Christopher

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Christopher

Christopher

@cskels

Positive Energy Vibes😎🇺🇸🎮💻👨🏽‍💼🏛️👟💪🏽📈🏢🌶️

Entrou em Ocak 2014
184 Seguindo167 Seguidores
InfoGram
InfoGram@_InfoGram_·
BREAKING🚨: This is EPIC by 🇨🇳 CHINA🔥 🇺🇸Trump: We need $2 billion a day to reopen the Strait of Hormuz 🇨🇳China's FM Senator: But the SOH was already open before the war? The Root cause of this disruption is your illegal military operations against Iran.🔥 You have created a Global Crisis OUT OF NOTHING” 🔥🔥 BRUTAL REALITY CHECK⚡️🗿
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Christopher
Christopher@cskels·
Gummi@gummibear737

Iran was trying to use the North Korean model to get a nuke: create sufficient conventional deterrence so you won’t be challenged in acquiring one (it’s called the Seoul Hostage Problem). This has been explained over and over since day one. Everyone claiming shifting goalposts or no imminent threat has been lying. The reason North Korea was allowed to get nukes is because Seoul (and its 10 million inhabitants) is within artillery and rocket range of North Korea. During the 1994 nuclear crisis, the Clinton administration seriously considered airstrikes on North Korea’s Yongbyon reactor but backed off precisely because of the artillery threat to Seoul. Iran was trying to accomplish the same by stockpiling missiles and drones which would have had the same deterrent effect. The proof is what Iran has been doing in the past month: attacking all its neighbors in order to pressure the US to stop attacking it Beyond this, they were building medium-range ballistic missiles that could reach Paris and London, meaning all of Europe could be held hostage as they built a nuclear bomb. The reason Iran has not built a nuclear weapon until now is not because it couldn’t, but because it knew it would be attacked and denied this capability. So by allowing them to continue developing this conventional deterrence, you would be allowing Iran to get a nuclear weapon. And unlike North Korea, Iran is led by an eschatological death cult Reagan saw nuclear mutually assured destruction (MAD) as both morally bankrupt (because of the innocent-body-count problem) and dangerously fragile because it assumed flawless rationality between adversaries…this means it only takes one irrational actor to destroy the world. Working backwards from the conclusion that Iran’s Islamist regime must never have a nuclear weapon, it was necessary for the US to attack Iran to deny it the conventional capacity to hold the entire eastern hemisphere hostage. Every European leader knows this and behind the scenes praises the US for this action. But they are cowards, held hostage by their own internal Muslim populations, and so adopt these ridiculous public positions. This was never about Israel. And if your argument is that Iran should be allowed to get a nuclear weapon then you are a fool and a traitor to western civilization…you’re a useful idiot

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Bill Mitchell
Bill Mitchell@mitchellvii·
I compare Trump hitting IRAN now to Roosevelt attacking Japan BEFORE Pearl Harbor, or England hitting Hitler BEFORE he invaded Poland, or tightening up airline security BEFORE 9/11. We in the West always seem to wait until AFTER the disaster to take action. Trump is different.
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Muhammad Arshad Khan
Muhammad Arshad Khan@Muhamma74068877·
@cskels @_InfoGram_ False and lie as you said about Iraq's Weapons of mass destruction. Bad character Epstein notorious Child rapist people.🖐️🖐️
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Christopher
Christopher@cskels·
Edouard 🌐👶🇺🇦🇹🇼🇮🇷@PlusLibQ

Je ne suis pas MAGA, je ne suis pas trumpiste *du tout*. Mais il faut avoir le courage de séparer l'homme de la décision. Marco Rubio a raison. Rappelons les faits : l'Iran possédait 408 kg d'uranium enrichi à 60%. Une étude publiée en 2025 dans Science & Global Security (revue académique à comité de lecture, pas de la propagande washingtonienne) démontre qu'avec ce stock, sans enrichissement supplémentaire, le régime était techniquement en mesure de produire une arme nucléaire à rendement de 2 à 3 kilotonnes. Avec boosting ou conception de type gun, les estimations montent à plus de 10 kt. La République Islamique n'a jamais caché ses intentions. Elle a financé le Hezbollah, le Hamas, les Houthis. Elle a organisé des assassinats sur sol européen. Elle a pris des otages occidentaux pr s'en servir comme monnaie d'échange diplomatique. Et elle enrichissait de l'uranium à marche forcée, répondant à chaque résolution de l'AIEA par une accélération de son programme. Laisser ce régime avec une vision apocalyptique franchir le seuil nucléaire n'était pas une option. Pas avec cette doctrine. Pas avec cet historique ! Notre haine légitime de Trump ne peut pas nous rendre aveugles à cette réalité. Confondre l'auteur d'une décision juste avec la décision elle-même c'est exactement le genre d'erreur de raisonnement que les défenseurs du régime islamique espèrent nous voir commettre. Référence : Caplan, Matt. "Implosion Nuclear Weapons with 60%-Enriched Uranium." Science & Global Security 33, nos. 1–3 (2025): 89–101. doi.org/10.1080/089298…

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Christopher
Christopher@cskels·
Jim Ferguson@JimFergusonUK

x.com/JimFergusonUK/… 🚨 IRAN’S SECRET NUCLEAR ADMISSION EXPOSED Behind closed doors, the truth slipped out. “They have the inalienable right to enrich.” 460kg of 60% enriched uranium. Enough for 11 ATOMIC BOMBS. And then this: “They would not give up diplomatically what we could not win militarily.” Read that again. They weren’t negotiating… they were stalling. While building leverage. While buying time. While the clock ticked toward something irreversible. This is what was being said in private — not on the world stage. The question now is simple: How close were they really?

