Stephen Koukoulas

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Stephen Koukoulas

Stephen Koukoulas

@TheKouk

Federal Treasury, Head of Global Strategy TD London, Advisor to PM, punter. Speaker. MD Market Economics.

Katılım Mayıs 2009
2K Takip Edilen64.7K Takipçiler
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Stephen Koukoulas
Stephen Koukoulas@TheKouk·
My 2026 forecasts: GDP H1 lifts to 2.5%; sub 2.0% in H2 Unemployment rate to 5% Inflation eases 2.0 to 2.25% Wages growth soggy at 3% RBA cuts to 3.10% 10 yr bonds 4.00% AUD lifts to 75 c House prices – no change, downside risks ASX200 – below 8,000 youtube.com/watch?v=u6007K…
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TheSwingState
TheSwingState@The_SwingState·
@TheKouk business that created something and employed people?
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Stephen Koukoulas
Stephen Koukoulas@TheKouk·
Most of those ferociously complaining about the budget have never worked in public policy, never had to consider balancing the huge issues in a $800 billion a year budget, never implemented reforms that impact all 28 million Australians, never copped the public hate campaigns against them & their families. We are seeing the lid being lifted on the priorities of those people.
christopher joye@cjoye

But they have never worked a day in the private sector; never started a business; built a new product or service; hired a single soul from their hip pocket; or struggled for years, always at risk of going under… What we are seeing is the lid being lifted on those who have always lived completely taxpayer-funded lives trying to take and tax as much as possible to feather the public sector nest. They have never known what it is like to draw a private wage and/or profit. They think it is a zero sum game: any private income, profit or capital gain needs to be redistributed back to government and its dependents. It is the only way they know how to make money: by taxing private citizens and corporations to fund the public oligarchy and its way of life…

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Stephen Koukoulas
Stephen Koukoulas@TheKouk·
Number of new company starts up has boomed over the last few years. It's likely to slow in line with the economic downturn sparked by high interest rates, oil and fiscal tightening
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Stephen Koukoulas
Stephen Koukoulas@TheKouk·
It's a huge week ahead for local data: Monthly inflation, household spending, construction work and the all important CAPEX.
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farmercate
farmercate@farmercate2·
@TheKouk Just like they were irrelevant in Farrer. 🥴
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Stephen Koukoulas
Stephen Koukoulas@TheKouk·
If an election was being held today, we would have had 6 weeks of an election campaign, a year or more of the govt working to build its support and the opinion polls we are now seeing would be totally irrelevant
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Stephen Koukoulas
Stephen Koukoulas@TheKouk·
Even Demétre Chiparus' dancer is getting ready for Scott Pendlebury 433 #GoPies
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Stephen Koukoulas
Stephen Koukoulas@TheKouk·
I have never known anyone to reject a pay rise because it put them in a higher income tax bracket. It would be illogical to do so
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Stephen Koukoulas
Stephen Koukoulas@TheKouk·
@cmkusher Ha - you are a young whipper-snapper. In Canberra, late 70s/early 80s - a jug at the Boot & Flogger and the Wello (Wellington) was $2.75. I will not mention how we all got home
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Cameron Kusher
Cameron Kusher@cmkusher·
When I was 18 here were the options any night of the week, cheaper on Thursdays and many bars had different specials on different nights . $2.50 beers and basic spirits $10 jugs of beer. A cab home about 15 min drive from the CBD was $12. I am 45 this year but this is why people drink a lot less.
S.🎧@1ssve

Serious Question: The alcohol industry has lost $830 billion in the last 4 years, because Gen Z is not drinking. Why do you think they aren’t drinking?

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Stephen Koukoulas
Stephen Koukoulas@TheKouk·
Horse racing watch: Forget CGT, negative gearing! The last at Randwick tomorrow is sponsored by Wilson Asset Management @GeoffWilsonWAM I am going through the form. Top tips at this stage: Mafia $17.00 Anything Goes $61.00 Comedy $31.00 Tax free gains if you find the winner.
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Stephen Koukoulas
Stephen Koukoulas@TheKouk·
Govt debt update: $969.2 billion as of today. $3.0 billion of new borrowing next week, with no maturities
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Stephen Koukoulas
Stephen Koukoulas@TheKouk·
I took Matt Barrie's advice: Bought a Powerball ticket ... and he is correct! I spent $56.60 on a Powerball ticket & got back $14.60 - a loss of only 74% If I had bought shares in Freelancer - his company - in 2015, I would have lost 95% of my money. Massive out-performance from Powerball!
The Australian@australian

Tech chief Matt Barrie says Australians now have better odds growing wealth through Powerball and poker than investing in shares under proposed tax changes. Exclusive: bit.ly/3RaPysU

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Stephen Koukoulas
Stephen Koukoulas@TheKouk·
Market moves since the budget: 10 year govt bond yields down 12 bps ASX down 0.001% AUD 0.8 US cents
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Keşfet

@The_SwingState @farmercate2 @cmkusher @GeoffWilsonWAM @elonmusk @BarackObama @taylorswift13 @cristiano