nomis retsel
2.4K posts


@M_Johnston1 Please... What policy did they not like from the conservatives that would negatively effect their riding? What policy did they like from the Liberals that would positively effect their riding? All they said was a bunch of word salad. These were obviously selfish decisions.
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The Liberals didn’t lure Conservatives to their side of the House w promises of Cabinet posts. They all left of their own accord. Poilievre needs to ask himself why, and try to address that before others leave too. 8 are said to be considering it.
Globe Politics@globepolitics
A moment Pierre Poilievre didn’t want to meet theglobeandmail.com/politics/opini…
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@KirkLubimov Pretty standard turn out for a party that isn't going to win in a by-election.
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@SLester48896 Because some Quebec voters dislike the BQ more than they dislike the LPC.
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@BagelPolling Of course, and the strategy would've been to vote bloc not split between them and LBC. But that didn't happen. Why would a cpc voter vote for both the bloc and the lbc. This is such a weak argument... Yes, yes, yes nuance... That's it..
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@SLester48896 Have you ever heard of strategic voting? Have you considered voters are actually complicated individuals who make real choices?
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@BagelPolling Like I said she had a conservative platform so unlikely. Also, don't change the goal posts to Terrebonne. The cpc vote collapsed there too and the bloc didn't reap the benefits. Don't tell me you think they would've voted for the LBC in Quebec... That's nonsense. Same pattern.
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@SLester48896 Like I said they very likely voted Critchley. Just like in Terrebonne a lot of CPC voters voted for BQ/LPC to stop the other from winning.
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@DannyInTheNorth @sarobertsonca I just say shit too sometimes.
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@BagelPolling So you're saying when the Liberal vote collapsed in Battle River-Crowfoot by election, that was a HUGE swing away from the Liberals? Because that would be foolish too.
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@SLester48896 I am taking the exact same position on by elections that I always take.
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@BagelPolling Ok, if that's what you need to tell yourself. The numbers don't care. I usually agree with your takes, but not here.
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@BagelPolling Toronto by-elections (safe Lib): Libs rose +8.4 pts in Scarborough SW & held steady in U-Rosedale, while CPC dropped ~12 pts both times & NDP gained.
Same dynamic, flipped colors. Low turnout proves nothing about CPC apathy.
Who's coping?
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@BagelPolling By-elections in safe seats aren't litmus tests.
Battle River-Crowfoot (safe CPC): Poilievre held ~81%, Libs collapsed 11.7% → 4.1%. Critchley (conservative platform) took 9.8% mostly from CPC voters.
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@BagelPolling That's cope.
Liberal vote didn't shift to Critchley. In the general they got 11.7, in the by-election 4.1%. Even if every Liberal voter went to her, it still wouldn't explain her 9.8%. She mostly took disgruntled CPC votes. The Liberal vote didn't flip, it vanished with turnout.
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@SLester48896 The Liberal vote consolidated around the independent lady.
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@acoyne Show me an economist who can regularly make accurate economic predictions and I’ll show you someone well-educated. But you won’t be able to. Voodoo degree.
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@BagelPolling Its no different than what happened in the by-election in Battle River-Crowfoot. Pierre got almost the same as the former MP in the general election, while the liberal vote collapsed in the by-election with a much lower turn out. Did you come to the same conclusion then?
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@WeAreCanProud Why do Liberals attract perverts and degenerates?
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nomis retsel ретвитнул

#BREAKING: Orange is the New Black actress Ruby Rose says she is filing a police report against Katy Perry for allegedly sexually assaulting her at an Australian nightclub, claiming that Perry "pulled her underwear to the side and rubbed her disgusting vagina on my face."

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@telfordk Not in Canada they don't. You're an obnoxious cunt btw.
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