Simon Johansen

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Simon Johansen

Simon Johansen

@simonjbets

👨🏽‍💻 Full-time EV Model developer. Former player with CS B.S🎓 9000+ bets / ROI 114.7% / +1800u profit all time. Follow my bets: https://t.co/Xf4LRh23TM

Oslo, Norway Entrou em Şubat 2019
151 Seguindo4K Seguidores
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Simon Johansen
Simon Johansen@simonjbets·
ℹ️AUGUST GROUP SIGNUP: After a great summer with the free bets, my private group returns for the new 2025/26 season. If you are interested in continuing to follow all my bets, please read the info and use the bot to reserve a spot in my groups. SERIOUS BETTORS ONLY. If you are committed to make extra money with betting and take the effort to do so, then this is the place for you. I run this professionally and do my all to make sure you are profitable and your accounts last longer. LIMITED SPOTS AVAILABLE. First come first served principle counts, when all spots are filled, the bot will close. First bets in the groups should be ~2nd August, so you have a few days to sign up. I will allow extra days to join because of the short notice. More info/stats are available when you click the bot: 👉 t.me/SimonGroupBot
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Simon Johansen
Simon Johansen@simonjbets·
Been a while since I've posted some free bets, so here you go. All for today's games: 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿Leeds v Brentford Leeds Over 3.5 SOT @ 1.61 (0.75u) 🇮🇹Juventus v Sassuolo Juventus Over 6.5 SOT @ 1.8 (0.75u) 🇧🇷Fluminense v Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro Under 3.5 SOT @ 1.72 (1.75u) 🇪🇸Levante v Real Oviedo Over 8.5 Total SOT @ 1.83 (1.75u) Real Oviedo Over 3.5 SOT @ 1.72 (1u) 🇪🇸Osasuna v Girona Girona Over 3.5 SOT @ 1.66 (1.25u) 🇪🇸Sevilla v Valencia Valencia Under 3.5 SOT @ 1.57 (0.75u)
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Simon Johansen
Simon Johansen@simonjbets·
This Valverde guy, unreal all-rounder… A City supporter’s worst nightmare🫣
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Simon Johansen
Simon Johansen@simonjbets·
First week of March in the Premium group: 📊116 bets ✅ Wins 69 | ✖︎ Loss 47 ⚖️ AvgStake 1.16u 📈 ROI% 114.2 💰+19.05u The base models are continuing to do really good. But not going to hide that Bet365 has made their algorithms really shaky lately. Weird drops and liquidity on certain markets, but as always, just means we have to adapt to new strategies and focus on better holding markets. Same story year after year when they make changes, but the best bettors are those who can adapt. The group is full but feel free to join the waiting list here whenever a new spot opens up: t.me/+yvJxzJFBivpjM… Been busy with the group, but hopefully I got some free bets coming soon!
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Simon Johansen
Simon Johansen@simonjbets·
How is this dropping from 37.5 to 34.5😂😂 It's just a battle between the sharps at this point lmao
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Simon Johansen
Simon Johansen@simonjbets·
