PolycarpFX

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PolycarpFX

PolycarpFX

@PolycarpFX

Macro & Technical Markets : High-conviction analysis, scenario planning, edge through data + positioning. Not investment advice.

Salt Lake City, UT Entrou em Mayıs 2022
560 Seguindo2.7K Seguidores
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PolycarpFX
PolycarpFX@PolycarpFX·
🧵 Just dropped my Q2 - 2026 Market Outlook with the link in the comments for access. $SPY $SPX $VIX Here's what I'm watching, what I got right in Q1, and why the next 6 months could be the most important of this cycle. Thread 👇
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PolycarpFX
PolycarpFX@PolycarpFX·
$NVDA $FIS $AMD $MSFT Seasonal Leaders for March 30th Forward 👇
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Charlie Bilello
Charlie Bilello@charliebilello·
The $VIX ended last week at 31, its highest level since last April (tariff tantrum) and above 94% of historical readings.
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PolycarpFX
PolycarpFX@PolycarpFX·
$BSX filled gap from February 2024 and bounced
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PolycarpFX
PolycarpFX@PolycarpFX·
$IHI $ABT $MDT $BSX opportunities here
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PolycarpFX
PolycarpFX@PolycarpFX·
$UNH Catalyst upcoming before April 6th (That’s next Monday, so time to position is now). Can play this via shares, lotto calls, or $UNHG (2x ETF). Take profit targets are 280, 291, and 310 on some blowout. Most likely I will sell the initial move off the news if positive and lock profit or cut losses. I think it will move higher before the announcement so can scalp on the way up. (yes I moved the wedge down, that's what technicians do ☠️) SVFI < 15 favors a strong bounce regardless
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Duality Research
Duality Research@DualityResearch·
🛢️ WTI crude oil has finally touched the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of March’s high–low range.
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PolycarpFX
PolycarpFX@PolycarpFX·
$IHI - Med Device ETF One of the few sectors that can align well as a trading vehicle in bear and bull environments. Notice how in 2022 this reading was often a good buy spot for a bounce. The companies within include names such as $ABT and $MDT. We are also nearing the uptrend from the 2020 Covid Lows.
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PolycarpFX
PolycarpFX@PolycarpFX·
The idea that this flips quickly isn’t unreasonable. $TLT $TNX
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PolycarpFX
PolycarpFX@PolycarpFX·
Historically, some of the best risk‑reward in midterm years appears when buying in early November, where the first week has an excellent track record in past cycles, making it a natural window to get more aggressive once the technical and macro backdrop start to repair. $SPX $VIX
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PolycarpFX
PolycarpFX@PolycarpFX·
$XLF watching Financials here, $FAS (3x ETF) might be a way to play a bounce
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PolycarpFX
PolycarpFX@PolycarpFX·
Confident the 365 gap gets filled this week. I’ll likely buy lotto calls at open for that as minimum target, $MSFL should do well here, risk is a little lower near April 2025 low. $MSFT forward returns when NDFI < 16 creates additional support for the thesis.
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PolycarpFX
PolycarpFX@PolycarpFX·
👇Week Ahead Trade Plan - Under Pressure 🌎 Link for access in the comments Includes - 6 Trade Idea's with Targets 🎯 and Buy Levels - Index Data and Short Term Outlook $SPY $QQQ - A Few Longer Term Investment Idea's 💎 Here's a teaser 🧵
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PolycarpFX
PolycarpFX@PolycarpFX·
$BRK.B With financials oversold and the forward returns data for Berkshire at these levels, $BRKU (BRK.B x2 ETF) could work well here on a bounce
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Evan
Evan@StockMKTNewz·
GET READY FOR ANOTHER CRAZY WEEK IN THE STOCK MARKET Here's a full catalyst watch to help you get prepared More below ⬇️🧵
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PolycarpFX
PolycarpFX@PolycarpFX·
$IGV - Currently testing this support zone for the 5th time with terrible sentiment. There is an unfilled gap on that 2nd blue line in the 73’s
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