $SPY & the $Qs. Also, historically the current levels of S5TW & S5FI indicate that a bounce is imminent. Sentiment also getting really negative here from what I am seeing/reading. Last but not least, Trump seems to be eager to TACO, I expect him to succeed with this eventually. I don't have a crystal ball unfortunately, I just think that turning all bearish NOW is a bit late …
Which stocks/sectors am I watching for a possible market-bounce-play next week?
Semis $XSD $SMH
Within Tech Optics is the last Theme standing from what I am seeing. $CIEN $LITE $GLW $VIAV are the names I am liking most to play a possible market bounce next week. Names within the datacenter cooling theme like $MOD $NVT are also holding up well.
Software $IGV
There appear to be some clear winners of the “agent-economy” which we are entering right now (at least in the markets). $AKAM & $NET held up really well within the $CBR group. $FSLY & $DOCN are the strongest names within cloud infrastructure for now. I expect them to see more upside if markets stabilize.
Winners of the conflict $XLE $PXE Chemicals
I think these groups are extended to the upside for now, therefore not watching them for an entry next week. However, by observing stocks like $CF $XOM $VLO $LYB etc. you can sense if the market is expecting more escalation (they rise) or decreasing tensions (they drop). Therefore one can use this group as an additional “indicator” for a potential MR move.
You can see my complete Watchlist in the Screenshot below 👇
(The Watchlist is tailored around possible continuation moves for (long-side-monetum) trend following strategies)
Have a great week guys :)

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