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On a promo shoot earlier today in the October storm! Stay dry & safe everyone! #SanFrancisco #BayArea
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Sandhya Patel
119.1K posts
Sandhya Patel
@SandhyaABC7
Sandhya Patel is a meteorologist for the ABC7 weather department. She is the weekday weather anchor for ABC7 News at 4, 5, 6 & 11 pm.
San Francisco Присоединился Şubat 2011
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Unseasonably warm again for most of Bay Area! Still under a Heat Advisory. Tomorrow is the last day of this heat wave! Spring starts in the AM. Breezy & cooler weather for weekend but, still nice! #SanFrancisco #BayArea #CAwx #ABC7now #CAheat
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J. Mesh, AMS 🇺🇸@realwxforecast
Followers. Here is a an update. The Ridge is Still Running the Show (Shocking, I Know). I mean, I wish I was wrong. but I am not. Quick follow-up here, and if you’re looking for a big change in the pattern… yeah, not happening right now. Sorry. You can shame me all you want, but I don't see any cooler weather for weeks out west. Below is my AI discussion with some key tools I have imputed. Enjoy!! The western US Super Duper Mega ridge remains firmly in control, with 500mb heights still pushing ~594–597 dm over CA/NV, and the downstream impacts are exactly what you’d expect: • Strong subsidence • Compressional warming • Clear skies + maximum March solar input • Snowpack getting absolutely torched. Yes, resorts are starting to close. At this point, this isn’t just a warm spell, it’s a full-on snowpack ablation event. Resorts across the West are now closing daily, and again… not exactly a mystery. When you’re seeing temps pushing 75–80°F at ~8,000–8,500 ft, the snowpack doesn’t “hang on” — it collapses. Once that pack goes isothermal under sustained ridging, high sun angle, and no overnight recovery, you’re just watching liquid water move downhill in slow motion. Like I discussed on Monday, the snow melt is on, anywhere from 6-10", per day of melt. Personally, haven't seen this in a long time for a March! Meanwhile — back east — the atmosphere decided balance is overrated. We’ve got a reloaded polar vortex and persistent eastern US troughing keeping things cooler, unsettled, and cold! I was talking to my super today in NY, and it was 33 degrees, and wasn't happy. So the large-scale pattern remains a pretty clean split: • West: +Height anomalies / ridge dominance / heat • East: -Height anomalies / troughing / cooler & active Now… let’s talk about the part everyone is watching — does this pattern actually break? As we get into the early April window, guidance is starting (and I stress starting) to hint at: • The ridge retrograding westward and weakening • Some degree of troughing trying to undercut into the West Coast • Heights building back into the eastern U.S. If that verifies — and that’s still a big if — you’d be looking at a pattern flip: West cools down / possibly unsettled a bit East warms up / more spring-like But let’s be clear — we’ve seen this movie before, over and over and over again during this winter. The ridge out west, has been incredibly stubborn, and until we actually see a breakdown in the height field, this is just model optimism more than reality. Still… first time in a minute, where the model ensembles are at least raising an eyebrow with some kind of change around Easter week out west. See below what I have posted: - Euro Ens and AI models, showing the Meteograms for temps, Heights out west around the 1st, Precpitation model, which shows something very light, and 850MB temps. There is some hope, I hope! As for the El Niño chatter, which it seems every weather geek on X has transitioned too, here are some thoughts: Some longer-range guidance is beginning to show: • Gradual warming of SSTs in the equatorial Pacific • Early signals of a potential ENSO phase shift toward El Niño by late summer/fall Now before everyone runs with that…We’re heading straight into the spring predictability barrier, where ENSO forecasts historically go to die. Also, the El Nino needs to be at the right ENSO region, so TBD. Plenty of time to discuss and hype! So take it for what it is right now: A signal — not a forecast. But if that trend holds, it could have real implications for the West Coast storm track heading into next winter. Bottom line: • Ridge still parked over the West for next two weeks — and doing damage • Snowpack — getting dismantled in real time • Resorts — dropping operations daily • East — still dealing with troughing / PV influence • Early April — watching for cracks in the ridge out west • Long range — El Niño whispers getting louder We’ll see if the models actually follow through. Will have more tomorrow, but for now, giving you the real facts here. Stay cool and liquid!!!! One post-script - A lot of folks post the GFS, their suites of models and the EU1. Folks, I have time and time again, found that the Euro Ens AI model has been the most reliable model this winter season, which has been challenging. As you know, I am not a fan of the GFS suite of models, nor any deterministic model for long/medium range output. I know everyone on X posts and gets the GFS for free on TT, but try to find the Euro Model AI at a cheap price for next winter. Once you do, you will never go back to the GFS suites...... #CAwx #SierraSnowpack #HeatWave #Tahoe #WestCoastWeather #PolarVortex #ENSO #ElNino #PatternChange #WxTwitter #socal #pnw
QME
RECORD BREAKING HEAT! For 4th straight day in nearly a dozen cities! Santa Rosa & San Rafael also had all-time monthly (March) records today! Expect more records tomorrow on last day of heat wave. Keep cool all, almost done! #SanFrancisco #BayArea #Cawx #Caheat #heatwave
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@SandhyaABC7 Not in Marin, but my friend in the city told me she was enjoying a cooler evening on her balcony in Pac Heights!
