Patrick Flynn

Hard to overstate just how rapid the changes in US party coalitions have been. The Democrats are now the party of high education *and* high income voters. Just 12 years ago, the inverse was true. On these terms, the Trump coalition was closer to Obama 2008 than the Harris one!

Really cool resource

@focaldataHQ focaldata.com/blog/democrats…

Eight months out, the picture is getting clearer. Next Wednesday @focaldataHQ will reveal our first seat-by-seat House projections using MRP modelling across every congressional district.

We've just released our March US midterms poll. Democrats now lead in the generic congressional ballot by 6 points with registered voters, their biggest lead of the year so far.

If you haven't seen it, you can read the blog here: focaldata.com/blog/cost-of-l…

The economy might cost Donald Trump the House in November. Economic hardship is driving voter behaviour at more than twice the rate of the next biggest issue.

Greens up to a record high of 13% in our first post-G&D poll. 🟣 RFM: 27% (+1) 🔴 LAB: 20% (-1) 🔵 CON: 18% (-2) 🟠 LDM: 14% (-) 🟢 GRN: 13% (+3) ⚫️ Restore Britain: 2% (NEW) ⚫️ Your Party: <1% (NEW)

Full interview here: youtube.com/watch?v=YjNm0i…

Is the MoD shifting towards Europe? @FTusa284 doesn't think it's black and white.

Read the full @FocaldataHQ blog here: focaldata.com/blog/how-to-co…

Attention spans have collapsed. So why are some politicians more popular than ever?