Mike Lyons

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Mike Lyons

Mike Lyons

@MAJMikeLyons

@WestPoint_USMA; @NYUStern; @USArmy; @NHL: @ArmyWP_MLax: @CNN. Views all mine. Life is difficult, endure the hardship.

New York Katılım Ekim 2008
9K Takip Edilen18.3K Takipçiler
Mike Lyons
Mike Lyons@MAJMikeLyons·
@josephcollins77 That all might be true, but a US - Iran conflict was in the future at some point, because an Israel - Iran conflict was inevitable as some point too. I wouldn’t call a regime who murders 40k of its civilians rational. The proxies need to go too
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Joseph J Collins
Joseph J Collins@josephcollins77·
Iran takes very prudent risks to extend its power. Think back a few yrs, they had proxy presence in Syria, Lebanon (still), Yemen (still). They are masters of terrorism and irregular warfare. They are slow to confront USA and its allies. I think that they are rational in their own context, as is the USA.
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Mike Lyons
Mike Lyons@MAJMikeLyons·
Iran is the number one U.S. foreign policy failure since World War II. The Islamabad talks this weekend won't fix that in two days. But three things have to come out of this: → No nukes. Full stop. → No ballistic missile program. → Ships moving freely through the Strait — not "coordinated" by Iran. Anything short of that and the Navy steps up. Just spoke on @NewsNation The Hill with @BlakeBurman.
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Mike Lyons
Mike Lyons@MAJMikeLyons·
@josephcollins77 Them having nuclear weapons puts them on par with Israel. Rational actor theory says mutually insured destruction, deters, either side from using. I don’t believe Iran is a rational actor. I believe they would use nuclear weapons as a first strike.
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Joseph J Collins
Joseph J Collins@josephcollins77·
@MAJMikeLyons Iran as a global threat ... maybe ... but they get along well w the Continentals. They want to be a regional power. Their "hates" and power rivals are UK, US, and Israel. On nukes: would a nation w one nuclear device use it on a nation that had thousands? Hundreds?
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Mike Lyons
Mike Lyons@MAJMikeLyons·
Think of MANPADs as the IED of this conflict. Low cost, potentially impactful.
Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡@shanaka86

BREAKING: CNN reported exclusively on April 11, citing three people familiar with recent US intelligence assessments, that China is preparing to deliver shoulder-fired anti-aircraft missile systems known as MANPADs to Iran within the next few weeks. This would constitute the most significant direct military transfer from Beijing to Tehran since the war began on February 28. China brokered the ceasefire. China nudged Iran toward the two-week pause that began April 8. China’s diplomatic pressure helped create the conditions for the Islamabad talks happening today. And US intelligence now assesses that the same China is preparing to arm the country it helped bring to the negotiating table with weapons designed to shoot down American aircraft. The likely system is the FN-6, a Chinese shoulder-fired missile weighing 16 kilograms with an infrared and ultraviolet dual-band seeker, a range of six kilometers, and a maximum altitude of 3,800 meters. It is optimized for exactly the kind of targets the US has been losing in this war. At least 24 MQ-9 Reaper drones have been destroyed since February 28, each one a $30 million platform flying low and slow through Iranian airspace that Chinese MANPADs are specifically designed to reach. Iran already reinforced Kharg Island with MANPADs in recent weeks. Russia signed a 500-launcher, 2,500-missile Verba MANPAD deal worth 495 million euros in December 2025. Now China enters the same supply chain. But the MANPADs are not the full picture. At least five sanctioned Iranian-flagged vessels have departed China’s Gaolan Port since February 28 carrying sodium perchlorate, a chemical precursor that converts to ammonium perchlorate through a simple metathesis reaction yielding 98 percent efficiency. Ammonium perchlorate constitutes 70 to 75 percent by weight of the solid propellant in Iranian ballistic missiles like the Kheibar Shekan. The Telegraph, Washington Post, and the Institute for the Study of War have independently confirmed these shipments contain enough material for hundreds of new missiles. The vessels are part of Iran’s IRISL shadow fleet, the same dark-fleet network that carries Iranian crude to Chinese teapot refineries settled in yuan via CIPS. The same ships. The same ghost fleet. The same yuan payment rails. Oil goes east. Missile chemicals go west. The bilateral trade is denominated in a currency that bypasses every US sanction, transits routes that avoid every Western chokepoint, and sustains a war machine that the country brokering peace is simultaneously resupplying. China vetoed the UN Hormuz resolution on April 7. China nudged Iran toward the ceasefire on April 8. China met Taiwan’s KMT opposition leader at the Great Hall of the People on April 10. And on April 11, CNN reports that China is preparing to deliver anti-aircraft missiles to Iran during the ceasefire China helped create, using the ghost fleet that carries Iranian oil to China, funded by the yuan toll system that China’s CIPS infrastructure enables. Every action is consistent. Every action serves Beijing. The ceasefire protects Chinese oil imports. The MANPADs protect Iran’s ability to close Hormuz again if the ceasefire fails. The sodium perchlorate restocks the missiles that make the threat credible. And the KMT meeting exploits the strategic window that the war China is fueling opened over Taiwan. This is not hedging. This is architecture. And the talks in Islamabad tonight are happening inside a building that China helped construct and is simultaneously undermining from the foundations. open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

