Zheka | Hasbiland

257 posts

Zheka | Hasbiland banner
Zheka | Hasbiland

Zheka | Hasbiland

@evgesov

CRYPTO BOY

Kazakhstan Katılım Haziran 2022
180 Takip Edilen26 Takipçiler
Zheka | Hasbiland retweetledi
wincy.eth
wincy.eth@gusik4ever·
another profitable day (4/6), but once again i noticed that i’m still not managing my bankroll as efficiently as i’d like i’m working on finding a safer and more productive approach for my strategy ➤ i’ve also noticed that more and more people are starting to bet on basketball markets on @Polymarket which honestly makes me really happy i’m glad to be one of the reasons people are getting into it. it’s amazing to see this space growing ➤ i also want to thank everyone who’s been supporting me on this journey i’m not a professional trader or better, i’m just a person who loves basketball that’s why i started this challenge. to make it more fun, share interesting moments, and earn a bit along the way so keep going
wincy.eth tweet media
wincy.eth@gusik4ever

7th day of my basketball challenge (from $100 to $1000) on @Polymarket My bank: $115 On bet: $45 Today we have 6 NBA games on @Polymarket My eyes focus on this: <> Grizzlies vs Knicks (bet on total Under 234.5) Knicks and Grizzlies rarely go over a total of 231.5, especially in recent weeks For both teams, most games this season finish below this line, though the percentage is closer to 60% than 70% Memphis is still missing two key bigs (Clarke and Edey), and Morant is out of top shape statistically. The Grizzlies are likely to slow the game down The Knicks at home are traditionally strong on defense and rebounding, which should also keep the game tight Link on market: polymarket.com/event/nba-mem-… <> Raptors vs Nets (bet on total Under 234.5) Raptors average around 119 points per game, but in recent games their match totals cluster in the 220–230 range Nets have scoring issues, around 110 points per game, and that can drop against disciplined defenses The last two head-to-head games ended with totals of 202 and 229 points, supporting the idea of a lower total here Link on market: polymarket.com/event/nba-tor-… <> Celtics vs 76ers (bet on 76ers and total Over 229.5) 76ers are currently playing some of the best offensive basketball of the season. Their core is in great shape, and at home they’ve been fast-paced and confident Celtics, by contrast, are going through a transitional phase after losing key offensive pieces. Their three-point percentage has dropped noticeably, forcing them to rely more on Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, and an inconsistent bench unit That said, Boston still maintains a competitive defense. Yet when they face strong offensive teams, their games often turn into high-scoring battles that open up late in the fourth quarter Looking at the last ten games for both teams, the total of 229.5 points has been surpassed in about 60% of cases. In their first head-to-head meeting this season, they combined for exactly 233 points Link on market: polymarket.com/event/nba-bos-… <> Warriors vs Thunder (bet on total Under 229.5) Thunder are one of the top defensive teams in the league, consistently holding opponents below their season scoring averages, especially at home They also rank among the top five teams in slow, half-court offense, a style that naturally limits possessions and keeps total scoring lower Warriors, meanwhile, are getting a boost with Steph Curry’s return and Butler, but their road games tend to be significantly less productive in terms of scoring Link on market: polymarket.com/event/nba-gsw-… <> Nuggets vs Kings (bet on total Under 243.5) The average total for games involving these two teams this season sits around 239–240 points Even in their head-to-head matchups, which are typically faster-paced with more possessions, the combined score has only occasionally surpassed the 243.5 line The Nuggets are a team that knows how and when to slow things down, especially in close games or during key stretches. Nikola Jokic often dictates the tempo, turning the game into a more controlled, half-court battle that limits possessions and naturally keeps totals lower Adding to that, the Kings’ inconsistent lineup has also affected their overall scoring output Link on market: polymarket.com/event/nba-den-… ALWAYS NFA AND DYOR FAM

