@LSDinmycoffee Thoughts on btc taking all that lower liquidity that’s built up?
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Jun
2.7K posts
Jun
@wodemaya
Day trader 🧬 Web 3 Explorer Best alpha group → @starzBTC
Katılım Aralık 2009
321 Takip Edilen475 Takipçiler
Good trend indicators haven't turned green yet on the weekly yet for $TOTAL3... patience my friends
krillin ॐ@LSDinmycoffee
Good morning fam, a few thoughts: While I certainly welcome BTC/crypto's recent strength, price is still slowly grinding up and I'm still favoring longs on my high beta stocks, tradfi portfolio is doing really well with very few trades taken. That's the classic "sometimes less is more" and that's coming from someone who has been mostly a daytrader/scalper for years). Yes I may miss a BTC rally, but I'll be actually be more interested in trading altcoins when the time comes. The average altcoin chart looks like this: it's either dead... or if/when it comes back to life you'll still be very early even if you wait for confirmation.
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Jun retweetledi
@FefeDemeny Thank you Fefe! I’m assuming no change to plan though? Still long oil
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"Dark fleets" have been a known thing since the beginning of the war, but satellites can't see ship names and flags.
This report confirmed that the "dark fleet" is indeed existing and ships do pass through the Straight daily.
The report also points out that there is a 50% under reporting on the number of ships passing, which basically means almost double traffic than accounted for by most experts.
Even if so, traffic through the straight is still 10-15% of pre-war levels.
This information does change my thesis re long oil. If there is no escalation today, delay by Trump again or a potential deal, that is most likely the top for oil.
If there is no deal, and continued escalations, the push towards $125 - $150 oil will be a potential great entry for a generational oil short.
By longing oil, you are longing the asset at historic highs, that every single country wants lower. It was the play til now. Might have changed.
Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡@shanaka86
Citrini Research sent an analyst to Oman with $15,000 in cash, recording sunglasses, a smuggled camera, and Cuban cigars for networking. The analyst signed a pledge to Omani authorities not to gather intelligence, then got on a boat and sailed to within 18 miles of the Iranian coast. What he saw contradicts every headline about the Strait of Hormuz being closed. Approximately 50 percent of tanker traffic in the strait is missing from public AIS tracking systems. The vessels are not missing because they sank. They are missing because they turned off their transponders, spoofed their GPS coordinates to broadcast false positions, duplicated the identity codes of decommissioned ships, switched to low-power transmission mode, or swapped identities with nearby vessels. The result is an electronic fog through which physical ships move crude to Asian ports while the tracking systems that Bloomberg terminals rely on show an empty waterway. More than $3 billion in crude has been transported through the strait since the war began, primarily to China, much of it under Iranian terms, paid in yuan or cryptocurrency. The strait is not closed. It is filtered. Iran decides who passes and who does not. Ships that pay the IRGC toll and accept escort through the Larak corridor transit under the electronic fog. Ships that refuse are turned away or attacked. The “closure” that drove Brent to $115 and Aramco’s OSP to a record $19.50 premium is a selective blockade operating behind spoofed transponder data that makes it look total when it is not. Brent dropped from approximately $115 to the $108 range as the report circulated. The market had priced in a complete shutdown. The reality is a controlled chokepoint generating toll revenue while maintaining the appearance of total disruption to maximise the scarcity premium on every barrel that gets through. Iran is running two operations simultaneously: a blockade for the cameras and a toll booth behind the blockade for the revenue. The opacity is the product. The fear is the markup. The techniques are not sophisticated. Going dark requires flipping a switch. GPS spoofing requires a $500 device injecting false coordinates into the transponder’s GPS input. Identity theft requires typing a different MMSI number into the AIS configuration screen. Low-power mode requires switching from 12.5 watts to 1 watt. These are not state-level cyber operations. They are the maritime equivalent of turning off your phone’s location services. The ghost fleet runs on technology any ship’s officer can deploy in minutes. The 50 percent blind spot means every estimate of Hormuz disruption based on public AIS data, every IEA shortfall calculation, every Goldman Sachs supply model, and every insurance premium derived from vessel tracking is working with half the picture. The other half is sailing in the dark, loaded with crude, headed for Chinese refineries, paying the IRGC in the currency of the country that ships sodium perchlorate to fill the missiles that the same IRGC fires at Israeli cities. The strait the world thinks is closed is open for business. The price of admission is invisibility. And the entity collecting the toll in yuan while demanding war compensation in the ten-point response is profiting from the blockade it claims is absolute, selling passage through the chokepoint it says will “never return to its former state,” and funding the war with the revenue from the peace it refuses to sign. open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…
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Jun retweetledi
Winners picked❤️
Like and RT, will be picking new winner to win 150$ in 2 hours
UNKNOWN TRADER@Learnernoearner
#giveaway Drop your trc20 wallet below and tell me why you should win⬇️ Will be gifting 200$ to 2 lucky winners ❤️ Must like my recent tweets also
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The $MSTR premium has officially evaporated.
Strategy Inc. (MSTR) is currently down -56% over the last year.
Even worse, nearly half that drop (-41%) happened in just the last 3 months.
While the stock is up +4.5% today.
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$rose is getting dragged through the dirt with the rest of the market after that $2.5b liquidation nuke. currently $0.0176 (-7.3%).
it's hovering above key support, but the trend is ugly. unless btc stops bleeding, everything is a falling knife.
intraday setup:
- entry: $0.0168 - $0.0172 (1h support zone)
- sl: $0.0159 (below 4h ema200)
- tp: $0.0182, $0.0193
resistance is stacked heavy at $0.0189. if it can't reclaim that, it's going back to the $0.011 gutter.
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Strategy Inc. just went underwater. 🚨📉
For a brief moment, the unthinkable happened. Bitcoin nuked below $76,000, dragging Strategy's entire 712,647 BTC treasury into the red.
⚖️ Avg Cost: $76,037
Michael Saylor's $54 Billion fortress was officially losing money
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