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Mike Lyons
Mike Lyons@MAJMikeLyons·
@josephcollins77 No question genie out of the bottle on nuke tech - and we shouldn't when it comes to nuclear energy - but to allow weaponizing, that's where the line is drawn. Pak 155 nukes not a region threat; Iran missiles + nukes + proxies is a global threat. Tks, v/r ML
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Joseph J Collins
Joseph J Collins@josephcollins77·
@MAJMikeLyons Mike, your first two goals attempt to block progress in military side of 1940s technology. How long can we block nukes from moderately developed nations? Just a thought ...
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Mike Lyons
Mike Lyons@MAJMikeLyons·
This will allow Iran to continue asymmetric attacks. This will allow them, in effect, to conduct terror operations in the air. They could also damage ships moving in the gulf. They are the poor man's weapon of mass destruction.
Bloomberg@business

US intelligence indicates that China is preparing to provide Iran with air defense systems in a matter of weeks, CNN reported. Beijing is expected to ship shoulder-fired, surface-to-air missiles known as Man-Portable Air Defense Systems. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

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Michael A. Lewis
Michael A. Lewis@MichaelALewis73·
@MAJMikeLyons My man, how is it a failure if two of those three objectives have been met in a month and the third is imminent?
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Mike Lyons
Mike Lyons@MAJMikeLyons·
I’ll be on the great @AandGShow show shortly with all things latest on Iran - join us!
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Mike Lyons
Mike Lyons@MAJMikeLyons·
@jason_scalese @AandGShow I think he had to do something if Iran agreed to anything, and in his mind with the involvement of the Paki's he got the Strait opened (maybe not), but we'll see how the next two days goes - I want this finished.
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Jason Scalese
Jason Scalese@jason_scalese·
@MAJMikeLyons coming up on @AandGShow Please make sense of whatever TF has gone on in Iran this week with this so-called ceasefire. I want to give Trump the benefit of the doubt... but struggling on this one.
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Mike Lyons
Mike Lyons@MAJMikeLyons·
Will be on @NEWSMAX at the top of the hour with the latest on Iran - join us!
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Mike Lyons
Mike Lyons@MAJMikeLyons·
I have nothing but great respect for you professor but now is the time for the US to have this conflict with Iran, which is the greatest US FP failure post WWII. The ME countries are on our side, and the world should not be held hostage by the Iran over the straits. Another NK is unacceptable.
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Andrew A. Michta
Andrew A. Michta@andrewmichta·
Questions: How is victory in this conflict defined, what's the goal? The current escalatory spiral is just that. Most importantly, where does American public opinion stand on this issue? What is the likely long-term impact on the United States' influence and its alliances? 6/6
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Andrew A. Michta
Andrew A. Michta@andrewmichta·
🧵In 1951, Gen. Bradley bluntly told Gen. MacArthur that a war with China would be "the wrong war, at the wrong place, at the wrong time, and with the wrong enemy." As I watch the Iran war unfold, Bradley's words continue to ring mostly true today and are worth remembering. 1/6
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Mike Lyons retweetledi
Florida’s Voice
Florida’s Voice@FLVoiceNews·
🚨TRUMP'S IRAN RECONSTRUCTION PLAN: How does the president intend to rebuild Iran's civilian infrastructure after asserting his intent to target it? @MAJMikeLyons speculates that power plants may come under CYBER ATTACK but remain structurally intact for post-war use
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Mike Lyons
Mike Lyons@MAJMikeLyons·
Catch me at the top of the 8:00 am EST hour on “Wake Up America” on @NEWSMAX with @marc_lotter and @SharlaMcBride to talk all things war with Iran - what can expect this weekend - join us!
Mike Lyons tweet media
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Mike Lyons
Mike Lyons@MAJMikeLyons·
@Trevor21703 We can cavil over the definition of that - Iran was actually both. The fact is Iran has been at war with the United States since 1979. Is already responsible for killing Americans. Was threatening our allies. Should not have a nuclear weapon. They will no longer be a threat
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No One Special
No One Special@Trevor21703·
@MAJMikeLyons You, my friend, fail to understand the difference between a potential and actual threat. Iran was a potential threat, yes, but not an actual threat to the United States. Until now.
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Mike Lyons
Mike Lyons@MAJMikeLyons·
In the trajectory of history and future events, a US/Iran conflict has been inevitable since 1979. This is the time to have this settled - right now, when they are at their weakest.
Mark Dubowitz@mdubowitz

Next time, let’s wait until Iran has nuclear-armed ICBMs, 10,000 ballistic missiles, a Chinese- and Russian-built military, a million attack drones, a fully operational terror network, and hundreds of billions to harden its economy. Then we’ll fight to reopen Hormuz.

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Mike Lyons
Mike Lyons@MAJMikeLyons·
@Trevor21703 He’s going to have to if it goes past 60 days and it’s already going into month 2 so it’s coming.
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No One Special
No One Special@Trevor21703·
@MAJMikeLyons And riddle me this: if this is such an important and noble task, why has Trump refused to obtain Congressional Approval?
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Mike Lyons
Mike Lyons@MAJMikeLyons·
@Trevor21703 Your “ilk” fails to accept that war and conflict is a natural state between civilizations. No amount policy, even in advance culture, will not prevent it. At some point you have to fight to eliminate a threat, and it’s best on your own terms.
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No One Special
No One Special@Trevor21703·
@MAJMikeLyons It wasn’t inevitable, you and your ilk just made it that way on purpose.
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