


Hyperliquid Research Collective (HRC)
268 posts

@HyperliquidR
The Research Hub for Hyperliquid. Initiated by @GLC_Research and @FourPillarsFP Not part of or affiliated to Hyperliquid team or foundation






Can Hyperliquid Predict the S&P 500? Written by @web3_pastel from @ArrakisFinance This report is an analysis of price discovery, informed flow, and predictive signals on @tradexyz's SP500 perpetual futures market on @HyperliquidX. Here’s a first excerpt, more below 🧵 "A week-old onchain derivative market appears to contain measurable predictive information about the world's most liquid equity index. Two independent signals predicted SPX direction at 10-minute horizons with statistical significance. A small cohort of wallets are able to do so with 79% accuracy. Hyperliquid, already the dominant onchain perps venue, may be establishing itself as a price discovery layer that extends beyond crypto." hyperliquidr.xyz/post/can-hyper…





The Evolution of Commodities Report Written by @castle_labs, @francescoweb3, @noveleader We're proud to publish this extensive report from Castle Labs on HRC: a 70-page deep dive on the history of commodities and where onchain trading stands today. The report covers everything from the history of commodity infrastructure and its evolution, to the current state of onchain markets, with both qualitative and quantitative analysis. The authors also share where they think this is all heading. If you want to understand onchain commodities, this is a must read. "Onchain commodity markets didn't need the Iran strikes to exist. They were already growing. The gold rally earlier this year showed the same dynamic: spot tokenised gold volumes spiked as the price moved fast over a weekend. The strikes in Iran simply compressed the timeline, but the underlying driver is structural. Any time supply and demand information arrives outside market hours, whether a new reserve discovery, a geopolitical event, or a policy announcement, traders will route to wherever they can act. The evolution of commodities is onchain." Enjoy the read. Some excerpts below, with the link to the full PDF.




The Evolution of Commodities Report Written by @castle_labs, @francescoweb3, @noveleader We're proud to publish this extensive report from Castle Labs on HRC: a 70-page deep dive on the history of commodities and where onchain trading stands today. The report covers everything from the history of commodity infrastructure and its evolution, to the current state of onchain markets, with both qualitative and quantitative analysis. The authors also share where they think this is all heading. If you want to understand onchain commodities, this is a must read. "Onchain commodity markets didn't need the Iran strikes to exist. They were already growing. The gold rally earlier this year showed the same dynamic: spot tokenised gold volumes spiked as the price moved fast over a weekend. The strikes in Iran simply compressed the timeline, but the underlying driver is structural. Any time supply and demand information arrives outside market hours, whether a new reserve discovery, a geopolitical event, or a policy announcement, traders will route to wherever they can act. The evolution of commodities is onchain." Enjoy the read. Some excerpts below, with the link to the full PDF.