JD Punkin

@CKCapitalxx Sorry Fuckers there's a new sheriff in town.

Sorry RM, new alpha here now.

@ElonsTusksGME @CKCapitalxx

@JDPunkin @CKCapitalxx Up. That’s where it’s going. Stocks tend to generally go up when a company is doing something that has incredible demand.

$BB up 50% in a month. $NOK up 50% in a month. And I think both still have significant room to run. Here is what the market is just starting to figure out. Both companies spent years quietly rebuilding into something completely different while the market ignored them with outdated narratives. $BB today is a pure play cybersecurity and automotive software company. QNX runs in over 255 million vehicles globally. Cylance AI powered cybersecurity protecting governments and enterprises. Zero hardware. High margin recurring software revenue. The re-rate from phone company to security software company has not fully happened yet. $NOK today is a critical infrastructure and optical networking company. Network Infrastructure just grew 20% year over year. They acquired Infinera for $2.3 billion and became vertically integrated in photonics. The president of that division just joined the $PENG board. Nokia is not a handset company. It is a next generation optical networking infrastructure company. Both up 50% in a month. Both still trading at valuations that reflect what they used to be not what they actually are today. The re rate is happening in real time. The market is just waking up.

@aleabitoreddit 😆😂 yeah ok.

Well, looks like Iran War is about to end. Markets/Indexes are probably going like this Monday. Probably even better for Europe/Taiwan/Korean equities that were dragged down more from oil fears. If something goes up during this time… probably goes higher in better macro.

@aleabitoreddit But it's already up thousands of percentage points?

Photonics is nuanced and using ChatGPT/Gemini makes you miss all of it: 1. $SIVE is actually a chokepoint and partially a bottleneck. The reason it's a chokepoint is leading CPO/optical hyperscaler players go through Sivers, likely: Ayar. Celestial. Lightmatter. Lightelligence. Poet. If you take out Sivers, you literally can't make some of their products + delay their roadmap by years. As many are sole/primary source but are heading the direction on multi-source. As for the bottleneck argument: Win Semi is the bottleneck for scaling laser production. But... the nuance is when you have capacity allocated for the next few years. You become part of the bottleneck itself if players fight you for allocation of finished lasers. That's the nuance people miss with capacity allocation dynamics. It's like saying $SNDK is not part of the NAND bottleneck when Kioxia makes all of it. But when Sandisk has the ultimate control of output supply, they become the bottleneck + have all the pricing power. Sivers controls output supply of CW lasers given allocations, and as seen with $LITE earnings, CW laser is currently bottlenecked as everyone seems to be stuck producing EMLs. 2. Like how LLMs always uses em-dashes. You can tell when people use AI when they always use the same "CW is a dumb interchangeable laser" argument or compare "power" specs after conflating different architectures. That's why your "analysts" using AI will get this wrong over and over. There's CW lasers... and then there's a specific architectural design that Sivers achieves with DFB lasers. If you compare power specs with $LITE vs. Sivers, Lumentum wins in isolation. But they're completely different laser architectures. All the leading CPO players like Ayar, chose $SIVE for an architectural reason for high power, low thermal, laser arrays. $JBL 1.6T LRO also made one of the most dramatic moats cited by their fireside chat, using Sivers lasers. If you think CW lasers are interchangeable with Sumitomo/Furukawa, and others. And can be plug-and-play... i don't know what to tell you? Again: $SIVE makes architecturally unique CW lasers for leading CPO players. 3. I'm not sure how many times I need to say this: $SIVE for 2024-2025 has been going through development contracts. People using TTM revenue or former P/S metrics are using completely the wrong metrics, when there's volume ramp in 2027. It's the same with $AAOI which volume ramps in H1 2027. $AEHR which volume ramps after qualification. $LPK that volume ramps after qualification. This is just missing qualification cycles in semiconductors and how to model financials currently. As for the $LITE comparisons (which was also my long last year): $LITE literally started off selling laser dies before acquisition of Cloud Lite and other downstream optical engine components. This is where $SIVE is at today with starting off in the laser chokepoint for CPO: People are modeling laser revenue off very isolated TAM projections. Meanwhile Sivers is targeting M&A to expand revenue for TAM projections. This is not a simple component FAU + ramp valuation modeling over with a Taiwanese company. Since Laser companies like $LITE, $COHR are known to downstream expand to make their lasers more valuable, then vertically integrate (fabs, assembly) afterward. Again, Sivers worked with Ayar and these types of companies before they all became billion dollar companies. I have high conviction knowing they know what to acquire down the ELS/optical engine stack + pluggable transceiver for TAM expansion. It's just annoying when I get people who don't understand the nuances backseat commenting wrong things about my longs. I got the same thing about $AXTI is not a bottleneck! InP isn't needed! China! back at $14. Now it's $140 I got the same thing about $AAOI "is going down 50%!" back at $65. or "AOI management is shady at $30". Now it's $170 I got the "there's nothing new with $SOI" back at $45. Now it's $170. I think I'm one of the few who actually understands the nuances with photonics, since I did call out $LITE, $TSEM, Innolight, $AXTI, $AAOI, $SOI, that outperformed both photonics markets and overall markets over the past year. And now I'm long on $SIVE.

