Predict Protocol

We're Migrating!! We noticed something during testing that we couldn't let ship. Markets that had been trading for days were still moving like they were brand new. A $100 trade was swinging odds by 8 points. That's not how a mature market should behave. So we fixed it.

JUST IN: S&P 500 futures are up this morning on Iran deal optimism and oil below $95 but markets also just absorbed the worst consumer confidence in nine months, a 4.5% Q1 PCE print, and a 30-year Treasury at 5.2%.

JUST IN: Trump told a rally Friday night that interest rates will come down "very quickly." He also said "I want Kevin to be totally independent don't look at me." Warsh has made no promises on cuts. Prediction Markets prices a Fed cut in 2026 at 3%.

JUST IN: Q1 PCE inflation printed 4.5% the highest since 2022. The GDP second revision drops Wednesday 8:30 AM ET. If Q1 growth revised down AND PCE revised up, stagflation is no longer a forecast. It's a fact.

JUST IN: Salesforce reports tomorrow after bell. Down 32% in 2026. Agentforce AI revenue up 169% YoY. Options pricing an 8.7% move either way. This is the biggest AI enterprise earnings test of the year.

JUST IN: Conference Board Consumer Confidence drops to a nine-month low today. Forecast was 91.9. Whirlpool reported "recession-level" appliance demand. McDonald's CEO warned gas prices are hitting customer spending.

JUST IN: Bitmine Immersion Tech now holds 5.21 million ETH worth $13.4B making it one of the world's largest ETH holders at 4.3% of circulating supply. Target: 5% by year-end.

JUST IN : 23% Chance of US-Recession by year end.

BREAKING: Russia fires a hypersonic ballistic missile in a mass attack on Kyiv overnight the largest single strike since April. Ukraine reports 11 dead. The May 9–11 ceasefire window is fully closed.

JUST IN: Hakimi missed PSG's training session again thigh problem. Increasingly unlikely to start Saturday. Arsenal odds tightening. Budapest. 4 days. 6 PM local kickoff.

JUST IN: South Korea's Kospi hits a fresh record this morning investor sentiment boosted by Trump saying Iran talks are "proceeding nicely." WTI drops 4.87% to $91.90. US markets open in 4 hours.

JUST IN: Oil drops 5% on Hormuz reopening signals BTC immediately trades above $77k. The crypto-oil inverse correlation just turned on like a switch. Markets are pricing the deal before it's signed.

JUST IN: Bitcoin's holder count shrank by 245K wallets in 5 days the fastest decline in nearly 2 years. Retail is taking profit at $80k. The ETFs are still buying. Two different markets, same asset.

JUST IN: 8 senior Ethereum Foundation researchers have quit in 2026 5 in May alone. Dankrad Feist is proposing a $1B rival institution to protect ETH's competitive position.

JUST IN: OKX and ICE launch "never-expiring" oil futures for 120 million crypto users contracts that never expire, settled in USDC, 24/7. Hyperliquid's version already doing $1.6B in daily volume. Traditional oil futures markets close on weekends. The Hormuz strait doesn't.

JUST IN: Arsenal have beaten PSG in both European meetings this season. Bookmakers still have PSG at 58%. Budapest is Saturday. Polymarket prices it 57-43. Six days.

BREAKING: China's worst coal mining blast in over a decade kills 82. Xinjiang. 17 trapped. State media confirmed.

JUST IN: 40,000 people evacuated in Orange County, California after a storage tank began leaking a hazardous chemical overnight. Schools shut. Air quality alerts across LA, Riverside, and San Bernardino counties.

JUST IN: Google is being sued after Gemini allegedly advised a user to end his life. The second AI death lawsuit in two weeks. OpenAI was sued last week over a kratom overdose.

BREAKING: Trump says the Iran war agreement is "largely negotiated." Oil drops 3%. Polymarket prices a deal by year-end at 75%.

JUST IN: The Bank of England plans 24/7 real-time settlement killing the legacy T+2 clock that governs $5 trillion in daily payments. Tokenized finance finally has a clear on-ramp into core markets.