Jason Sorens

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Jason Sorens

Jason Sorens

@JasonSorens

Economist @aier, founder & board director @freestatenh, opinions my own. Expect lots of data visualizations here.

New Hampshire, USA Katılım Temmuz 2013
1.1K Takip Edilen4.1K Takipçiler
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David Rand
David Rand@David_Rand_·
Weird twist in Montana: they’re taxing second homes and short-term rentals at the same steep rate. So if you own a vacation place, good luck renting it out when you’re not there.
Jason Sorens@JasonSorens

A @WSJ story today on second-home taxes mentioned early studies that found a negative association between such taxes and subsequent rents, but did not mention subsequent research that found a negative effect on house *prices* too. That's important because if taxing second homes reduces rents primarily by shifting vacant housing to the rental market, that's a relatively benign effect. But if it also decreases house prices, that means it's having an adverse effect on housing demand, essentially making a place less attractive to live in. The story does mention that taxing second homes could drive away people who contribute to the local economy without consuming many public services, but this is more than a hypothetical effect - real data seem to say it exists and it's strong (sources in replies).

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Jason Sorens
Jason Sorens@JasonSorens·
OK, but even if that's your philosophical starting point, the question is how to implement it in policy. Is there something inherently harmful about 2nd home ownership vs. other forms of luxury consumption? If the answer is "yes because there's a fixed supply of homes," then it seems as if you should focus on fixing the latter problem. If the answer is "no but we should redistribute from luxury consumers to provide basic needs for all," then you should tax all forms of luxury consumption, including luxury rentals, not just 2nd home ownership
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jason
jason@jason_schrock·
@JasonSorens @WSJ and we might disagree on this but many, myself included, see the commodification of housing as a major social ill. demand for a third home is totally different in kind than demand for a first home.
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Jason Sorens
Jason Sorens@JasonSorens·
A @WSJ story today on second-home taxes mentioned early studies that found a negative association between such taxes and subsequent rents, but did not mention subsequent research that found a negative effect on house *prices* too. That's important because if taxing second homes reduces rents primarily by shifting vacant housing to the rental market, that's a relatively benign effect. But if it also decreases house prices, that means it's having an adverse effect on housing demand, essentially making a place less attractive to live in. The story does mention that taxing second homes could drive away people who contribute to the local economy without consuming many public services, but this is more than a hypothetical effect - real data seem to say it exists and it's strong (sources in replies).
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Jason Sorens
Jason Sorens@JasonSorens·
@jason_schrock @WSJ Oh, I'm sure many will. But that is a reflection of lost demand - owners no longer willing to hold the house at its current cost of ownership.
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jason
jason@jason_schrock·
@JasonSorens @WSJ why are you so confident none will shift to the for-sale market?
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Jason Sorens
Jason Sorens@JasonSorens·
@jason_schrock @WSJ Nothing in taxing second homes increases the supply of homes. At best it shifts some homes from occasionally-vacant ownership to the rental market. So if taxing second homes reduces house *prices* - not rents-relative-to-prices - we know they must hit demand.
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jason
jason@jason_schrock·
@JasonSorens @WSJ There are two variables in simple classical microeconomics that impact price, Qdemand is only one of them. Do we remember what the other variable is?
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Jason Sorens
Jason Sorens@JasonSorens·
@MamuniaMaura @WSJ Schools are typically 2/3 of the local property tax bill, so that’s a pretty important difference!
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Maura Annette Chappelle
Maura Annette Chappelle@MamuniaMaura·
@JasonSorens @WSJ I'm glad the bill failed-- it would have been detrimental to tourism but please stop with second-houses-don't-use-services they use every one except schools (albeit ostensibly less often)
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Jason Sorens retweetledi
Alan D Miller
Alan D Miller@alanvibe·
Jacob Rees Mogg delivers an historic & impassioned speech at the vigil for the two Jewish people stabbed yesterday outside 10 Downing Street A brilliant speech @Jacob_Rees_Mogg
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Jason Sorens
Jason Sorens@JasonSorens·
Some of this is demand and some is supply. People flocked to beaches and mountains during the pandemic (FL, SC, DE, UT, ID, MT). But a bit later, also to economically dynamic places with good freedom to build & therefore lower housing costs (Texas, SoDak, Atlanta, Greenville).
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Jason Sorens
Jason Sorens@JasonSorens·
Housing unit percentage change, 2020 to 2025, continental U.S. counties
Jason Sorens tweet media
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