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GBX
GBX@GBX_Press·
🚨 BREAKING ​French President Macron stated that any military operation to open the Strait of Hormuz would be unrealistic.
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Nick Sortor
Nick Sortor@nicksortor·
🚨 BREAKING: Tiger Woods has been ARRESTED for driving under the influence following a rollover crash in Florida, per the Sheriff TRUMP: “I feel so badly... There was an accident and that's all I know. A very close friend of mine — he's an amazing person, an amazing man.”
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Insane Clips
Insane Clips@StreetFightsHQ·
Rick Ross flexes the stack of money he keeps in his mansion 💰🏠
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conspiracybot
conspiracybot@conspiracyb0t·
Palantir CEO laughs about profiting from killing Palestinians using AI.
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Benny Johnson
Benny Johnson@bennyjohnson·
INCREDIBLE: American Nathan Martin comes out of NOWHERE to beat Kenyan by 00.01 seconds in the LA Marathon — closest finish ever. “I could see the leader and with 800 meters to go, I was thinking, ‘I’m catching him.’” He finished 2h 11m 16.50s PATRIOT🇺🇸
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Christopher
Christopher@cskels·
@New_tres Says the regime that killed 30,000 of its citizens for protesting..
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China in English
China in English@En_chinaNews·
Iranian Commander Serdar Naqdi: "You claim to be a superpower, with all your weapons; F-35s, F-22s, B-2s… and then you go and hit a girls’ primary school. You destroy 75 young lives, the pride of their families. With what logic, with what conscience?"
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Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡
Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡@shanaka86·
JUST IN: The most powerful military in human history just admitted that aircraft carriers cannot reopen the Strait of Hormuz. An insurance policy can. And the insurance policy is $332 billion short. The Trump Administration announced a $20 billion reinsurance program through the Development Finance Corporation to cover war risk losses for vessels transiting the Persian Gulf. The DFC will coordinate with the Treasury Department and CENTCOM. Priority goes to oil, gasoline, LNG, jet fuel, and fertilizer. The stated goal is to physically get tankers moving again through the strait that carries twenty percent of the world’s petroleum. Read those numbers again. Twenty billion in coverage. JPMorgan estimates the aggregate war risk exposure for all Gulf maritime commerce at $352 billion. The program covers less than six percent of the total insured value at risk in those waters. A single very large crude carrier can carry $300 million in insured cargo. Sixty six ships and the entire program is exhausted. This is not a criticism. This is the single most important admission in the entire war. For eighty years the United States Navy has guaranteed freedom of navigation through the world’s critical waterways by projecting military force. Two carrier strike groups sit in the theater right now. More firepower concentrated in one body of water than most nations possess in their entire military. And none of it can make a tanker move. Because the tanker’s problem is not Iranian missiles. The tanker’s problem is that seven Protection and Indemnity clubs cancelled war risk coverage effective March 5. Without that coverage the ship cannot satisfy insurance covenants in its financing agreement, cannot meet coverage requirements of the destination port, cannot fulfill liability terms of its charter contract. A ship without P&I coverage is legally excluded from global maritime commerce regardless of how many warships surround it. The DFC program is the United States government saying out loud, through the structure of the solution it chose, that this is a financial problem dressed in military clothing. The aircraft carriers provide the security perimeter. The reinsurance provides the permission to sail. Without both, nothing moves. The Navy can sink every Iranian vessel afloat and the tankers still will not transit until someone in an office in London or Bermuda or Connecticut underwrites the voyage. Seven letters from seven insurance clubs closed Hormuz. The United States just responded with an eighth letter. The question every oil trader should be asking is whether $20 billion in rolling coverage is sufficient to convince a shipowner to send a $300 million asset through waters where Iranian drones struck the Skylight on March 1, where GPS jamming affected 1,100 vessels in a single day, and where the reinsurance market that normally prices this risk has formally and contractually withdrawn. The programme exists. The ships have not moved. The gap between the announcement and the first insured transit is where the real price discovery happens. open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…
Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡ tweet media
Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡@shanaka86

BREAKING: QatarEnergy just declared Force Majeure. Three words that mean: we cannot deliver, and legally, we do not have to. This is no longer a supply disruption. This is a contract collapse. Force Majeure is not a precaution. It is a formal legal declaration that an unforeseeable event beyond QatarEnergy’s control has made fulfillment impossible. Every affected buyer just had their contract voided. The gas they were counting on is gone, and they have no legal recourse to get it back. 82% of Qatar’s LNG goes to Asia. China relies on Qatar for 30% of its LNG imports. India 42 to 52%. South Korea 14 to 19%. Taiwan 25%. Japan is already rationing to spot markets. Asian benchmark prices jumped 39% the day production stopped. Force Majeure just made that permanent until further notice. Indian companies have already cut gas supplies to industry by 10 to 30%. That is not a market adjustment. That is factories running at reduced capacity today, across the world’s most populous continent, because Iran sent drones into Ras Laffan. Here is the number the market still has not fully absorbed. Two weeks to restart a liquefaction train after a full cold shutdown. Then two more weeks to reach full capacity. That is a minimum of four weeks at zero, assuming no further strikes, no security complications, no inspection delays. The war is still running. There is no security guarantee. There is no restart timeline. There is no floor. Every LNG contract in Asia just became a spot market problem. Every spot market problem just became an inflation problem. Every inflation problem just became a central bank problem. This started as a war in the Middle East. It is now inside every factory, every power plant, and every gas bill across Asia. Price that chain. open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

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