Wimar.X
11.9K posts

Wimar.X
@DefiWimar
no financial advice. only alpha.
My tg channel → Katılım Şubat 2023
200 Takip Edilen317.1K Takipçiler

🚨 THIS IS IMPOSSIBLE 🚨
This is the Dotcom crash compared to today’s S&P 500.
Every week I expect the market to finally stop following it.
But it keeps happening.
Same path.
Same pattern.
Same setup.
And honestly, it’s getting scary.
What do you think?
Follow and turn notifications on.
I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.
English

Everything is going according to plan.
The stock market keeps pushing to new all-time highs.
But nobody is paying attention to what’s actually happening...
The S&P 500 is following an ascending channel pattern.
2022 → 2025 → 2027
Zoom out.
I’ve studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH.
Follow and turn notifications on.
I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.
English

🚨 BREAKING
🇮🇷IRAN JUST DESTROYED A HOSTILE DRONE OVER THE GULF USING A NEW AIR DEFENSE SYSTEM.
THE SOURCE OF THE DRONE IS STILL UNKNOWN, BUT MANY SAY IT WAS A US DRONE.
THIS IS EXTREMELY BAD FOR MARKETS...
Wimar.X@DefiWimar
🚨 BREAKING 🇮🇷 AIR DEFENSES WERE ACTIVATED ON IRAN’S GULF ISLAND OF QESHM. THE CAUSE IS STILL UNCLEAR. QESHM IS RIGHT NEXT TO THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ. THIS IS EXTREMELY BAD FOR MARKETS...
English

🚨 BREAKING
🇺🇸 TRUMP JUST SAID, "THE DEAL WITH IRAN WILL BE GREAT, OR THERE WILL BE NO DEAL."
MEANWHILE, THE US AND IRAN STILL DISAGREE OVER NUCLEAR DUST AND THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ.
THESE ARE THE MAIN POINTS OF THE DEAL, AND IRAN WILL NOT ACCEPT BAD TERMS.
THIS IS EXTREMELY IMPORTANT FOR MARKETS...
English

🚨 WARNING: THIS IS HOW THE BIGGEST COLLAPSE STARTS!!
The market is getting hit from EVERY side now.
- FED rate hikes just got confirmed.
- China, Japan, and Turkey are dumping US Treasuries.
- The US-Iran peace deal is 24 hours away from COLLAPSING.
When markets open on Monday, this will NOT be just a dip.
Because this is no longer one isolated problem.
It is a full macro stress setup hitting markets from MULTIPLE fronts at the same time.
Smart money already sees it.
They are NOT buying the dip.
They are cutting risk, moving into cash, and getting ready for the biggest risk off move of the year.
And now add the next piece.
China is rejecting U.S. Nvidia chips.
That's a trade war signal.
Because when chips become geopolitical weapons, the market stops pricing growth.
It starts pricing control, supply chain stress, and lower demand.
There are only a few ways this goes from here, and they are NOT equal.
- LIGHT SHOCK: markets panic first, bonds get stressed, oil pumps, and risk stabilizes if headlines calm down fast.
- HEAVIER SCENARIO: the peace deal collapses, China keeps rejecting U.S. chips, and markets start pricing a real trade war plus a real war risk at the same time.
- WORST CASE: diplomacy fully breaks, oil pumps HARD, yields pump, liquidity gets worse, and risk assets dump all at once.
That last one is the REAL danger.
Because none of this is happening in a vacuum.
After months of negotiations, the U.S. and Iran still have no peace deal.
No breakthrough.
No stability.
No real off ramp.
That changes the entire risk landscape.
Because when diplomacy breaks down, markets do NOT price hope.
They price WAR.
And once markets start pricing direct U.S.-Iran escalation, oil does NOT move slowly.
It pumps HARD.
Shipping gets hit.
Supply chains get worse.
Inflation comes back.
Central banks stay trapped.
That is where the real damage starts.
Because when geopolitical stress hits an already fragile financial system, markets do NOT adjust slowly.
They dump HARD.
Capital does NOT rotate calmly.
It runs to safety all at once.
And risk assets?
They do NOT correct.
They DUMP HARD.
This is how chain reactions start.
Because once markets stop pricing temporary fear and start pricing prolonged instability, the whole system changes.
Watch oil.
Watch bonds.
Watch semiconductors.
Watch rates.
Because once this starts accelerating, there will be no time left to react.
I’ve studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH.
Follow and turn notifications on.
I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.
English
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