@MSUKB_Bets - thanks for the live bet reminder last night.
Not sure if this was plus EV, but it worked out.
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EVNC
145 posts
@mamaknowsbets Don’t worry guys - I can’t afford to follow this today so it will hit! lol
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⚾📊 4/22/25 Mama Knows Bets Value Models: MLB Home Runs 📊⚾
🏆 Mama's VALUE Faves 🏆
H. BADER (FD, +700)
C. KELLY (MG, +675)
V. GUERRERO (MG, +425)
M. TROUT (MG, +400)
H. RAMOS (FD, +680)
J. SMITH (FD, +630)
❤️🔁If you've been enjoying this free (always!) daily output please Like & Share!
✨ Check my Highlights tab for all Mama Knows Bets model outputs & results across all sports every day!
⚠️*List subject to change as starting lineups, weather, injuries & odds update⚠️
🎟️ Follow all my plays on Pikkit! Link in bio. Code MAMABETS to join (it's free!)
GOOD LUCK!!🍀🍀
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@mamaknowsbets Yeah, that’s what I hoped/figured. It seems like a lot of your wins of been on DK.
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@PlusEVNC Yah not well lol they are very sharp with HRs and it's also been slow for them the last several days with the weather. They are def sharp, even me having them with a heavy weighting and being pretty selective on top of it!!
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⚾💰 Mama's Value MLB Home Run Plays 💰⚾
Books in order: DraftKings, FanDuel
**I also have all the straights on my target list at .25u
Anything shown I also took straights and lower RRs per below reccs 👇🏻
As always take what you like, leave what you don't, cook your own, bet responsibly and MAKE SURE YOU'RE TAKING BEST BOOK ODDS! 📚
My unit reccs, but bet where you're comfortable!:
‼️ Straights ~.2u (or QK recc) AT BEST BOOK! ‼️
RRx2 / 2-leg parlays ~.1u ea
RRx3 / 3-leg parlays ~.05u ea
⚠️I typically don't go higher than 3s but if you do TINY sprinkles ~.025u!⚠️
🎟️ Want an easy way to copy all my plays? Follow me on Pikkit! Link in bio. Use code MAMABETS if you need to sign up and you'll even get a few bucks! 🫶🏻
🍀🍀
Mama Knows Bets@mamaknowsbets
⚾📊 4/08/25 Mama Knows Bets Value Models: MLB Home Runs 📊⚾ 🏆 Mama's VALUE Faves 🏆 K. CARPENTER (DK, +650) B. NIMMO (FD, +560) K. MISNER (FD, +800) A. RUTSCHMAN (FD, +700) C. WALKER (FD, +500) ❤️🔁If you've been enjoying this free (always!) daily output please Like & Share! ✨ Check my Highlights tab for all Mama Knows Bets model outputs & results across all sports every day! ⚠️*List subject to change as starting lineups, weather, injuries & odds update⚠️ 🎟️ Follow all my plays on Pikkit! Link in bio. Code MAMABETS to join (it's free!) GOOD LUCK!!🍀🍀
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@mamaknowsbets But then again, it does like like the puck changed directions slightly, like it might have just it the tip of his stick. Who knows? lol
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@mamaknowsbets Looking at this at 0.25x speed, it looks like he never touched it 😭😭No big deal. Not like I could have won 8 units or something. youtu.be/4UfqH-LdRlA?si…
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Let us all light a candle for the clutch master Janky, he needs us now more than ever🕯️🕯️🕯️🕯️
Mr. First Goal@MrFirstGoal
@mamaknowsbets Actually got the order wrong, touches Jank then a Wing. Should be Jankowski
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I want this to be true so bad 🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻 I don't have video if it so just trusting the process 🧘🏻♀️
Mr. First Goal@MrFirstGoal
@mamaknowsbets They'll have to look at it again. I've slowed it down and don't see how it's Burns. Jankowski definitely tipped it after it went off the Wings stick
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@mamaknowsbets Actually got the order wrong, touches Jank then a Wing. Should be Jankowski
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@mamaknowsbets - would you be willing to provide a glossary or explanation of each of the columns you grade your models by? I don't know enough about each of the stats to understand why they are significant, but I'd like to know more.
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@TheArbFather Are you getting limited and having to get new accounts in the process?
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4️⃣ Final Takeaway: Arbitrage Builds Your Bankroll, EV Betting Grows It
The smartest approach is to use arbitrage to stack your bankroll safely and gain experience before diving into EV betting. Arbitrage is your risk-free foundation—it ensures steady growth while you learn how sportsbooks operate.
Once you’ve built a solid bankroll and understand market dynamics, transitioning into EV betting allows you to scale your profits by taking +EV positions with confidence.
✅ Start with arbitrage to guarantee profits.
✅ Use that knowledge to transition into EV betting for long-term growth.
✅ A disciplined approach to both will maximize your success.
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Mama Knows Bets@mamaknowsbets
💁🏻♀️ Allow me to re-introduce myself... Mama Bets is now Mama Knows Bets! 🎉 I've been working on this rebrand for a little while, and have lots more exciting things in store to go with it! ✨ Don't worry, absolutely nothing about what I share on X is changing - all the same target lists will continue to be shared here every day for free! 📊🆓 Behind the scenes, I am working on ways to get those who are interested MORE of my data, faster, and updated more frequently, without needing to wait for my posts. ⏩ It might take me a little while (or a lot while) longer but I am super excited about what is to come!! Some other silly and fun projects might be coming even sooner as well... 👀 For those new to my page and what I'm all about, I made this venn diagram that sums up what my mission is - I try to find the best of both worlds between DATA and VALUE. 🎯 All my targets in all my models are backed by BOTH, making them the best possible bets within my long shot prop categories every night. From a casual bettor heading out to a game looking for one best bet to place to spice up their experience, 🌶️ to those regular bettors who are trying to beat the odds every day, 📈 my targets will help guide you to better, smarter wagers. I'll also continue sharing betting basics and education 🏫 - from bankroll management to unit sizing to terminology and formulas, I'm happy to help you better understand the wagers you're placing and how to implement a more profitable strategy. Reach out anytime! 🤓📚 Thanks to everyone old and new for following along!! Almost 10k, can't believe it. 🤯 Can't wait to continue to share this journey with all of you. 🫶🏻 And one more time, my favorite list... 🏫Mama's Rules of Betting🏫 1. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Assume you will lose every play that you place, and make sure you can live with that possibility. 🧘🏻♀️ 2. Follow unit management - don't chase losses with larger bet sizing. ➡️ One Unit = 1% of your bankroll ➡️ Bankroll = total money you have set aside for betting; money you could light on fire today and it would not impact your life. You're okay losing it. NOT money you need ‼️ ➡️➡️For example, if your bankroll is $1000 your unit is $10. If I recommend .5u, you would put $5 on that play. 🧮 3. Line shop & use your promos! Always take BEST BOOK ODDS 📚 4. Track your bets (Pikkit is great for this - use code MAMABETS if you want to sign up) 📈 5. See Rule #1. And try to have fun. Never get too high, never get too low. 🫶🏻 ⚠️ It should go without saying, but this is not financial advice. This is gambling, and nothing is guaranteed. Wager at your own risk & discretion. #MamaKnowsBets
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@PlusEVNC It was just on my profile page under boost (usually above where the referral message is)
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@GhostEVplays They have pretty good promo limits. I’d be doing plays, but I don’t have a screen right now that provides me any visibility.
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@PlusEVNC I just got asked about that in discord haha. Didn’t even know that was a thing until today but will look into this week
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