English
42
3
103
7.3K
Zheka | Hasbiland retweetledi
wincy.eth
wincy.eth@gusik4ever·
6th day of my basketball challenge (from $100 to $1000) on @Polymarket My bank: $113 On bet: $40 Today we have 9 NBA games on @Polymarket My eyes focus on this: <> Lakers vs Hornets (bet on Lakers and total Over 229.5) Lakers come into the game on a four-win streak and are set to dominate a weakened Hornets team that lost two key players – Lamelo Ball and Brandon Miller Lakers have been solid on the road (3–0), while the Hornets, without their stars, will likely score much less but still try to keep up a fast pace Link on market: polymarket.com/event/nba-lal-… <> Cavs vs Heat (bet on Cavs and total Under 247.5) Cavs are in top form (4-game win streak, 7–3 record), while the Heat are missing bam Adebayo on the road Without their center, the heat drop at least 5–8 points per game. Cavs play slower (pace 100.8), controlling both tempo and defense, which keeps the overall score down Link on market: polymarket.com/event/nba-cle-… <> Spurs vs Bulls (bet on total Over 234.5) De’aaron Fox just returned from a hamstring injury and adds scoring power to the Spurs Bulls’ fast pace (102.3) leads to more possessions and higher scoring if Josh Giddey plays (which seems likely), the chances of a high total go up even more Link on market: polymarket.com/event/nba-sas-… <> Bucks vs Mavericks (bet on total Under 232.5) Mavericks have the second-worst offense in the league (106.5 ppg, lowest among all teams), and their main playmaker, Kyrie Irving, is out for the season It’s a back-to-back for the Bucks (after Houston), which means a slower game and less energy overall Link on market: polymarket.com/event/nba-mil-… ALWAYS NFA AND DYOR FAM6th day of my basketball challenge (from $100 to $1000) on @Polymarket My bank: $113 On bet: $40 Today we have 9 NBA games on @Polymarket My eyes focus on this: <> Lakers vs Hornets (bet on Lakers and total Over 229.5) Lakers come into the game on a four-win streak and are set to dominate a weakened Hornets team that lost two key players – Lamelo Ball and Brandon Miller Lakers have been solid on the road (3–0), while the Hornets, without their stars, will likely score much less but still try to keep up a fast pace Link on market: polymarket.com/event/nba-lal-… <> Cavs vs Heat (bet on Cavs and total Under 247.5) Cavs are in top form (4-game win streak, 7–3 record), while the Heat are missing bam Adebayo on the road Without their center, the heat drop at least 5–8 points per game. Cavs play slower (pace 100.8), controlling both tempo and defense, which keeps the overall score down Link on market: polymarket.com/event/nba-cle-… <> Spurs vs Bulls (bet on total Over 234.5) De’aaron Fox just returned from a hamstring injury and adds scoring power to the Spurs Bulls’ fast pace (102.3) leads to more possessions and higher scoring if Josh Giddey plays (which seems likely), the chances of a high total go up even more Link on market: polymarket.com/event/nba-sas-… <> Bucks vs Mavericks (bet on total Under 232.5) Mavericks have the second-worst offense in the league (106.5 ppg, lowest among all teams), and their main playmaker, Kyrie Irving, is out for the season It’s a back-to-back for the Bucks (after Houston), which means a slower game and less energy overall Link on market: polymarket.com/event/nba-mil-… ALWAYS NFA AND DYOR FAM
wincy.eth tweet media
English
29
3
79
13.8K
Zheka | Hasbiland retweetledi
wincy.eth
wincy.eth@gusik4ever·
new happy profit night on NBA with @Polymarket 4/5 hit and printed more money (but i should bet more than $5 lmao) < my paper analytics below :D >
wincy.eth tweet media
wincy.eth@gusik4ever

4th day of my basketball challenge (from $100 to $1000) on @Polymarket My bank: $107.5 On bet: $25 Today we have 12 NBA games on @Polymarket My eyes focus on this: <> Cavaliers vs Wizards (bet on total Under 242.5) Cavs are definitely the favorites, but the profit from a bet priced around 80c would be too small based on my risk management There’s also a chance the odds will drop further during the game. Cavs dominate across most metrics Based on a comprehensive analysis using five calculation methods, historical data, defensive metrics, and both teams’ current form, I expect the game total to reach around 227.9 points Link on market: polymarket.com/event/nba-cle-… <> Raptors vs Hawks (bet on Raptors and total Over 235.5) Toronto raptors are clear favorites, yet traders on Polymarket are seriously underestimating them Raptors outperform in almost every offensive and defensive metric. Hawks losing Trae Young is a much bigger hit than the Raptors losing Vanvleet In their last matchup, the Raptors completely dominated and won by a 30-point margin A high-scoring game is expected, both teams rank in the league’s top 10 for scoring Link on market: polymarket.com/event/nba-tor-… <> Rockets vs Spurs (bet on total Over 222.5) Rockets usually play in high-total games (around 240.5), while the Spurs are in lower ones (229.0), that’s an 11.5-point difference In my opinion, the markets are overvalued. Historically, the combined average total for both teams is 234.8 Link on market: polymarket.com/event/nba-hou-… <> Thunder vs Kings (bet on total Over 229.5) Thunder are in better shape. Holmgren and Caruso are back (a clear boost!), with only Wiggins sidelined Kings are weaker: Murray is out long-term and Sabonis is questionable Thunder are elite offensively, easily putting up 120+ points against almost anyone. Kings have one of the weakest defenses (drtg 116+), and opponents usually score 7–10 points above their average against them Both teams play at a fast pace, trading threes and rarely slowing down for long defensive possessions Exceptions would be an unusually slow game or terrible shooting, but that’s rare for both teams (under 30% of games) Link on market: polymarket.com/event/nba-okc-… ALWAYS NFA AND DYOR FAM

