In a highly uncertain Treasury market, today's reopening auction of a 10-year TIPS got a real yield of 1.896%, a respectable number possibly lifted by weak demand. tipswatch.com/2026/03/19/10-…
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Tipswatch
5.5K posts
Tipswatch
@TipsWatch
Talking about Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities, plus I Bonds and Treasurys in general, on the https://t.co/eKll4hxO6k site, since March 2011.
Entrou em Ekim 2013
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10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 1.896%, higher than the when-issued prediction of 1.88%. Demand was probably a bit lukewarm.
LiveSquawk@LiveSquawk
US 10-Year TIPS Sale: - High Yield Rate: 1.896% (prev 1.940%) - Bid-Cover Ratio: 2.47 (prev 2.38) - Direct Accepted: 24.0% (prev 20.4%) - Indirect Accepted: 68.5% (prev 67.4%) - WI: 1.88%
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It will never end, until the next taxpayer bailout, and that will be an "end" for about 18 months.
Jeffrey Gundlach@TruthGundlach
On Wall Street: 2005-2006: “Hey! We found a way to turn BBB ratings into AAA ratings. And pocket the difference!!” 2024-2025: “Hey! We found a way put illiquid assets into liquid funds. And pocket the difference!!” Come home to DoubleLine.
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Watching Bloomberg's Fed coverage and I am really enjoying @lisaabramowicz1 passionate analysis. She's on fire over the confusing Fed messaging.
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Federal Reserve holds short-term interest rates at current levels. No big surprise despite ugly potential for rising inflation in near term.
ACLLC@acllc2
FOMC: Hold "Available indicators suggest that economic activity has been expanding at a solid pace. Job gains have remained low, and the unemployment rate has been little changed in recent months. Inflation remains somewhat elevated." One dissent: Miran, preferred 0.25bps cut "Voting for the monetary policy action were Jerome H. Powell, Chair; John C. Williams, Vice Chair; Michael S. Barr; Michelle W. Bowman; Lisa D. Cook; Beth M. Hammack; Philip N. Jefferson; Neel Kashkari; Lorie K. Logan; Anna Paulson; and Christopher J. Waller. Voting against this action was Stephen I. Miran, who preferred to lower the target range for the federal funds rate by 1/4 percentage point at this meeting."
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Rising gas prices could cause an increase in next year's Social Security COLA, which is based on CPI-W for the months of July to September. The current number is around 2.2%, but that could definitely rise. barrons.com/articles/socia…
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Vanguard forecasts US large caps to return 4.8% annually over the next decade.
Large-cap growth: 3.9%
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Chaos of war bolsters 10-year real yield heading into this week’s auction of a reopened 10-year TIPS. Is it worth considering? tipswatch.com/2026/03/15/cha…
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Today's "must read" article to make your blood boil, especially if you are still working on your taxes: nytimes.com/2026/03/15/bus…
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Aaru recently reached a $1 billion valuation, making it one of a growing crop of hot companies led by people who have barely cracked their 20s. on.wsj.com/4bainNG
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I have to admit I am very resistant and suspicious of "alt" investments. Private? No full disclosures? Not liquid? They certainly don't have any place in a person's 401(k).
Jeffrey Gundlach@TruthGundlach
Blue Owl…Blackstone…Blackrock…Cliffwater…Morgan Stanley…Deutsche Bank…. “Don’t worry, it’s idiosyncratic…” “Just don’t ask for your money back!” “Gotta go, Jamie Dimon is calling me.”
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