Paweł Łaskarzewski

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Paweł Łaskarzewski

Paweł Łaskarzewski

@PawelSynapse

Micro, Macro, Crypto Economy @NomadFulcrum | DeFi is the ultimate revolutionary act | I am DeGen - DEcentralised GENeration | The future is liquid

DeFAI & RWA at @NomadFulcrum Katılım Şubat 2010
2.7K Takip Edilen118.8K Takipçiler
Paweł Łaskarzewski
Paweł Łaskarzewski@PawelSynapse·
The interesting question isn't whether banks and fintechs cooperate - it's who keeps the customer when they do. Join me on May 21 for Fintech & Banking: Rivals, Partners - or Both? Should be a good one.
Nomad Fulcrum@nomadfulcrum

Fintech & Banking: Rivals, Partners - or both? That's the question on the table at our upcoming webinar. @PawelSynapse joins the panel to bring his perspective. 🌐Hosted by the Swedish-Polish Chamber of Commerce. 🔗Registration links in the comment section.

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Paweł Łaskarzewski
Paweł Łaskarzewski@PawelSynapse·
@wauwda Nah, trendline break with both oscillators turning from oversold on the 2W is a clean read. Just needs follow-through to confirm 😎
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Wauwda.
Wauwda.@wauwda·
Are we really going to overcomplicate it?
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Paweł Łaskarzewski
Paweł Łaskarzewski@PawelSynapse·
@CryptoTice_ Reclaim matters, but ETH has poked above realized price before and faded back. Few weeks of holding it with real spot demand is what actually flips the structure.
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Crypto Tice
Crypto Tice@CryptoTice_·
ETH JUST BROKE ABOVE ITS REALIZED PRICE. This is not a small technical level. This is the line between bearish and bullish on chain structure. Below realized price holders are underwater on average. Above realized price the market flips to collective profit. ETH just crossed it. The bearish trend is ending. The bullish trend is beginning. This signal has preceded every major ETH rally in history.
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Paweł Łaskarzewski
Paweł Łaskarzewski@PawelSynapse·
@CryptoGerla Reclaim looks clean but it's tagging the underside of that old range. Close above 80k with volume or it's just a retest 👀
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Gerla
Gerla@CryptoGerla·
Will $BTC get a bullish weekly candle close?
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Paweł Łaskarzewski
Paweł Łaskarzewski@PawelSynapse·
@QuintenFrancois Structure rhymes but the catalyst doesn't. 2022 had FTX driving that second leg, this round still needs its own villain 🤔
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Quinten | 048.eth
Quinten | 048.eth@QuintenFrancois·
My heart rate just doubled 🚨
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Paweł Łaskarzewski
Paweł Łaskarzewski@PawelSynapse·
@PikaCrypto5 Roadmap looks clean, but the storm rarely arrives on schedule. That uptrend retest is the part most will fade too early.
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PikaCrypto
PikaCrypto@PikaCrypto5·
$BTC calm before the storm. 🌩️
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Paweł Łaskarzewski
Paweł Łaskarzewski@PawelSynapse·
@CryptoJelleNL Clean confluence at the 200d, RSI cooked. First touch usually rejects, second tells the real story 👀
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Jelle
Jelle@CryptoJelleNL·
$BTC's daily RSI went overbought right as we tagged the 200-day EMA. Makes sense to find resistance here.
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Paweł Łaskarzewski
Paweł Łaskarzewski@PawelSynapse·
@CryptosBatman Fair on the structure. "Never" calls in crypto just have a habit of marking turning points more than confirming them 🫡
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BATMAN ⚡
BATMAN ⚡@CryptosBatman·
Another bearish flag, another breakdown. The continuous weakening of $ETH against $BTC teaches us an important lesson. Nothing will ever beat Bitcoin long term. It's like investing in a foreign equity market while the domestic currency keeps weakening. Same concept. Bitcoin should always be the main play.
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Paweł Łaskarzewski
Paweł Łaskarzewski@PawelSynapse·
@WhaleSatoshi Drawn arrows always go 850%. The real ones tend to chop you out twice before they actually deliver 😉
