JMToWin

Shoutout to the @oneweekseason team for the unbelievable consistency and quality. (& shoutout to @LordReebs for such consistently high-quality work as well)

Welcome to the new OWS Props account 👀 The interns misplaced the login (don’t ask)… so we upgraded. To kick things off, we’re giving away 5 weekly NBA Props Insider packages. Follow + Like + RT to enter. Win it for yourself… or gift it to someone who needs a W this holiday season. 🎁🔥

ICYMI :: I have some new foundational // favorite building blocks for this week's slate that I dropped in my Journal last night. IMO, this is one of the sharper angles available on the slate for contests of 4k or fewer entries (and it works in contests of all sizes). If you don't follow along in my Journal, Winner Circle will also be live soon, where I'll talk about this, and my Player Grid Update will be live around 8 PM Eastern as well.

You know your coach is conservative when Troy Aikman thinks you should be more aggressive.

@AndrewTuttle 🔥

@JMToWin Chiefs win tiebreak with Indy/LAC (any 2 way or 3 way) at 10-7 IF Chargers lose the @ DEN game LAC wins tiebreak with KC at 10-7 if they win the @ DEN game. If the Chiefs win their last 4 AND LAC loses @ DEN, they are probably 85-90%+ to get in.

Apparently, this is a hot take(?) — but if the Chiefs win out, I think they make the playoffs. Look at the Colts’ schedule. Look at the Chargers’ schedule. They need to pass those two teams in order to make it. I don’t think the Colts finish 10-7 or better. The Chargers can, but I honestly think they’re underdogs to get there (Eagles // at Chiefs // at Cowboys // Texans // at Broncos). I don’t know what the tie-breakers shake out to if Chargers and Chiefs are both 10-7 with a split in their games. But it seems the hand-wringing and grave dancing has started a little bit early.

Sully is having a game.

It’s harder for me to see the high-end runout in that matchup, but it would have been hard for me to see it vs Philly, too. It’s also a perfect block, in that neither player will be popular — so regardless of how the points shake out, you benefit from the block. I don’t see the Certainty with it… …but I certainly see the runout in which it works. Sharp call, for sure. High-variance, but powerful if it hits.

@JMToWin You talk about a Brown/Perine backfield at $10.9 and you wouldn't choose it, but there is a 42 in the game set. I prefer a Swift/Monangai at $11.3 with a 45.8/ a 41.2/ with a few in the 30s. Thoughts?

@jbonEs733 LOL — did enough to save my main build in spite of Puka & CLE taking up space 😂

@JMToWin Superb call w jets stuff too

OWS szn! I sometimes check out and take some time offline as soon as the late games end, and don’t always do a great job shouting these out. It’s been a full season like this — but looks like this was one of our bigger ones. Congrats, fam! Let’s run it back next week.

Go home, Week 12 — you’re drunk.

@Billy_Brown_09 Throwback 😂

@JMToWin Shower narrative

Troy Franklin feels like a player we will all have forgotten about in four or five years. “Oh yeah, he played a bunch that one year, didn’t he?”

@Sonic_nhpain Super Bowl hero.

@JMToWin Malcolm Mitchell > Troy Franklin

If it wasn’t your week, don’t sweat it. Look around you. Your time is coming.

🔥

Another week of the Binks channel lighting up. Awesome work, OWS Fam 🔥