@Sup_brothers2 @CKCapitalxx Yep. Yep. Yep.

@JDPunkin @CKCapitalxx インフルエンサーは爆アゲ銘柄を利用し、あたかも予言していたかのように振る舞う

@ElonsTusksGME @CKCapitalxx You have zero idea where it's going.

@JDPunkin @CKCapitalxx Oh you have very little idea where Nokia is going if you think the run has happened already. It’s like saying someone calling out NBIS at 25 was calling the top.

@CKCapitalxx I'm gonna start one of these too. Brb.

Well, only took 2 more days to get to 30k. This run has been insane. The growth of my following and my new paid subscribers have been absolutely insane. This journey has been incredible.

@Sam_Badawi @stocktalkweekly Wait so what do I get for the few $$s a month if I subscribe to one of your X accounts vs hundreds by subscribing to the other site.

@stocktalkweekly Amen brotha

Asymmetric trades are asymmetric precisely because of risks & caveats. Without risk, the opportunity wouldn't be mispriced. Very few capture the full move on these trades, because A) the risk factors involved deter them or B) the volatility produced by the risk scares them out.

@CKCapitalxx And yes. Yes it is.

me and the subs are now up almost 20% on our $INFQ position. Is the Quantum run next?

@CKCapitalxx Day late and $1 short.

@Sam_Badawi @stocktalkweekly I really enjoy your content and your approach to X. Some of these other people just posting screenshots of every move is ridiculous.

@JDPunkin You can check out the link in my profile sir. Tons of analysts on there including the legend @stocktalkweekly

My concentrated portfolio of high-conviction ideas is up 270% over the past year, compared to a 27% gain for $SPY during the same period. I keep this portfolio focused on my best ideas and do very little trading. This is why you let your winners run.

@mi_tschi @BlackPantherCap That is the million dollar question!!

@BlackPantherCap Nice .. thank you! Which one will you choose? :)

The clearest sign you can get 😳 “Physical AI is the next wave.” — Jensen Huang. Here’s the complete Physical AI list - save it: $NVDA: GPUs, Jetson processors, Omniverse digital twins and Isaac stack for physical AI robots. 
$OUST: digital LiDAR sensors for robot 3D mapping and navigation. 
$TSLA: Optimus humanoid robots for general-purpose physical tasks. 
$SYM: AI mobile robot fleets for warehouse automation. 
$SERV: AI sidewalk robots for last-mile urban logistics. 
$TER: collaborative robot arms for AI manufacturing automation. 
$CGNX: machine vision cameras for industrial robot perception. 
$AMBA: low-power AI chips for robotic computer vision. 
$AEVA: 4D LiDAR sensors for robot distance, velocity and mapping. 
$HSAI: solid-state LiDAR sensors for autonomous robot perception. 
$ISRG: AI-assisted da Vinci surgical robots for precision physical procedures. 
$ZBRA: AI autonomous mobile robots for warehouse logistics automation. 
$ROK: industrial automation platforms integrating AI robotics control. 
$ADI: sensors and power chips for robot perception and actuation. 
$ONDS: unmanned robotic systems for aerial and ground physical AI. 
$SYK: Mako AI robotic-arm systems for surgical navigation. 
$PRCT: AquaBeam robotic systems for minimally invasive prostate procedures. 
$LAZR: Luminar LiDAR sensors for 3D robot and autonomy perception. 
$MBLY: Mobileye AI vision systems for robotic navigation. 
$TDY: machine vision cameras and imaging for industrial robot guidance. -BP Please note: this is not financial advice.

@aleabitoreddit Are you posting about any more bottlenecks in the American markets?

People are really out there saying, don’t doubt me off 10% returns. I present to you: $AXTI

@aleabitoreddit Who is anon?

And now… $NBIS is $224, around triple prices from last year. Did you listen anon?

@CKCapitalxx Didn't you just post how you trimmed it and then deleted the post real quick?

@Sam_Badawi Yes I did.

$NVDA basically told the world that there is a CPU supply constraint which is why they designed their own agentic AI CPU built on $ARM. The stock continues to push new ATHs 💥 Did you get shaken out when it backtested the 21EMA?

@StockSavvyShay 🗑️

$HIMS launched generic semaglutide access in Canada marking its first international GLP-1 expansion. Plans start at $149 CAD per month and include treatment options plus nutrition, movement, sleep and ongoing care team support.

@MarketMatrixs $Hims $225 😂🤣😂

My rough 5-Year price targets: $ASTS: $350 $HIMS: $225 $ZETA: $200 $OSCR: $125 $ONDS: $100 $ADUR: $125