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What to Expect from the Markets this Week – 27th April 2026
The week closed a fourth consecutive equity advance, with the NGX All-Share Index up 3.94% to 225,722.49 points and market capitalisation at N145.33trn. The more telling signal comes from the Proshare Float-Adjusted Index, which crossed 1,000 to settle at 1,061.88 points, widening its lead over the ASI. The market is being rebuilt around liquid, investable, fundamentally screened names rather than broad-based positioning, and institutional capital is rewarding selection over exposure.
Beneath the index reading, breadth is narrowing. Forty-six advancers against fifty-three decliners, with leadership rotating into banks, industrial goods and value tickers, indicates concentration rather than euphoria. The discipline requirement is reinforced elsewhere. FAAC distributions rose to N2.04trn in March under new Finance Minister @taiwoyedele, although softer oil and VAT receipts leave fiscal financing pressure intact.
At the NFEM window, the Naira weakened by 109bps to N1,358.44 per US dollar, while the parallel market held at N1,400, narrowing the spread due to weakness in the formal segment rather than improvement in the informal one. NTB yields compressed on a 3.15x oversubscribed auction while OMO yields rose 70bps to 20.96% under @cenbank sterilisation, and the FGN bond curve steepened at the front as duration demand anchored the long end.
The week ahead is governed by external resets. US Fed, BoE, BoC and BoJ rate decisions cluster between Tuesday and Thursday, with the FGN N700bn bond auction opening Monday. For boards and asset allocators, position sizing, duration discipline and sectoral conviction should carry more weight than directional calls.
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