ArcisFX 🌕

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ArcisFX 🌕

ArcisFX 🌕

@ArcisFX

Market analysis & swing trading: Stocks, metals, energies, cryptos. Insights from a 30 year veteran of the markets (MSc, Eng, BPhil (Hons), BSc, Math).

Cape Town, South Africa Присоединился Eylül 2018
24 Подписки10.9K Подписчики
Cheeky Munkey
Cheeky Munkey@Cheekymunkey2·
@HIKOL1 @ArcisFX Now come on James. You know he can neither confirm or deny this... 😂
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ArcisFX 🌕@ArcisFX·
#WTI #CrudeOil #BCO - all double-topping (WTI at the 618 and BCO at the top). You don't get a more beautiful technical pattern than this - probably why it might fail. Nevertheless, I have doubled up on the shorts, as Europe and Saudi enter the fray. Watch: youtu.be/vStQsXunlfU
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HIKOL
HIKOL@HIKOL1·
@Cheekymunkey2 @ArcisFX Tomorrow it will probably close above 100 - maybe 102 and then try to gap up to 110 on Monday.
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ArcisFX 🌕@ArcisFX·
#WTI #CrudeOIL #NATGAS - From our friends over @energyrogue_com Thanks Bill and Brian: "...Domestically, the U.S. balance still looks relatively comfortable and you have the ingredients for a bearish shoulder-season script. And yet the global LNG system just stepped on a landmine. LNG feedgas has been running around 18.5 to 19.2 Bcf/d, already near the top end of current operating capacity, so any global LNG disruption does not necessarily let America export vastly more volume tomorrow. What it does do is pin export demand near maximum and make it much harder for domestic gas prices to collapse So the fundamental argument is that sub-$3 gas becomes harder to justify if the world stays nervous, Europe stays under-filled, and Qatar remains impaired."
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ArcisFX 🌕
ArcisFX 🌕@ArcisFX·
#NaturalGas #NATGAS - I'm still long. It appears as if medium term damage has been done to LNG facilities in the ME. Smallish, but measurable impact on US futures, and a little extra bid. Watch: youtu.be/vStQsXunlfU
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ArcisFX 🌕@ArcisFX·
#PPI day today. PPI (Producer Price Index) measures the prices businesses receive for goods and services—essentially inflation at the wholesale level before it hits consumers. It matters because it often leads CPI; rising input costs tend to filter through into consumer prices with a lag. Today it’s key because markets are hypersensitive to inflation signals—hot PPI suggests sticky inflation, which keeps the Fed cautious (or hawkish). That, in turn, hits rate expectations, bonds, the dollar, and risk assets in one swift move.
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ArcisFX 🌕
ArcisFX 🌕@ArcisFX·
#WTI #CrudeOil - this looks like the #gold chart. The difference is, I am short oil and long gold, off the same sort of structure at the 50SMA.
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April Lucky
April Lucky@apriltullymocha·
@ArcisFX My question. is are you short or just waiting?
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ArcisFX 🌕@ArcisFX·
#Gold breaking 5k and looking at the 50SMA.
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ArcisFX 🌕@ArcisFX·
#Gold has a real chance of holding this level after 3 star dojis on the 50SMA. Trying a little here.
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Swing Trader
Swing Trader@mbakleh1·
@ArcisFX If you expect DXY to go down then gold will go up. You can not be bearish DXY and gold at the same time
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ArcisFX 🌕@ArcisFX·
#DXY #USDollar - It's a few days late, but perhaps this is the turn. Target is the 0.786 Fibonacci below. The US does not desire a strong dollar.
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