Fred Azevedo
901 posts

Fred Azevedo
@itsrawfred
Honest crypto casino reviews and audits Building the RawCrew community Head of Ops at @BasherAgency Sponsored by @GamecheckCOM
Katılım Haziran 2021
122 Takip Edilen8.5K Takipçiler

@itsrawfred the problem with duel is that it has no lossback, rakeback alone is shit, gamba is simply better...
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DUEL 100% RTP CASTLE ROULETTE AUDITED
👉 data sets available for download
Back in December I started recording every single Castle Roulette spin into my own database. Originally just to power the live stats page on rawcrew. Polled every 8 seconds, kept it running.
Five months later I looked up and I had 318,981 rounds sitting there.
At some point I realized this was not just a stats feed. It was an audit waiting to happen.
I told Duel what I was doing. @Dollartree_1 sent me 400,000 rounds straight from their backend. Raw, no filter, no cherry pick.
I crossed both datasets. Same game, same period, two completely separate sources.
What I found:
Out of 318,458 comparable rounds, 318,414 matched perfectly. That is a 99.99% match rate between two independent sources.
Every bet type sits at or very near the expected 100% RTP. 2x at 100.17% on my side, 100.12% on theirs. 4x at 100.04% on both. 8x at 100.04% on both. 16x at 99.29% / 99.40%. 24x at 99.49% / 99.57%. 48x at 98.46% / 98.99%.
Now if you saw those last three lines and thought "hold on, those are below 100%, something is off," that is a fair reaction. I want to address it directly because it is the first thing a careful reader notices.
Here is why those numbers look like that. Castle Roulette has 48 positions on the wheel. The 48x multiplier sits on exactly 1 of those 48. So in 318,000 rounds it is only expected to hit around 6,600 times. The 24x sits on 2 slots, the 16x on 3. Rare events on a small sample swing more, that is just how variance works. The lower the hit rate, the wider the natural spread around 100%, even when nothing is wrong with the game.
If the sample was 10 million rounds those numbers would tighten right back to 100%. With a few hundred thousand they wobble a bit. That wobble is expected, not suspicious.
The statistical tests confirm it. Chi-squared goodness of fit at 2.63, well below the 11.07 threshold. P-value of 0.76. A perfectly fair game would produce this much variation or more 76% of the time. It passes easily.
Runs test for randomness: 200,722 runs, inside the expected band. Passes.
Repeat analysis across all six multipliers came back inside expected bounds. No clustering, no manipulation.
The wheel mechanic itself is textbook provably fair. Server seed committed before the round, drand beacon as external randomness neither side controls, HMAC-SHA256 to combine them. Anyone can replay any round and verify it. 0% house edge confirmed.
Now the part that matters most. I am not a research firm. I am one guy pulling data and doing my best to read it honestly using lots of AI. I could have made mistakes.
That is exactly why I am sharing both raw datasets, mine and Duel's. Link in the comments. Download them, open them up, run your own numbers. If I got something wrong I want to know.
Thanks to Duel for sharing their official data. That kind of transparency is what made this even possible.

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@jacobeyebrow was the guy that built the API and enabled the data collection from Duel, kudos bro
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WE JUST WON $105,000 ON KENO! 👀 @shufflecom
HIT FOR $35K, DOUBLED BET & INSTANTLY HIT IT AGAIN FOR $70K! 😎
We've got $37,500 in bi-weekly Shuffle & Shuffle US Leaderboards w/ $135,000+ in TOTAL monthly rewards for code 'Benny' users!
$30K CHAT HUNT!
kick.com/bennyslots
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@DuelbitsJoe tell your intern you are getting the acc suspended by asking duel's id on a giveaway, he needs to check the new paid promo policies joe
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@udyszn 50k to invest on my new project, 6 month ROI, give you back 75k
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The same amount that should have been paid to the user was spent on an AI video, and it went viral.
This has completely turned into a cosmetic game. Companies are taking away the user’s main motivation and blocking those who are trying to enter this space like us
Ace Lab ST@AceLabsSt
Strange @luckyfun would ban over paying $1,000. I don't care about the money, Its the fact websites do this to users. Users follow the rules, Even help the website and still be met with a BAN?! Its shameful.
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@alexchenn @AceLabsSt @luckyfun curious to know what you are adding to your T&C, care to share @alexchenn
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you're right and I'm not gonna try to sugarcoat it. this shouldn't have happened
the whole reason I started lucky was to built something different in this space. transparent, fair and actually on the player's side. when we fall short of that I'd rather own it, fix it, and learn from it than pretend it didn't happen
we're updating our T&Cs so there's zero ambiguity going forward, and the security issue you reported is being patched
appreciate you giving us the chance to make it right
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Strange @luckyfun would ban over paying $1,000. I don't care about the money, Its the fact websites do this to users. Users follow the rules, Even help the website and still be met with a BAN?! Its shameful.
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@YogiGambles 1x 75,00 bonus buy on Groomer's Van and lets see what happens
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I forgot to roll this
If you got sent $100 right now.
What's your plan with it?
Yogi@YogiGambles
This might be the easiest $26,000 of my life. If Tyson wins this fight, I’ll pick one person who likes this tweet to give a $100 to 💵 Like + 🔁
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@hyunigram i've been a very unskilled gambler lately.. don't worry, im just one max win away from getting it all back
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Normalize naming and shaming (and suing people) who take "loans" from you when the going gets tough and then refuse to pay it back.
@Krypto_Khaleesi it's been more than an year since I lent you $11k to your KYCed @coinbase wallet. Pay it back by May 1st 2026 or I will see you in court.
Thank you for your attention to this matter
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@taunt_bet real gamblers don't use welcome offers, they are all rigged
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