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Fed Minutes Says Most Participants Were Concerned A Protracted Conflict Could Lead To Further Labor Market Softening, Which Could Warrant Additional Rate Cuts; Many Participants Saw Risk Of Inflation Remaining Elevated For Longer Than Expected Amid Persistent Oil Price Increase Which Could Call For Rate Hikes; Vast Majority Of Participants Noted Progress Towards 2% Inflation Target Could Be Slower Than Expected, Saw Higher Risk Of Inflation Running Persistently Above Target $SPY

Fed Minutes Says These Participants Generally Viewed Current Policy Rate As Within Plausible Level Of Neutral Rate; Most Participants Said It Was Too Early To Know How Middle East Developments Would Affect U.S. Economy; Vast Majority Of Participants Saw Upside Risks To Inflation And Downside Risks To Employment As Elevated; Majority Of Participants Saw Risks Had Increased With Middle East Developments

Fed Minutes Shows Growing Number Of Policymakers Saw A 'Strong' Case For Two-sided Description For Future Interest Rate Decisions; Says A Couple Of Participants Pushed Their Assessments For Timing Of Rate Cuts Further Into The Future; Many Participants Judged It Would Likely Become Appropriate To Lower Rates If Inflation Were To Decline In Line With Expectations; Almost All Participants Supported No Rate Cut At March Meeting

Iran's Press TV Posts On X: 'Commander Of The IRGC's Aerospace Force, Brigadier General Seyyed Majid Mousavi, Says An Attack On Hezbollah Is An Attack On Iran, Adding That Iran Is Preparing A Heavy Response To The Zionist Regime's Brutal Crimes'

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Iran's PressTV Posts On X "Top Official: Iran will punish Zionist terrorist entity for aggression against Hezbollah in violation of ceasefire"

Trump: Peace talks to start in Pakistan very soon - NYP

Several Vessels In The Gulf Receive Messages Claiming To Be From Iran Navy Saying Hormuz Is Still Closed; Iran Navy Message Says Ship Owners Need To Receive Permission From Iran To Transit Or They Will Be Targeted And Destroyed

Iran's National Security Committee spokesperson Razaei says ship movement through the Strait of Hormuz "must be stopped immediately" in response to Israeli strikes on Lebanon. "Either a ceasefire on all fronts, or no ceasefire on any front," Razaei said. Netanyahu's office said earlier today that the ceasefire does not include Lebanon.

🚨 Ceasefire in Iran → MASSIVE gap ups across the market. Our swings cooking! $MU 400C 4/6 $2.99 → $18.00 (+502%) $MU 400C 4/6 $6.90 → $17.88 (+159%)

Iran demands $1 per barrel on oil transiting the Strait of Hormuz — payment to be made in cryptocurrency: FT

*First ship passes through the strait of hormuz with Iran’s permission after the ceasefire - state TV

Iran has accepted Pakistan's two-week ceasefire proposal. The deal was personally approved by Iran's new supreme leader, per NYT.

New Truth: "Based on conversations with Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Field Marshal Asim Munir, of Pakistan, and wherein they requested that I hold off the destructive force being sent tonight to Iran, and subject to the Islamic Republic of Iran agreeing to the COMPLETE, IMMEDIATE, and SAFE OPENING of the Strait of Hormuz, I agree to suspend the bombing and attack of Iran for a period of two weeks. This will be a double sided CEASEFIRE! The reason for doing so is that we have already met and exceeded all Military objectives, and are very far along with a definitive Agreement concerning Longterm PEACE with Iran, and PEACE in the Middle East. We received a 10 point proposal from Iran, and believe it is a workable basis on which to negotiate. Almost all of the various points of past contention have been agreed to between the United States and Iran, but a two week period will allow the Agreement to be finalized and consummated. On behalf of the United States of America, as President, and also representing the Countries of the Middle East, it is an Honor to have this Longterm problem close to resolution. Thank you for your attention to this matter! President DONALD J. TRUMP"

Senior Iranian Official: Tehran positively reviewing Pakistan’s request for a two-week ceasefire.

Prime Minister Of Pakistan Shehbaz Sharif Implores President Trump To Extend Strike Deadline For Two Weeks, And Asks Iran To Open Strait Of Hormuz In X Post $SPY

Iran’s UN ambassador says UN secretary-general’s personal envoy currently en route to tehran to pursue consultations

STATE-RUN TEHRAN TIMES NEWSPAPER ON X: DIPLOMATIC AND INDIRECT CHANNELS OF TALKS WITH THE US ARE NOT CLOSED

NY Fed Says March Year Ahead Expected Inflation 3.4% Versus 3% In February; March 3-Year Ahead Expected Inflation 3.1% Versus 3% In February; March 5-Year Ahead Expected Inflation Unchanged At 3%; March Year Ahead Expected House Price Rise 3.3% Versus February 3%; March Year Ahead Expected Gasoline Price Inflation Highest Since March 2022; In March, Consumer Expectations About Job Market Prospects Mixed; In March Households More Pessimistic About Current And Future Financial Situations

📊 NY Fed 1-Year Inflation Expectations (March) Actual: 3.4% vs 3.0% prior ⬆️ Takeaway: Inflation expectations ticking higher again. When consumers expect higher prices… it can become self-fulfilling: • Spending changes • Wage pressure builds • Inflation stays sticky This is something the Fed watches closely. Not what the market wants to see… and adds to the uncertainty.