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92% chance Mamdani freezes rents. poly.market/BnUevs5

JUST IN: Manhattan median rent has surged to a record $5,295 per month, while Brooklyn hits $4,350.

North Carolina Senate election forecast: poly.market/jddg82s

JUST IN: CNBC names North Carolina the top state economy in America for 2026.

BREAKING: Federal appeals court revives 500+ lawsuits alleging Tylenol use during pregnancy is linked to autism & ADHD.

37% chance the Clarity Act is signed into law this year. poly.market/npRcjhj

JUST IN: Trump urges Senate to pass the Clarity Act in honor of Lindsey Graham.

30% chance Hormuz traffic returns to normal by the end of September. poly.market/aTHF4WB

BREAKING: Strait of Hormuz confirmed crossings reportedly plunged -52% this weekend as vessels shifted toward “dark” routes.

JUST IN: Extreme heat forces France to shut three nuclear reactors and cut power at eight more.

BREAKING: Trump officially recommends Lindsey Graham’s sister, Darline, to serve as South Carolina’s interim U.S. senator.

54% chance Paramount closes the Warner Bros. deal this year. poly.market/AulKmEC

JUST IN: Paramount is reportedly weighing a move out of California if the state tries to block its Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition.

BREAKING: Trump officially announces the reinstatement of the U.S. naval blockade of Iran.

BREAKING: Trump announces the U.S. will charge 20% on all cargo shipped through the Strait of Hormuz.

36% chance Iran charges Hormuz fees by the end of next month. poly.market/7FTgt4v

JUST IN: Trump reveals U.S. held an 11-hour meeting with Iran & “everything was agreed to” before Tehran began demanding changes regarding the Strait of Hormuz — Fox

2% chance another World Cup card is reversed. poly.market/4ATiYFy

NEW: It's been revealed a single FIFA official acted alone to suspend Folarin Balogun’s World Cup ban, without consulting the other 17 disciplinary committee members.

JUST IN: Trump administration launches campaign to isolate the International Criminal Court & pressure countries to reject its authority over Americans.