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Think about what it meant to be a small country watching American power in 1999.
Yugoslavia.
A mid-sized European country with a functioning military, a real air defense system, genuine capability.
Not a weak state. Not a failed state.
Seventy-eight days of NATO bombing.
Almost no ability to respond.
Missiles falling on Belgrade.
Infrastructure destroyed.
No counter-strikes against NATO territory.
No strikes against NATO allies.
No ability to escalate in ways that changed the cost calculation for the other side.
Just absorbing it.
Until Milošević surrendered.
Now think about what it means to be a small country watching the Iran situation.
Iran closes the most strategic waterway on earth.
Strikes the largest LNG facility in the world.
Hits one of the most defended refineries of its strongest regional adversary.
Issues a counter-threat to a presidential ultimatum that is credible enough to make the president withdraw the ultimatum.
Publicly laughs at the reformulated American position.
Watches the United States go to China for help.
Watches China say no.
And the strait is still closed.
The same world is watching both of these events.
The same world is updating its model of what American power means.
Vietnam was one update.
Afghanistan was another.
Iraq was another.
But all of those were updates in the category of:
"American power is costly and has limits."
They were still, fundamentally, about the giant stomping through someone else's house and eventually leaving, having caused immense damage but finding it wasn't worth continuing.
This is a different update.
This is the update that says: there are actors who can make the giant stop mid-stomp.
That update is categorically different.
And it is being received. Right now. In every capital that matters.
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🔴 Hezbollah lured an entire Israeli armored company into a textbook ambush last night on the Taybeh–Qantara axis
Tuesday, Israel's 7th Brigade sent a remote-controlled bulldozer to probe Hezbollah's defensive lines between Muhaysibat and Qantara.
The fighters spotted it and let it pass. They wanted the real prize.
Wednesday at 6:50 PM, it came. A full armored column of Merkava tanks and D9 bulldozers, rolling single-file toward Qantara.
Hezbollah waited. Every vehicle entered the kill zone. Then the order came, and with the battle cry "Ya Rasul Allah," the fighters launched.
Guided missiles slammed into the middle of the column. Four Merkavas and a D9, all destroyed. The column was now cut in half.
The rear platoon popped smoke to hide. It didn't matter. Missiles found them too. All four tanks burned.
The lead platoon tried to push through into Qantara anyway. More missiles. Another D9 and two more Merkavas gone.
The surviving soldiers abandoned their vehicles and tried to evacuate their casualties, fleeing on foot back toward Muhaysibat while Hezbollah artillery pounded their command posts and reinforcements.
Final toll: ten tanks, two bulldozers. An entire company's worth of armor wiped out in a single engagement.
And this was the second time in three days. Two days earlier, Hezbollah destroyed eight Merkavas in a similar ambush on the Taybeh to Deir Siryan road.

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Trump's former envoy to Ukraine, Kellogg, is going nuts. He claims American soldiers are willing to risk their lives to capture Kharg Island.
'We don't necessarily have to send troops into Iran, but we need to capture Kharg Island. We need to do it the way the Romans did. We need to put legions on the ground to secure the territory. I understand it's risky. There's always risk. But these guys, these young men and women, they understand the risk they're taking to capture Kharg and open the Strait of Hormuz. Marine combat teams can open the lower part of the strait. And then I'd call on the 82nd Airborne Division or the Rangers to take Kharg Island. That way, I could essentially control the flow of oil out of Iran.'
For Epstein!
@Slavyangrad
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