English
45
4
109
9.8K
Zheka | Hasbiland retweetledi
wincy.eth
wincy.eth@gusik4ever·
> 2023: Polymarket markets start pricing Biden's dropout at 20%, long before any mainstream media even hints at it Result: Polymarket was right again > 2024: After the June debate, Biden's odds of dropping out skyrocket to 80%. By July, he officially quits. Polymarket traders saw it weeks in advance. Trump leads the odds from June till Election Night and wins. Result: Polymarket was right again > 2025 – Canada: February: Polymarket gives Pierre Poilievre 87% to become PM March: Mark Carney enters race, market reverses completely April 28: Carney wins with 100% odds on Polymarket vs traditional polls Result: Polymarket was right again > 2025 – NYC: Polymarket predicts Zohran Mamdani as NYC mayor with 94% odds before results Result: Polymarket was right again >>> Just remember only one thing you need to know: Polymarket was right again
English
29
5
71
2.3K
Zheka | Hasbiland retweetledi
wincy.eth
wincy.eth@gusik4ever·
it was too obvious yesterday at the Business Forum in Miami, Trump spoke all 3 words that delivered profit and victory to us gg with @Polymarket and thanks @realDonaldTrump
wincy.eth@gusik4ever

Market "What will Trump say this week (November 3 - 9)?" is so underrated on @Polymarket I’ve been tracking Trump’s latest moves: his 60 Minutes interview, press conferences, and posts on Truth Social and I see strong potential here for smart “Yes” plays: <> Transgender (Polymarket prices it at 66%) Seems like people forgot that Trump has been aggressively pushing anti-transgender policies since January 2025 Between Nov 1–3, the Pentagon issued new directives on transgender military service On Oct 30, his administration announced the end of Medicare/Medicaid coverage for transgender youth This is one of the central themes of his second presidency, backed by massive media attention ➤ Real probability of mention: 95%+ 2. Zohran Mamdani (Polymarket prices it at 77%) Mamdani just won the NYC mayoral race despite Trump calling him a “communist”, threatening to cut federal funding to New York if he won, and urging voters to oppose him the day before the election Given how reactive Trump is to NYC politics, the odds he comments on this are at least 90%+ 3. MAGA / Make America Great Again (Polymarket prices it at 71%) MAGA is his trademark slogan, he uses it in every single public appearance With Nov 5 marking the anniversary of his re-election and a planned speech in Miami, there’s literally no way he skips it this week Probability: 99% < link on market and useful onchain tools below >

