Edward Simiyu
55.4K posts

Edward Simiyu
@Edsimiyu
International Development Specialist, McBride Fellow. Hybrid Renewable Energy-solar and biomass mini grid in the works. Take the trip with me.







A chief owned all the wells in a village. Every morning, people lined up to buy water. The price kept rising. The people grumbled quietly. "This is too much." But when they reached the front, they paid and left. One day, a young man asked his father, "Why don't we dig our own well?" His father muttered, "Shhh. The chief has guards. They will come at night. Just pay and stay quiet." "But Papa, we are many. The guards are few," the boy responded. The father whispered, "Yes, but what if they remember our faces? Better to suffer than be singled out." So they kept paying. The price kept rising. Families bathed once a week. Children drank less water. Still, they paid. The chief watched from his balcony and smiled. "I don't even need guards. Fear is cheaper than force. As long as they fear what might happen more than they hate what is happening, they'll never resist." A council member asked him, "What if they realise they outnumber us?" The chief laughed. "They know. But each waits for someone else to speak first. While they wait, I raise the price." The prison with no walls is the one where every man guards his own chains. INALEGWU.



🤥🪖 Trump’s military playbook for Kharg, Hormuz: Three avenues to hell All signs point to the US gearing up to seize Iran’s Kharg and possibly islands in the Hormuz Strait. Which military scenarios are likely to occur? 🔴 US military buildup underway A ground force for an invasion of the Iranian islands may include: ➡️ ~2,200 Marines from the 11th Marine Expeditionary Unit ➡️ ~2,200 Marines from the 31st MEU ➡️ ~3,000 troops from the 82nd Airborne Division ➡️ additional forces from US Army Delta Force, SEAL TEAM-6, the 5th Special Forces Group, USAF 621st Devil Raiders, and the 75th Ranger Regiment ➡️ in general, the US has around 50,000 troops in the region 🔴 Why Kharg? 📍Kharg hosts Iran’s main oil terminal — the nation's financial lifeline 📍A small, fixed target with defenses reportedly degraded by prior strikes 🔴 Why Hormuz Strait islands? 📍Taking the strait under control 📍Limit Iran’s ability to threaten tanker traffic 🔴 US military options 🔴Option 1: Economic chokehold via Kharg Island ➡️ Initial airstrikes to neutralize remaining military targets ➡️ Insert Marines and airborne troops via MV-22 Ospreys ➡️ Secure critical infrastructure, including the 5,922-foot runway at Kharg airport, to prevent Iranian reinforcement ➡️ Establish control of the island, freeze Iran’s oil exports, and force concessions in negotiations 🔴Option 2: Control the Strait of Hormuz ➡️ Coordinated Marine amphibious landings + heavy airpower ➡️ Seize key islands around the strait: Qeshm, Abu Musa, Greater Tunb, Lesser Tunb ➡️ Capture strategic coastal zones: Bandar Abbas and Jask ➡️ Create a multi-kilometer buffer zone to protect shipping and suppress Iranian missile/drone threats 🔴Option 3: Option 1 combined with Option 2 for broader strategic impact 🔴 Why all three options are a recipe for disaster 🌏Kharg and Hormuz islands sit close to Iran and are highly exposed to missiles, drones, and fast-attack craft 🌏Seizing the islands and strategic coastal zones would incur casualties; holding them would be even costlier 🌏Air and sea resupply would face constant Iranian strikes from missiles and drones 🌏US forces could be trapped and neutralized before achieving any economic or strategic objectives















