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jan dekkers
jan dekkers@jan_dekkersยท
#๐—ก๐—œ๐—ข ๐—ฆ๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ด๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—–๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ณ๐—ถ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฒ, ๐—š๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜„๐˜๐—ต, ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ฎ ๐—•๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ธ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐˜ ๐—ฆ๐—ฒ๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฝ - ๐—œ๐—•๐—— ๐—ฆ๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜€ ๐—ฎ ๐—ง๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜ Shares of $NIO are starting to behave very differently, and according to a recent report from Investor's Business Daily, the shift is being driven by something the market hasnโ€™t seen in years: credible execution paired with real confidence from leadership. ๐—–๐—˜๐—ข ๐—–๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ณ๐—ถ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฒ ๐—œ๐˜€ ๐——๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ก๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ ๐—ฆ๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ณ๐˜ At the center of the move is William Li, who made it clear he expects NIO to hit its 40% to 50% delivery growth target in 2026. Thatโ€™s not just optimistic language, itโ€™s backed by numbers: โ€ข 2025 deliveries: 326,028 vehicles โ€ข 2026 implied target: ~456,000 to ~489,000 vehicles Even more important, Q1 already showed momentum: โ€ข 83,465 deliveries โ€ข +98% year-over-year growth This isnโ€™t theoretical growth anymore, itโ€™s happening now. ๐—ฃ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ฑ๐˜‚๐—ฐ๐˜ ๐—–๐˜†๐—ฐ๐—น๐—ฒ: ๐—˜๐—ฆ๐Ÿด ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ณ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐—ต + ๐—˜๐—ฆ๐Ÿต ๐—Ÿ๐—ฎ๐˜‚๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ต NIOโ€™s next leg up is being powered by a strong product cycle. ๐—™๐—น๐—ฎ๐—ด๐˜€๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ฝ ๐—ฃ๐˜‚๐˜€๐—ต ๐—œ๐—ป๐˜๐—ผ ๐—ฃ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ถ๐˜‚๐—บ ๐—ฆ๐—จ๐—ฉ๐˜€ โ€ข Updated NIO ES8 targets the high-end luxury EV segment โ€ข New NIO ES9 priced around ยฅ528,000 (~$77K) The ES9 is expected to debut publicly at the Beijing International Automotive Exhibition before full launch and deliveries ramp into mid-2026. This positions NIO directly against: โ€ข Mercedes-Benz โ€ข BMW โ€ข High-end Chinese EV competitors like BYD and Geely ๐— ๐˜‚๐—น๐˜๐—ถ-๐—•๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ด๐˜† ๐—˜๐˜…๐—ฝ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ต NIO is no longer a single-brand story: โ€ข Firefly โ†’ entry-level / affordable EVs โ€ข Onvo โ†’ mass-market positioning โ€ข NIO core brand โ†’ premium/luxury This tiered approach mirrors what legacy automakers have done for decades, and gives NIO coverage across multiple price segments, not just the luxury niche. ๐—˜๐˜…๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐˜€: ๐—ฆ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—น ๐—ง๐—ผ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜†, ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ด๐—ถ๐—ฐ ๐—ง๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜„ IBD highlights a weak spot, but also an opportunity. โ€ข March exports: 103 vehicles โ€ข 2026 forecast: โ€œseveral thousand unitsโ€ Right now, exports are negligible. But strategically, they matter because: โ€ข China EV competition is intensifying โ€ข International markets = margin expansion + brand diversification If exports scale, it becomes a second growth engine, not just incremental volume. ๐—ฃ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ณ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ฏ๐—ถ๐—น๐—ถ๐˜๐˜† ๐—•๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ธ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ด๐—ต ๐—œ๐˜€ ๐—–๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ด๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜† One of the most important underreported catalysts: NIO recently posted its first-ever quarterly net profit (~ยฅ22.4M). That single data point changes investor psychology: โ€ข Moves NIO from โ€œcash-burning EV startupโ€ โ€ข Toward โ€œemerging profitable growth companyโ€ Thatโ€™s exactly the kind of transition IBD tends to highlight early. ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฐ๐—ธ ๐—”๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป: ๐—–๐—น๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ฐ ๐—œ๐—•๐—— ๐—ฆ๐—ฒ๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฝ ๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—บ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด From a technical standpoint, this is where things get interesting. IBD notes: โ€ข Cup base forming since December โ€ข Buy point: 8.02 โ€ข Early entry: 6.21 (already cleared) โ€ข Above 50-day moving average by ~21.7% Year-to-date performance: โ€ข +27.5% in 2026 โ€ข +17% in 2025 This is textbook early-stage leadership behavior: โ€ข Strong relative strength โ€ข Breaking out ahead of fundamentals catching up โ€ข Institutional accumulation beginning to show ๐—ช๐—ต๐˜† ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐— ๐—ฎ๐˜๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€ ๐—ก๐—ผ๐˜„ IBD-style setups tend to appear when three things align: Fundamentals improving โ†’ (profitability + growth acceleration) Catalysts ahead โ†’ (ES9 launch, production ramp) Technical strength โ†’ (base formation + breakout levels) NIO is now checking all three boxes, something it hasnโ€™t consistently done in years. ๐—•๐—ผ๐˜๐˜๐—ผ๐—บ ๐—Ÿ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฒ NIO is no longer just a speculative EV name reacting to headlines. Itโ€™s evolving into: โ€ข A multi-brand EV platform โ€ข With accelerating delivery growth โ€ข Entering a new product supercycle โ€ข And showing early signs of sustained profitability IBDโ€™s analysis suggests this may be the early phase of a larger move, but execution still matters. If NIO delivers on: โ€ข 40% to 50% growth โ€ข ES9 ramp success โ€ข continued profitability Then the current rally may not be the end of the story, it could be the beginning of a re-rating.
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jan dekkers@jan_dekkers

China EV Maker $NIO Surges; CEO 'Confident' In 2026 Targets investors.com/news/nio-chineโ€ฆ

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Roger
Roger@N2O2incยท
@jan_dekkers $NIO gaining today. Awareness seems to be improving.
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