English
32
7
80
13.6K
Zheka | Hasbiland retweetledi
wincy.eth
wincy.eth@gusik4ever·
Market "What will Trump say this week (November 3 - 9)?" is so underrated on @Polymarket I’ve been tracking Trump’s latest moves: his 60 Minutes interview, press conferences, and posts on Truth Social and I see strong potential here for smart “Yes” plays: <> Transgender (Polymarket prices it at 66%) Seems like people forgot that Trump has been aggressively pushing anti-transgender policies since January 2025 Between Nov 1–3, the Pentagon issued new directives on transgender military service On Oct 30, his administration announced the end of Medicare/Medicaid coverage for transgender youth This is one of the central themes of his second presidency, backed by massive media attention ➤ Real probability of mention: 95%+ 2. Zohran Mamdani (Polymarket prices it at 77%) Mamdani just won the NYC mayoral race despite Trump calling him a “communist”, threatening to cut federal funding to New York if he won, and urging voters to oppose him the day before the election Given how reactive Trump is to NYC politics, the odds he comments on this are at least 90%+ 3. MAGA / Make America Great Again (Polymarket prices it at 71%) MAGA is his trademark slogan, he uses it in every single public appearance With Nov 5 marking the anniversary of his re-election and a planned speech in Miami, there’s literally no way he skips it this week Probability: 99% < link on market and useful onchain tools below >
wincy.eth tweet media
English
44
10
97
21.2K
Zheka | Hasbiland retweetledi
wincy.eth
wincy.eth@gusik4ever·
Today we have 6 NBA games on @Polymarket + I started prepare to my challenge (from $100 to $1000 on NBA and Euroleague) I'm focusing on the games that seem obvious at first glance: <> Kings – Bucks (bet on Bucks) Bucks currently hold a strong 4–1 record and are aiming for their third consecutive home win Giannis remains questionable due to left knee patellar tendinopathy. He missed the previous game against the Warriors, but head coach Doc Rivers is optimistic about his availability and overall health management Ryan Rollins and Bobby Portis have looked good in Giannis’ absence The Kings have had a poor start (1–4) and are on a three-game losing streak, which makes the Bucks favored, especially given their home advantage and deeper roster Link on market: polymarket.com/sports/nba-202… <> GSW vs Pacers (bet on GSW) Warriors stand at 4-2, with key players available and expected to play prominent roles Pacers suffer from a massive injury crisis and field a very depleted team relying on younger, less experienced players; lack of floor leadership and playmaking severely limits their competitiveness Warriors are clearly favored with a healthy core and twice the team depth, plus superior recent form and home/road context Link on market: polymarket.com/sports/nba-202… ALWAYS NFA AND DYOR FAM
wincy.eth tweet media
English
41
8
108
9.8K
Zheka | Hasbiland retweetledi
wincy.eth
wincy.eth@gusik4ever·
sport on @Polymarket is underrated just look at the numbers, over $350M weekly volume across sports, and it’s still early... Basketball and American football alone cleared $180M+ this week, you can just print with me on basketball <> no fees <> no vig <> no limits and a community that trades real narratives, not odds set by bookmakers btw, sports markets are the on-ramp into mainstream U.S. adoption and a shift in how capital flows into prediction markets partnerships with the @NHL and investments from Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) emphasize the seriousness of Polymarket's position just be with Polymarket, get your chance, print money and getting smart
wincy.eth tweet media
Matthew Modabber@MatthewModabber

There is hands down no better place in the world to take action on sports: -no fees -no vig -no limits if you’re sharp -cash in and out of trades whenever And soon, you’ll have a U.S app to trade from your pocket