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@brinkeguthrie @KarlTheFog_ Glad you liked it Brinke. Thank you!
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@SandhyaABC7 I’m so ready for the spring season tomorrow, Sandhya. ☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️
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@yatesm Thank you for the report Yates. Cooler starting this weekend!
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@SandhyaABC7 Thanks Sandhya. It got to 94 at my location in Santa Rosa! It's down to 87 now. Still very hot! Next week I guess it "cools down" to the 80s. Absolutely crazy.
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@SandhyaABC7 @LiveDoppler7 Spring is a comin and we’re still flirting with the effects of summer. And oh Sandhya Sandhya it is a toasty one all around.
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@SandhyaABC7 @jackieofcal When you hear of it being 102° in Las Vegas, that is because it’s recorded at our Airport. But the Strip and most areas east of it are a few degrees warmer.
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According to Weather Channel and Accuweather, Palo Alto is much warmer than 83ºF. Weather Channel and Accuweather currently show Palo Alto at 90ºF with highs of 91ºF and 92ºF respectively. There's also an NWS weather station for Palo Alto at 88ºF currently.
Sandhya Patel@SandhyaABC7
Feeling the heat on this St. Patrick's Day! It's 2nd day of #heatwave , expecting daily records & possibly all-time March records too today. Heat Advisory up until Friday night so take it easy everyone! How are you holding up? #SanFrancisco #BayArea #CAwx #CAheat
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@SandhyaABC7 Geez what a bummer. Not the kind of records we want to see. The hills will be dry and brown very early this year.
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Update: Tonight the National Weather Service updated the high for San Rafael for today. It reached 87-degrees. #BayArea #CAwx #CAheat
Sandhya Patel@SandhyaABC7
RECORD BREAKING HEAT: Daily records set again today in 1/2 dozen cities! Oakland & Redwood City also had all-time monthly records for March! #CAheat #SanFrancisco #BayArea #CAwx
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@SandhyaABC7 It was about the same just further north in Novato yesterday, but what a joy it was for me! This morning is looking like a carbon copy, so let's all enjoy it. Thank you for the update, Sandhya. 😊
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@JulesGarden63 I know Julianna & that's understandable. Hang in there.
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@SandhyaABC7 It’s brutal. I’m already watering twice a day and getting up at first light. It’s too early for this nonsense. I’m very worried about fire danger this year.
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Feeling the heat on this St. Patrick's Day! It's 2nd day of #heatwave , expecting daily records & possibly all-time March records too today. Heat Advisory up until Friday night so take it easy everyone! How are you holding up? #SanFrancisco #BayArea #CAwx #CAheat
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@SandhyaABC7 I can turn the fan on for this week, Sandhya.
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MARCH HEAT: Are you thinking it's way to warm/hot for this time of year? You're not alone! Heat risk remains for those who are sensitive so try to find a way to keep cool & stay hydrated. Patchy fog is showing up near the coast! #SanFrancisco #BayArea #CAwx #CAheat
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@yatesm You're not alone in thinking this Yates. Some others are also saying this.
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@SandhyaABC7 I know lots of people like it, but it's alarming that this is happening in March! Definitely not for me. I wouldn't love it even in August but at least it's expected then.
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