Office for Budget Responsibility

Revisions bring 2025-26 borrowing slightly below forecast – we’ve just published our monthly commentary on the public finances 📊 Read more on our website: obr.uk/monthly-public…

Initial estimate of 2025-26 borrowing in line with forecast– we’ve published our monthly commentary on the public finances 📊 We have also published monthly profiles for receipts, spending and borrowing in 2026-27. We will be monitoring the 2026-27 monthly outturn data against monthly profiles consistent with our March 2026 forecast. obr.uk/monthly-public…

Can your work help strengthen our economic and fiscal analysis? We have published our areas of research interest including: 📈 Economic forecasting & modelling – productivity, investment, migration 🪙 Fiscal forecasting & modelling – gilt yields, spending drivers, tax bases 🔎 Economic & behavioural impacts of policy – public investment, labour supply, capital taxes 🔀Cross cutting issues – climate change, uncertainty, risk Contact us at: obr.equires@obr.uk obr.uk/obrs-areas-of-…

Our latest Fiscal risks and sustainability report will be published on 7 July 📗 Our new report will have chapters on the economy, receipts, spending and debt sustainability. obr.uk/fiscal-risks-a…

Our latest Welfare trends report will be published on 23 June 📢 This biennial report will examine fraud and error in the welfare system. obr.uk/welfare-trends…

Our annual Forecast evaluation report will be published on 2 June 📒 We will assess our July 2020, March 2023, and March 2024 forecasts, for the fiscal year 2024-25, against latest outturn data and identify lessons for future forecasts. obr.uk/forecast-evalu…

Thanks to requests for additional information since our November 2025 Economic and fiscal outlook (EFO), we have now published supplementary releases providing further detail on a range of policy costings, including reforms to tax reliefs, property taxation and motoring charges. This supplementary costings information is available below and on the November 2025 EFO page: obr.uk/supplementary-…

Year-to-date borrowing remains below previous year – we’ve just published our monthly commentary on the public finances 📊 Read more on our website: obr.uk/monthly-public…

We have now published the supporting documents for our latest Economic and fiscal outlook on our website. obr.uk/efo/economic-a…

HM Treasury has now published our latest Economic and fiscal outlook on its website. gov.uk/government/pub…

Our latest Economic and fiscal outlook (EFO) will be published today. It will set out our latest forecasts for the economy and the public finances. This EFO will be published on the HM Treasury website once the Chancellor’s statement is complete. Supporting material and detailed forecast tables will be available on the OBR website by the end of the day.

The Economic and fiscal outlook will be published on Tuesday 3 March. It will initially be published on the HM Treasury website once the Chancellor’s statement is complete. Supporting material and detailed forecast tables will be available on our website before the end of the day.

1 week until we publish our latest forecast 📘 Following the Chancellor’s statement our updated outlook for the economy and public finances will be presented by the Budget Responsibility Committee. Join us on Tuesday 3 March via Slido from 2.30pm app.sli.do/event/py3XeQwb…

The Treasury is hiring a new Chair for the Office for Budget Responsibility, with applications open until 26 March. …for-public-appointment.service.gov.uk/roles/9134

Year to date borrowing slightly below forecast profile – we've just published our monthly commentary on the public finances 📊 Read more on our website: obr.uk/monthly-public…

Rydym wedi cyhoeddi ein Rhagolwg trethi Cymreig ochr yn ochr â Chyllideb Derfynol Llywodraeth Cymru ar gyfer 2026-27. Mae’n nodi ein rhagolygon ar gyfer y trethi datganoledig a sefyllfa net trethi Cymru. obr.uk/wto/rhagolwg-t…

We have published our Welsh taxes outlook alongside the Welsh Government’s Final Budget for 2026-27. This sets out our forecasts for the devolved Welsh taxes and the latest projection of the net tax position. obr.uk/wto/welsh-taxe…

The Chancellor has commissioned the OBR to produce our next forecast on Tuesday 3 March 2026. We will publish an updated Economic and fiscal outlook on that day.