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Whale Satoshi
Whale Satoshi@WhaleSatoshi·
ALTCOINS WILL EXPLODE. THIS IS THE TIME TO LOCK IN 🔐
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Paweł Łaskarzewski
Paweł Łaskarzewski@PawelSynapse·
@CryptoJelleNL 95% in 2018 still wasn't the real bottom. These bounces are just bear market math until the downtrend actually snaps.
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Jelle
Jelle@CryptoJelleNL·
$BTC's current move from the lows, compared to bear market relief rallies in the past. Bullish excitement after 37% upside makes sense, but the trend is still down - until that trend is broken. Stay vigilant.
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Paweł Łaskarzewski
Paweł Łaskarzewski@PawelSynapse·
@LongtermR Usually means relief, not trend. Spot bid has to show up or this fades right back into the range.
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Paweł Łaskarzewski
Paweł Łaskarzewski@PawelSynapse·
@alwayswinsignal Hmm, 76k has been the line holding the whole structure since Feb. Lose it cleanly and the rest of that path writes itself.
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Always win
Always win@alwayswinsignal·
$BTC Final plan for this cycle
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Paweł Łaskarzewski
Paweł Łaskarzewski@PawelSynapse·
@JamesEastonUK Same line tagged, same dots lining up. Hard to call the rhythm dead when it keeps printing on cue 😎
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James
James@JamesEastonUK·
$BTC 🟠 Mayer Multiple & Chaos Weighted RSI. 4 year what?
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Paweł Łaskarzewski
Paweł Łaskarzewski@PawelSynapse·
@CryptoGerla Clean roadmap on paper, but the chop rarely respects the arrows. If 60k holds as a floor, the rest writes itself 👀
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Gerla
Gerla@CryptoGerla·
This is how $BTC plays out in the long run. Short term pain, then the capitulation, accumulation & after that a massive bull run.
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Paweł Łaskarzewski
Paweł Łaskarzewski@PawelSynapse·
@TheMoonShow Every parabolic alt looks like clean PO3 in the moment. The real tell is whether expansion holds bid on the first proper pullback, not where the projection points.
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The Moon Show
The Moon Show@TheMoonShow·
$PENGU looks like a clean PO3. Accumulation done, manipulation done… now expansion.
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Paweł Łaskarzewski
Paweł Łaskarzewski@PawelSynapse·
@randgroup n=658 daily snapshots of maybe five unique drawdown events isn't really 658 independent samples. Base rate holds, the confidence interval around it is just much wider than the bars imply.
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Rand Group
Rand Group@randgroup·
Bitcoin drops 50% from ATH: 🔸 12 months later: +162% 🔸 36 months later: +335% 98.6% win rate after 3 years. Not a quant strategy. Just buying Bitcoin after everyone else gave up.
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Paweł Łaskarzewski
Paweł Łaskarzewski@PawelSynapse·
@CoinSignals_ Two 0.382 taps in different regimes aren't the same setup. Invalidation here is a weekly close back above with acceptance on retest, not the wick that tags it.
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Coin Signals
Coin Signals@CoinSignals_·
🚨💰 Bitcoin tapped the 0.382 level, just like in January before crash. Is this time different? Probably not. Bottom is not in.
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Paweł Łaskarzewski
Paweł Łaskarzewski@PawelSynapse·
@cryptojack Same playbook every cycle. Capital lands in BTC first, alts have to wait for positioning to saturate before the rotation kicks in.
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CryptoJack
CryptoJack@cryptojack·
$BTC dominance over altcoins has surged to its highest level since July 2025.
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Paweł Łaskarzewski
Paweł Łaskarzewski@PawelSynapse·
@CW8900 What was the liquidity backdrop on that prior leg though? Fractals tend to rhyme harder when conditions actually match.
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