Joey

Best Over of the Day. Damian Lillard Over 22.5 Points Lillard at home with 28+ Minutes: 21+ Points in 24/31 (77%) 22+ Points in 23/31 (74%) 24+ Points in 22/31 (71%) He has 24+ Points in 10 STRAIGHT GAMES against D’Angelo Russell and had 28 Points against the Lakers two weeks ago And Lillard actually averages EVEN MORE Points in games WITH Khris Middleton this year which could help him even more As the Lakers are allowing the 10th MOST Points to PGs over the last 30 days And Lillard averages 26.9 PPG at home on one day of rest and has gone 21+ Points in 13/14 (93%) 22+ Points in 12/14 (86%) 23+ Points on 11/14 (79%) Hit rates are too high for him coming off arguably his worst game of the entire season Best Line: -120 MGM This line is 22.5 at the time of this post on Sleeper Underdog MGM DK FanDuel Caesars

He is WAY BETTER on the road. De’Aaron Fox Over 24.5 Points Fox averages 27.5 PPG on the road going for 23+ Points in 23/31 (74%) and he has 23+ in 25/33 (76%) on one day of rest this season And the Magic defend allow the 2nd MOST Points to PGs of the five positions While allowing the 2nd Least Assists to PGs the last 30 days meaning they DOUBLE less than anyone which helps Fox A TON today Especially as the Kings are within .5 games between a playin spot and a normal playoff spot which means this is a CRUCIAL game And Fox’s averages may go up these final 2-3 weeks as getting in the Top 6 playoff seeds will be CRITICAL for their success Best Line: -120 DK This line is 24.5 on sleeper PrizePicks and underdog at the time of this post And 24.5 at -120 to -125 on all six sportsbooks I have (DK, FD, CZS, MGM, ESPN, Fanatics) This line is should move when people see how much better he is on the road

Play of the Day. Luka Doncic Under 33.5 Points Luka has 35 or less Points in 12 STRAIGHT zero test games going Under 33.5 in 11/12 Games And now faces the Raptors who have allowed the LEAST Points and 4th LEAST Threes to PGs over the last 30 days On top of Luka going over with Kyrie on the road in 7/23 games and he is 2/15 when playing less than 40 Minutes Luka also has 27 or less points in 4/4 games in Toronto and is playing on zero rest tonight after playing 41 minutes and taking 29 shots Which means he will need to overcome: 1. Going 1/12 on zero rest games 2. 2/15 on the road playing less than 40 mins 3. 27 or less points all four games in Toronto 4. Raptors toughest PG defense last 30 days 5. Traveling to a new country on a back to back after playing 41 minutes the night before Obviously he can go over but he has a lot to overcome to do it tonight and we are We are 8-4 on Luka Unders this season, have to keep trusting our reads