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AlphaTarget's Process: How We Invest -🧵 -
1/ Why Stocks?
History shows that stocks are the best-performing asset class over the long term, significantly outperforming bonds, gold, and cash. But the stock market is volatile. To harness its power, we focus on disruptive, high-growth companies with substantial long-term potential.
2/ What We Look For
We prefer founder-led businesses, as CEOs with skin in the game often deliver superior returns. We target disruptive, rapidly growing companies at the forefront of secular trends redefining how people live, work, and play—allocating capital to dominant businesses in these spaces.
3/ How We Invest
Our portfolio typically holds 15-20 carefully chosen, capital-light companies with high margins, strong free cash flow, and preferably recurring revenue. We monitor our holdings closely and sell when operating results, management, or prospects deteriorate. We also use Stage Analysis, holding stocks during "Stage 1" bases and "Stage 2" uptrends, selling when they form "Stage 3" tops.
4/ Dynamic Portfolio Management
If we find a new idea better than our weakest holding, we rotate capital into the new opportunity. This ensures our portfolio remains focused on the best opportunities at all times. During "Stage 2" uptrends, when our stocks are over-extended, we may trim our positions and when they become oversold, we add to our high-conviction holdings. When our stocks start forming "Stage 3" tops, we cash out and lock-in our gains.
5/ Handling Market Volatility
Stock market cycles bring booms and busts. To protect our portfolio:
🔹 We use trend-following indicators to hedge during downtrends by shorting index futures or ETFs.
🔹In euphoric markets, we may sell and hold cash to mitigate risks.
6/ What We Avoid
No options, no short-selling individual stocks, no short-term trades. We stay focused on investing for the long term, aligning with trends to maximise upside and protect downside.
In Summary
By combining fundamental analysis (investing in promising, rapidly growing businesses), Stage Analysis, and systematic hedging, we aim to generate long-term alpha. Our team publishes deep research on our portfolio companies and our subscribers get exclusive access to our holdings, real-time portfolio moves and our systematic hedging strategy: alphatarget.com
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