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@PredictIt

Buy and sell political futures. PSAs: - 95% ≠ Certainty - Forecasts ≠ Future - Turnout = Outcome

Washington, DC Entrou em Kasım 2013
17.5K Seguindo35.5K Seguidores
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PI
PI@PredictIt·
For millions of years, people have claimed they saw it coming—asteroids, financial crashes, global pandemics, elections. Now, insight beats hindsight. If you think you know what happens next, don’t just say “I told you so.” #PredictIt 🦖📈 #Itoldyousaurus
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PI@PredictIt·
Last week, @potus posted 95 truths on Truth Social, down from an average of 163. Was it the trade war? The war in Iran? A particularly strong opinion about a cable news segment? The market resets every Thursday. Contracts are cheap. And honestly, you probably have a better read on this than most political analysts — you've been doom-scrolling anyway. Might as well get paid for it. shorturl.at/zKUlV
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PI@PredictIt·
@spury2000 @DemocraticWins Thanks for the shoutout, but we’re no longer affiliated with VUM. We’re a project of the Prediction Market Research Consortium, a not-for-profit organization, for educational purposes.
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Spury2000
Spury2000@spury2000·
@DemocraticWins B- ? that operates under CFTC compliance following a 2025 acquisition of a licensed exchange. •PredictIt: An academic market run by Victoria University of Wellington. •Iowa Electronic Markets(IEM): An academic project from the University of Iowa. —YouTube. +5
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Democratic Wins Media
Democratic Wins Media@DemocraticWins·
BREAKING: According to prediction markets, Democrats are now favored to win both the House and the Senate in the upcoming midterms. There's a blue wave coming that is going to end Donald Trump's presidency. Let’s go.
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PI@PredictIt·
@AndrewJEaddy Thanks, Andrew! 🙂‍↕️
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PI@PredictIt·
Spotted: PredictIt Founder and CEO John Aristotle Phillips at @nextdotio's #NEXTNewYork Summit last week discussing the past, present and future of prediction markets 👀📈
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PI@PredictIt·
@PpollingNumbers PredictIt traders are not agreeing with the polls right now, but there’s over two months until the runoff so anything could happen.
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Political Polls
Political Polls@PpollingNumbers·
New - Senate primary poll - Texas 🔴 Paxton 53% 🔴 Cornyn 37% Impact research (🔵) - LV - 3/17
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PI@PredictIt·
@jan20thfan @PpollingNumbers Traders are disagree with the poll, saying Cornyn’s got the nomination with a 14¢ lead. What’s your take? 👀
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Political Polls
Political Polls@PpollingNumbers·
New - Senate poll - Texas 🔵 Talarico 44% 🔴 Paxton 43% 🔵 Talarico 43% 🔴 Cornyn 41% Impact research (🔵) - LV - 3/17
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PI@PredictIt·
@msuhajda @PpollingNumbers Traders say Cornyn’s got it as of now, diverging with the poll. What’s your take? 👀
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InteractivePolls
InteractivePolls@IAPolls2022·
Favorable/unfavorable views of key Democratic figures and potential 2028 candidates. 🟢 Shapiro: 38-28 (+10) 🟢 Beshear: 30-22 (+8) 🟢 Buttigieg: 42-35 (+7) 🟢 Newsom: 42-40 (+2) 🟤 AOC: 41-42 (-1) 🟤 Harris: 43-47 (-4) 🟤 Schumer: 24-55 (-31) Emerson | 1,000 LV | 3/16-17
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InteractivePolls@IAPolls2022

🇺🇸 NATIONAL POLL By Emerson (A) Pres. Trump Approve: 42% [-1] Disapprove: 51% [-4] —— Generic Ballot 🟦 Democrats: 49% [-1] 🟥 Republicans: 42% [=] —— Military action in Iran Support: 40% Oppose: 47% 1,000 LV | 3/16-17 | R34/D32/I34

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InteractivePolls
InteractivePolls@IAPolls2022·
Crystal Ball — Six gubernatorial rating changes today, all favoring Democrats 🔵 AZ: Toss-up → Leans Dem 🟡 GA: Leans R → Toss-up 🔵 MN: Likely Dem → Safe Dem 🔵 NY: Likely Dem → Safe Dem 🔴 OH: Likely R → Leans R 🔵 RI: Likely Dem → Safe Dem
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Politics & Poll Tracker 📡
Politics & Poll Tracker 📡@PollTracker2024·
Endorsements in the Democratic primary for US Senate in Maine Governor Janet Mills 🟦Andy Beshear 🟦Gretchen Whitmer 🟦Maura Healey 🟦Catherine Cortez-Masto 🟦Aaron Frey (Maine AG) 🟦Chuck Schumer 🟦Kristen Gillibrand 🟦EMILYs List 🟦DSCC —— Graham Platner ⬜️🟦Bernie Sanders 🟦Ro Khanna 🟦Martin Heinrich 🟦Ruben Gallego 🟦Elizabeth Warren 🟦Troy Jackson 🟦David Hogg 🟦Shawn Fain 🟦College Democrats of America
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Politics & Poll Tracker 📡@PollTracker2024

Maine Morning Star: Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) endorses Graham Platner in heated Maine Senate primary US Senators who have endorsed Platner: 🟦Gallego (AZ) 🟦Heinrich (NM) ⬜️🟦Sanders (VT) 🟦Warren (MA) mainemorningstar.com/briefs/sen-eli…

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Abby Turner
Abby Turner@abbyyturner_·
Updated rankings of the GOV races most likely to flip from @njhotline: 1. KS (D-Open) 2. MI (D-Open) 3. GA (R-Open)⬆️ 4. WI (D-Open)⬇️ 5. IA (R-Open)⬆️ 6. AZ (Hobbs-D)⬇️ 7. NV (Lombardo-R)⬇️ 8. OH (R-Open)⬆️ 9. AK (R-Open)⬆️ 10. ME (D-Open)⬇️ nationaljournal.com/s/731289/hotli…
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POLITICO
POLITICO@politico·
Senate rejects limits on Trump as Iran war intensifies dlvr.it/TRZMPh
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POLITICO
POLITICO@politico·
Tim Scott to run for reelection to the Senate dlvr.it/TRZ7Z5
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VoteHub
VoteHub@VoteHub·
Right now, the City of Chicago is underreported compared to suburban Cook County. While Daniel Biss remains clearly favored, a Kat Abughazaleh comeback can’t be ruled out until there’s more clarity on the volume of outstanding mail ballots in the city.
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@potus @spury2000 @DemocraticWins @AndrewJEaddy @nextdotio @PpollingNumbers @jan20thfan @msuhajda