Really hope the prediction markets eventually start including props/cards. Going to absolutely kill Bet365's domination over the last few years with the way they are tightening everything. Seems like they have severely reduced liquidity across more markets yet again. The popularity of props is growing, fueled by newer statistical tools and sites. Surprised no other bookie is taking advantage of this, as I know many would easily switch away from Bet365 now. But nobody wants to take the risk on props it seems. Improve internal models? Not even considered. There are fairly simple models that can beat the markets. Let's ban/limit/worsen/remove unders/ruin our reputation instead. It can all be solved with better math to increase margins and keep popularity up, encouraging more betting on other markets. There is always going to be a small percentage of winning bettors, you just have to beat the remaining 98%. We'll see what the future holds🤔
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Simon Johansen
Simon Johansen@simonjbets·
Sunday: Total Summary: 19 bets 📈 ROI% 125.3 💰+5.75u Great first day in the group!
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Simon Johansen
Simon Johansen@simonjbets·
Total Summary: 37 bets 📈 ROI% 68.6 -12.24u Sorry for the late summary here, got busy setting up my private groups. But a shitty unfortunate last day. Lots of games ending one off, and some were just way off. Still finishing the final free month in profit with +9.41u, slower than usual but at least profitable. I’ll have some free bets coming once in a while in March though!
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Simon Johansen
Simon Johansen@simonjbets·
Last bets of February and of the big volume free bets: Saturday: 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿Bournemouth v Sunderland Bournemouth Under 16.5 Shots @ 1.8 (1.25u) Sunderland Under 16.5 Tackles @ 1.83 (1.25u) 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿Leeds v Manchester City Over 25.5 Total Shots @ 1.8 (0.75u) Leeds Over 2.5 SOT @ 1.61 (0.75u) 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿Newcastle v Everton Everton Over 9.5 Shots @ 1.83 (1.25u) 🇪🇸Mallorca v Real Sociedad Over 25.5 Total Shots @ 1.9 (0.75u) 🇪🇸Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Club Over 24.5 Total Shots @ 2 (1.25u) Over 8.5 Total SOT @ 1.83 (1u) Rayo Vallecano Over 4.5 SOT @ 1.83 (0.75u) 🇮🇹Inter v Genoa Over 27.5 Total Shots @ 1.9 (0.75u) Over 9.5 Total SOT @ 1.83 (0.75u) 🇮🇹Verona v Napoli Under 24.5 Total Shots @ 1.83 (1.25u) 🇩🇪Bayer Leverkusen v Mainz Mainz Over 3.5 SOT @ 2 (1u) 🇩🇪Borussia Dortmund v Bayern Munich Bayern Munich Over 5.5 SOT @ 1.8 (0.75u) 🇩🇪Hoffenheim v St. Pauli Hoffenheim Under 14.5 Shots @ 2 (1.75u) St. Pauli Over 9.5 Shots @ 1.72 (0.75u) 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿Leicester v Norwich Leicester Under 13.5 Shots @ 1.8 (1u) 🇲🇽Atletico San Luis v Puebla Over 22.5 Total Shots @ 1.83 (1.25u) Atletico San Luis Under 12.5 Shots @ 1.72 (1.25u) Atletico San Luis Under 4.5 SOT @ 1.83 (1.25u) Puebla Over 10.5 Shots @ 2 (1.5u) 🇲🇽Club America v Tigres UANL Club America Over 13.5 Shots @ 1.8 (1.25u) 🇲🇽Monterrey v Cruz Azul Cruz Azul Over 10.5 Shots @ 1.72 (0.75u) Monterrey Over 4.5 SOT @ 1.83 (1u) 🇲🇽Toluca v Chivas Guadalajara Under 26.5 Total Shots @ 1.8 (0.75u) Under 10.5 Total SOT @ 1.36 (0.75u) 🇦🇷Independiente v Central Cordoba SdE Under 7.5 Total SOT @ 1.83 (1.75u) Independiente Under 4.5 SOT @ 2.1 (1.5u) 🇦🇷Talleres Cordoba v San Lorenzo Under 6.5 Total SOT @ 2 (0.75u) 🇦🇺Wellington Phoenix v Sydney FC Wellington Phoenix Over 3.5 SOT @ 1.72 (0.75u) Sydney FC Under 5.5 SOT @ 1.66 (0.75u) Total Units 39u
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Simon Johansen
