Nonviolent Gandi
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@nonviolentgandi
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Axios: The Pentagon is developing military options for a "final blow" in Iran that could include the use of ground forces and a massive bombing campaign, according to two U.S. officials and two sources with knowledge.
YES - the superpower model we have documented at @rethink_x: this is just stage one. The next stage is to use the surplus to power services, innovation and industry
EXCLUSIVE: 1/ Epstein didn’t just prey on children. He helped bankroll and embed a worldview of race science, climate “culling” and eugenics inside Silicon Valley’s elite AI networks. Tonight we publish the final part of my @BylineTimes investigation🧵bylinetimes.com/2025/12/05/how…
GOP Rep. Mary Franson says she's not worried about climate change because it's not in the Bible: "If you've read the Good Book, you know how it ends, and it's not with climate change." How can we expect Republicans to do serious work when they're so proud about ignoring science?
CNN's Chief National Security Analyst drops a bombshell. The US has moved all the pieces into the region for a massive ground invasion of Iran. They are openly discussing seizing Kharg Island and the Strait of Hormuz while pretending to negotiate peace. Absolute deception.
Sometimes there is too much wind for our outdated grid to handle, especially in Scotland and the East of England. Rather than paying wind farms to switch off we’re trialling a new system where people who live near these constrained areas get cheaper - or even free - electricity.
Energy industry insider in Iran tells me the following, and it is STUNNING: Before the war, Iran produced just shy of 1.1mn barrels of oil per day, and sold it at $65 per barrel minus $18 discount (i.e. $47) Today, it produces 1.5mn barrels a day, and sells it at $110 with only $2-4 discount. And this does not include petrochemical sales that not only have increased, but are now being sold to a larger set of customers compared to before the war. Moreover, Iran is receiving payments through new mechanisms that bypass the UAE, which were set up after the June war. In essence, and this is really important to understand, Trump and Israel's war has ended up delivering Iran de facto sanctions relief. This means that Iran is all the less incentivized to end the war, unless the agreement provides Iran with formal sanctions relief.
BREAKING: The head of the International Energy Agency just stood at a podium in Canberra and said what this series has been saying for three weeks. Fatih Birol, IEA Executive Director, told Australia’s National Press Club on Monday that at least 40 energy assets across nine Middle Eastern countries have been “severely or very severely damaged” since the Iran war began on February 28. Oil fields. Refineries. Pipelines. LNG facilities. He said these will take “some time” to come back online, prolonging global supply disruptions even after any ceasefire. He said the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz has reduced global oil supplies by approximately 11 million barrels per day, more than double the combined shortfalls of the 1973 and 1979 oil crises. He said the current crisis is “two oil crises and one gas crash put all together.” He said no country will be immune. He called it a “major, major threat” to the global economy. And then he said one sentence that should be read by every person following this war. “Some of the vital arteries of the global economy, such as petrochemicals, fertilisers, such as sulfur, such as helium, their trade is all interrupted, which would have serious consequences for the global economy.” Petrochemicals. Fertilisers. Sulfur. Helium. The head of the IEA just named the four molecules that this series has been tracking since Day 1. He did not say oil. He did not say gas. He said fertilisers. He said helium. The man who runs the world’s energy security agency just told a room full of Australian journalists that the war is not about barrels. It is about molecules. The fertiliser that South Asia needs for the spring planting window. The helium that TSMC needs for chip fabrication in Hsinchu. The sulfur that underpins every industrial chemical chain on Earth. The petrochemicals that become the plastics, the packaging, the pharmaceuticals. Birol said he spoke publicly because “the depth of the problem was not well appreciated by decision-makers around the world.” Forty assets. Nine countries. The damage is already done. The repair will take months. And the strait that carries 20 percent of global oil and gas is still closed, with Trump’s 48-hour ultimatum expiring tonight and Iran promising permanent closure if the ultimatum is executed. The IEA has already released 400 million barrels of emergency oil reserves, the largest in its history. Birol said Monday that further releases remain on the table. “If it is necessary, of course, we will do it.” He singled out Asia as being at the forefront of the energy shock. He said reopening the Strait of Hormuz is the “single most important” solution. But reopening the strait does not rebuild a bombed refinery. Reopening the strait does not restart a damaged pipeline. Reopening the strait does not restore the LNG terminal that was hit. The 40 assets that are severely damaged will remain severely damaged whether the strait opens tomorrow or in six months. This is the sentence no one else will write: the ceasefire will not end the crisis. The infrastructure that produces the molecules the world needs has been physically destroyed across nine countries. The repair timeline is measured in months and years. The planting window is measured in weeks. The helium supply is measured in days. The gap between the repair clock and the molecule clock is the gap that defines the next year of global food prices, chip production, and industrial output. Forty assets. Nine countries. Four molecules. One sentence from Canberra that confirmed everything. Full analysis: open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…
