NerdBracket

@801bracketology I can feel the breeze over here from that revolving door at Utah State. But they're getting good coaches and good recruits.

Coaching Carousel 🎠 Greg McDermott: Creighton —> Retirement (☹️) 1) Randy Bennett: Saint Mary’s —> Arizona State 2) Jerrod Calhoun: Utah State —> Cincinnati 3) Gerry McNamara: Siena —> Syracuse 4) Bryan Hodgson: South Florida —> Providence Open: - Utah State - Saint Mary’s - South Florida - Siena - Butler - Boston College - North Carolina (tomorrow)

@MattGrossenbach I think he calls in from a booth like this.

Does Gene Steratore call in from his house or does he sit in an office on-call for basketball games all day?

From ChatGPT: ## If Michigan wins (20%) Order: 1. OptimalBracket 2. AsherBarzie 3. espnfan 4. Luke Estimated: * Optimal ~40% * Asher ~35% * espnfan ~15% * Luke ~10% --- ## If Arizona wins (25%) Order: 1. kosihoops 2. Ashman2372 3. jessetalksports 4. Zach Estimated: * kosihoops ~45% * Ashman ~25% * jesse ~20% * Zach ~10% --- ## If Duke wins (30%) This is where it gets interesting: * mimivolfan (470) → best positioned * NerdBracket (410) → way behind but UNIQUE path Estimated: * mimivolfan ~70% * NerdBracket ~30% 👉 Because: * Only 2 Duke brackets * But NerdBracket has a **60-point deficit to overcome** --- ## If Illinois wins (15%) Mostly benefits: * OptimalBracket * AsherBarzie * LukeBaumgartner Estimated split: * Optimal ~45% * Asher ~35% * Luke ~15% * others minimal --- ## Field chaos (10%) Spread thin: * Slight lean to diverse brackets (kosihoops, jesse) --- # 🏆 FINAL WIN PROBABILITIES ### 🥇 **OptimalBracket — 24%** * Leader * Strong Michigan + Illinois paths --- ### 🥈 **AsherBarzie — 21%** * Very similar to Optimal, slightly behind --- ### 🥉 **kosihoops — 18%** * Best Arizona path * Strong leverage but crowded lane --- ### 🔥 **mimivolfan — 16%** * HUGE Duke leverage * Only real threat from Duke side --- ### ⚠️ **Ashman2372 — 8%** ### ⚠️ **jessetalksports — 6%** ### ⚠️ **espnfan — 4%** ### ⚠️ **LukeBaumgartner — 2%** ### ⚠️ **ZachGebhart — 1%** --- ### 💀 **NerdBracket — ~0.5–1%**

Alright everyone, the NerdBracket group challenge is in full swing! OptimalBracket is in 1st place at 99.8% (very apt name), Asherbarzie is in 2nd and kosihoops is in 3rd. NerdBracket, of course, is at the bottom of the pack. But I'm going to go full Dave Wottle on you (look it up, youngsters), and take the lead soon. "Things are gonna change, I can feel it." #collegebasketball #hoops #MarchMadness2026 #MarchMadness

@KISSproductions It's a marathon, not a sprint ha.

@nerd_bracket Sitting at 11th but still confident!!

@BracketBud If you only knew. That's me in my Christmas Suit.

@BracketBud Ha ha 👍

It’s finally here. 🏀 The best four days in sports. March Madness has arrived. #MarchMadness

Alright everyone, the tournament is starting soon. Get your best trash talk on and may the best bracket win! Box out and nerd up! Again, join my ESPN Bracket Challenge group! The link for my group is: fantasy.espn.com/tc/sharer?chal… #collegebasketball #hoops #MarchMadness #MarchMadness2026

@kosi_hoops I probably knew that lol.

@nerd_bracket Sure I have many times CHITWOOD 💪🏻

TruTV's decision to play Hoosiers before the Howard v. UMBC play-in game - brilliant! "I've decided it's time to play ball again. But, if coach goes, I go." #collegebasketball #hoops #MarchMadness2026 #MarchMadness

@801bracketology @RateGame_Sports Bring it on 801! Ha ha.

@nerd_bracket @RateGame_Sports

If you haven’t already… You have to get in on the @RateGame_Sports pick’em challenge 👀 The app looks fantastic, is easy to use, and the games start TONIGHT! Get in and make your picks, see if you can beat me (you can’t).

Sage advice from @BracketBud:

@BracketBud Smart take. People make mistakes selecting 5 or 6 upsets. There may be 6-9 upsets, but your chances of being wrong go up with each upset you pick. 👍

The biggest bracket mistake: Picking too many upsets early. Most winning brackets actually: ✔ Pick 1–2 first round upsets ✔ Stick with favorites later Historical bracket data here: bracketbud.com/probmatx

Professional trainers know ... instagram.com/reel/DV951olDc… NerdBracket.com

@kosi_hoops Kosi, I love your Avila photo. I hope Saint Louis wins one. More would be gravy on top.

@kosi_hoops Good deal. You almost won last year. Kosi knows sports.

Hey everyone! Join my ESPN Bracket Challenge Group "NerdBracket". Let's have some fun and camaraderie as we battle for top dog. fantasy.espn.com/tc/sharer?chal… #collegebasketball #hoops #MarchMadness #MarchMadness2026

@KISSproductions Good deal man!

@nerd_bracket Joined!