Simon Johansen@simonjbets·
Friday: Total Summary: 15 bets 📈 ROI% 88.2 -2.1u (Brisbane and Coastal Mariner games moved to Saturday summary) A loss here. Villa had 5 shots after 60 min, then they unexpectedly went trailing to Wolves. 3 late shots and loses by 1. Bristol and Australia were good, One off on a few in Mexico. So alright, could have been better. Saturday bets coming up.
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Simon Johansen
Simon Johansen@simonjbets·
Got hot in the office for a Norwegian today😮‍💨 31C Enjoy your weekend!
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Simon Johansen
Simon Johansen@simonjbets·
Updated lines Friday: 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿Wolves v Aston Villa ** Aston Villa Under 13.5 Shots @ 1.72 (1.75u) 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿Bristol City v Watford Bristol City Under 13.5 Shots @ 1.72 (1.75u) Watford Over 11.5 Shots @ 1.72 (0.75u) Bristol City Under 4.5 SOT @ 1.72 (0.75u) 🇲🇽Mazatlan v Pachuca Over 8.5 Total SOT @ 2.1 (1u) 🇲🇽Queretaro v Santos Laguna Queretaro Under 14.5 Shots @ 1.8 (1u) ** Over 8.5 Total SOT @ 1.83 (1u) 🇲🇽Tijuana v Pumas UNAM ** Over 7.5 Total SOT @ 1.8 (1u) ** Tijuana Over 4.5 SOT @ 2.2 (1u) Pumas UNAM Over 3.5 SOT @ 2 (1u) 🇦🇺Auckland FC v Melbourne City Auckland FC Over 14.5 Shots @ 1.8 (1.25u) 🇦🇺Brisbane Roar v Perth Glory Under 26.5 Total Shots @ 1.8 (0.75u) Brisbane Roar Under 15.5 Shots @ 1.9 (0.75u) Brisbane Roar Under 5.5 SOT @ 1.61 (1.25u) 🇦🇺Central Coast Mariners v Newcastle Jets Central Coast Mariners Under 12.5 Shots @ 1.72 (0.75u) ** Newcastle Jets Over 5.5 SOT @ 1.9 (1u) Still a decent amount of value left.
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Simon Johansen
Simon Johansen@simonjbets·
Thursday: Total Summary: 7 bets 📈 ROI% 184.9 💰+8.07u (🔥🔥) Another fantastic day🔥🙌 Green all over the board, and all the winners were way clear. Taking us to 💰+23.75u so far in February with 2 days left to go! Bets for Friday posted already!
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Simon Johansen
Simon Johansen@simonjbets·
Friday: (*Kickoff in 2 hours) 🇦🇺Melbourne Victory v Adelaide United Melbourne Victory Over 5.5 SOT @ 1.9 (1u) 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿Wolves v Aston Villa Aston Villa Under 13.5 Shots @ 1.9 (2.5u) 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿Bristol City v Watford Under 25.5 Total Shots @ 1.83 (0.75u) Bristol City Under 13.5 Shots @ 1.72 (1.75u) Watford Over 11.5 Shots @ 1.72 (0.75u) Bristol City Under 4.5 SOT @ 1.72 (0.75u) 🇲🇽FC Juarez v Atlas Over 7.5 Total SOT @ 1.66 (1u) FC Juarez Over 4.5 SOT @ 1.9 (0.75u) 🇲🇽Mazatlan v Pachuca Over 8.5 Total SOT @ 2.1 (1u) 🇲🇽Queretaro v Santos Laguna Queretaro Under 14.5 Shots @ 1.8 (1u) Over 8.5 Total SOT @ 2.1 (1.75u) 🇲🇽Tijuana v Pumas UNAM Over 7.5 Total SOT @ 1.9 (1.25u) Tijuana Over 3.5 SOT @ 1.72 (1.25u) Pumas UNAM Over 3.5 SOT @ 2 (1u) 🇦🇺Auckland FC v Melbourne City Auckland FC Over 14.5 Shots @ 1.8 (1.25u) 🇦🇺Brisbane Roar v Perth Glory Under 26.5 Total Shots @ 1.8 (0.75u) Brisbane Roar Under 15.5 Shots @ 1.9 (0.75u) Brisbane Roar Under 5.5 SOT @ 1.61 (1.25u) 🇦🇺Central Coast Mariners v Newcastle Jets Central Coast Mariners Under 12.5 Shots @ 1.72 (0.75u) Over 9.5 Total SOT @ 2.1 (1.75u) Newcastle Jets Over 5.5 SOT @ 2.1 (1.5u) Total Units 24.5u
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