English
42
10
83
7.8K
Zheka | Hasbiland retweetledi
wincy.eth
wincy.eth@gusik4ever·
How prediction markets mirror European politics Even if you’re not following Dutch politics, the new @Polymarket on “Which parties will be part of the next government of the Netherlands?” is fascinating to watch ➤ It’s a perfect example of how markets price coalition probabilities in real time <> D66 – 98% <> VVD – 94% <> CDA – 79% <> JA21 – 48% <> GL/PvdA – 44% <> CU – 32% <> Volt 24% and others... In multi-party systems like the Netherlands, no one governs alone, so prediction markets here act more like coalition barometers than winner-takes-all bets ➤ I’m personally watching JA21, now around 48% It’s an interesting underdog case: <> rising national sentiment toward right-leaning policies <> potential to ally with VVD <> their moderate tone could make them a coalition bridge ➤ JA21 is a conservative-liberal party focused on strict migration policy, law-and-order reforms, and a pro-business agenda They’ve just multiplied their seats in parliament, from 1 to 9 according to exit polls, showing real political momentum that markets may still be underpricing always NFA DYOR
wincy.eth tweet media
English
26
7
59
5.4K
Zheka | Hasbiland retweetledi
wincy.eth
wincy.eth@gusik4ever·
BIG Q: Can Lighter Justify a $4B FDV at Launch? Prediction markets are heating up ahead of Lighter’s TGE and the odds tell a story of strong conviction mixed with quiet skepticism IYKYK ➤ On Polymarket, traders are betting big: <> 82% see FDV > $2B <> 57%: above $4B <> and only 15% believe it can clear $8B The market has already seen over $1.7M in volume, making it one of the most liquid DeFi predictions of the month OTC prices for Lighter Points hover between $55 and $145, implying an early FDV in the $2–4B range, roughly where analysts from Manifold and Binance Research place their estimates too ➤ Now compare that to its rivals: <> Hyperliquid sits at a $47B FDV <> Aster at $14B In its pre-launch phase, Lighter has already processed over $170B in trading volume with a TVL of $848M (+131% since launch), aggressive traction for a still-young DEX ➤ The bullish thesis: Lighter’s rapid growth curve, its backers (a16z, Paradigm, Lightspeed), and its high engagement metrics signal a strong debut, potentially the most successful on-chain exchange launch since Hyperliquid ➤ The bear case: Hitting an $8–10B FDV would require institutional-scale demand that’s currently absent in the DeFi perps sector. Retail enthusiasm alone can’t sustain that valuation ➤ I think that a $2–4B FDV is a fair launch zone Anything beyond would mean the market is not just buying numbers, it’s buying belief... < link on market and useful onchain tools below >
wincy.eth tweet media
English
41
6
88
3.4K
Zheka | Hasbiland retweetledi
wincy.eth
wincy.eth@gusik4ever·
Every time the market bets on @elonmusk, someone ends up holding the bag... Polymarket odds sit at 75% “Yes” that Tesla beats Q3 earnings ($0.50 EPS) Optimism runs high after record deliveries, 497K cars, tighter cost control, and rising energy revenue <> Barclays, Wedbush, and Morgan Stanley expect EPS near $0.52–$0.55, with Megapack and Powerwall offsetting weak auto margins But that delivery boom was likely front-loaded before US tax credits expired <> Europe’s demand remains soft and automotive gross margins sit at 16–17%, down 4pp YoY. Revenue growth looks fine, but profitability still leaks... Tesla probably beats consensus, but the reaction won’t be euphoric, let's see < link on market and useful onchain tools below >
wincy.eth tweet mediawincy.eth tweet media
English
40
3
103
6.2K
Zheka | Hasbiland retweetledi
wincy.eth
wincy.eth@gusik4ever·
Monad airdrop called bullshit? $10M in volume, and everyone’s fading the October drop like it’s already dead <> 3% odds on Oct 31 <> 22% for mid-Nov the sentiment flipped the moment Monad limited eligibility to 5.5K wallets people who actually ran 200M+ testnet txns just got sidelined for NFT whales and "community partners" now the same wallets that nailed the October miss are back, quietly stacking "No" again you can call it crowd psychology. i’d call it informed frustration. Monad is losing trust... until Keone fixes the optics, every deadline feels like a bluff still, markets aren’t betting against Monad existing, just against it landing clean <> 85% odds for Nov 30 <> 96% for December 31 so yeah, it’s happening. just messy, delayed, and probably controversial this @Polymarket chart isn’t noise, it’s sentiment with money behind it, and that’s more honest than any press release
wincy.eth tweet media
English
30
8
72
4.4K
Zheka | Hasbiland retweetledi
wincy.eth
wincy.eth@gusik4ever·
a young Polymarket builder is here coded 2 tools to help optimize and improve your trading on @Polymarket <> Polymarket Parcer – parses new and trending markets 24/7 <> Polymarket Tracker – tracks the top 5 largest positions in a given market and identifies the trader’s direction thanks to the tracker, i managed to spot the gemini position earlier than 90% of ct and entered the trade profitably and thanks to the best Polymarket community for the support and feedback – @zscdao
English
51
29
274
23.5K
Zheka | Hasbiland retweetledi
wincy.eth
wincy.eth@gusik4ever·
Before TIA became a $3B chain, it was just “another node sale” Mawari looks eerily similar to early Celestia I made an easy-to-follow video guide on how to set up a node (takes 10 mins) 🧵
wincy.eth tweet media
English
7
5
26
2.6K
Zheka | Hasbiland retweetledi
wincy.eth
wincy.eth@gusik4ever·
I prepared ULTIMATE guide for everyone who want to enter in Sentient and: > get the roles > get an access to platform > enter in the Kaito leaderboard and get rewards your playbook 🧵
wincy.eth tweet media
English
24
7
46
1K
Zheka | Hasbiland retweetledi
wincy.eth
wincy.eth@gusik4ever·
Legion deployed the second wave of YieldBasis allocations but many are facing issues and confusion, i feel you here’s what i was able to find out from legion support ↓ ➤ status confirmed but no email support says the only thing that really matters is what’s shown on the site if your dashboard shows “approved” status, that’s the main confirmation the email is just a notification, and you might not receive it ➤ deposit until october 5 participants of the second wave (batch 2) need to make their deposit by sunday, october 5, 2025, 8 am est / 12 pm utc ➤ different interface different users see different versions of the page because of overload if yours was approved only now, so the interface looks different from those who got access earlier ➤ deposit error support says the problem isn’t on your side, the site has huge traffic, so the interface is glitching you just need to wait until the system stabilizes also try making the deposit from a different wallet instead of the one you used originally. this might help! -----------------> i also want to note that it’s possible an ai agent replied to me, so this shouldn’t be taken as 100% certain, but it’s the information we have right now it’s also possible that if you haven’t received an email yet, you just need to wait, since we still have about 2 more days and you might get it tomorrow for now, that’s all the info i’ve been able to find. be careful
wincy.eth tweet mediawincy.eth tweet mediawincy.eth tweet mediawincy.eth tweet media
LEGION@legiondotcc

steady lads, deploying more allocation

English
9
7
24
1.1K