LOGGED: Ian Bremmer predicts that Rahm Emanuel will not win the 2028 Democratic primary. ⚖️
ian bremmer@ianbremmer
@Cernovich that’s quite confident. i will happily bet you 10:1 odds against a rahm/fetterman democratic primary victory.
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Vistadex
77 posts
LOGGED: Yglesias predicts Susan Collins (R) may win the Maine Senate race. ⚖️
Matthew Yglesias@mattyglesias
I would say broadly: 1. Maine is weird 2. Never count out Susan Collins 3. If the typical left-populist recruit for statewide office was, like Jackson, a state legislator who over-performs electorally I would have much friendlier sentiments toward this movement
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LOGGED: Peter Schiff predicts $SPCX price fall. ⚖️
Peter Schiff@PeterSchiff
$SPCX is coming back down to earth in after-hours trading. It’s down 3.7% to $126.25. That’s 6.5% below its IPO price and 44% below its high. This is happening before any of the lockups expire, which expand the potential tradable float 8X by year-end. Houston, we have a problem!
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LOGGED: Peter Schiff predicts the AI bubble is popping. ⚖️
Peter Schiff@PeterSchiff
More air is coming out of the AI bubble as Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 intensifies low-cost Chinese competition. $SPCX is now trading below $121, almost 11% below its IPO price and more than 46% below its high. AI isn’t a bubble, but AI stocks are. The bubble has likely already popped.
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Prediction market trading on important, real-world events is a positive-sum activity. The maker, taker, and platform are playing a zero-sum game with each other, but there are third parties who can use the information created by the market, making it positive sum overall.
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Most prediction markets don’t surface valuable information.
We’re fixing that with claim markets.
Claim markets translate what people say into prediction market bets in real-time to figure out who is signal versus noise.
See who is actually right ⚖️:
vistadex.com/claim-markets
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We translate what people say into prediction market predictions in real-time to figure out who is signal versus noise. ⚖️
See who is actually right: vistadex.com/claim-markets
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Pundits and prediction market traders are both in the business of predicting future events. Traders try to out-predict the market to earn a positive return. This gives them a strong incentive towards accuracy. Pundits also make predictions, but their bottom line is clicks.
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RESOLVED: Spain has won the World Cup, aligning with Nate Silver's prediction. 🇪🇸👟⚽⚖️
Vistadex@Vistadex
Nate Silver predicts that Spain will win the World Cup. 👟⚽️⚖️
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Traders and pundits are both in the business of making predictions. But traders need to be correct often enough to beat the market and turn a profit. Pundits only need to be entertaining. An entertainingly wrong pundit will see more success than a boringly correct one.
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Cowherd predicts LeBron will play for the Warriors ⚖️
Colin Cowherd@colincowherd
New Tuesday Herd 🔥 Lamar Jackson is no longer top 10 QB and I’ll prove it 🏀 LeBron to the Warriors makes a lot of sense 🏈 Nick Wright is not buying Josh Allen as the best QB in the NFL podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the…
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I need an invite code @Vistadex
Vistadex@Vistadex
Prediction markets tell you what might happen. They don’t tell you who to believe. We’re fixing that with claim markets. Claim markets translate what people say into prediction market predictions to determine who is signal vs noise. The global leaderboard for who is right ⚖️.
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Vistadex is a full-stack prediction market platform on @solana that allows users to trade on all events, starting with every Polymarket and Kalshi market.
Unlike other platforms, Vistadex does not rely on the trading infrastructure of external exchanges.
vistadex.com
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Prediction markets tell you what might happen. They don’t tell you who to believe.
We’re fixing that with claim markets.
Claim markets translate what people say into prediction market predictions to determine who is signal vs noise.
The global leaderboard for who is right ⚖️.
English