Topher
427 posts


The most expensive misread in markets right here is thinking AI kills software. I think it gets absorbed by it which is a completely different trade.
Spent several weeks on this post and built a 15 name basket around the idea.
lordfed.co.uk/p/why-software…
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@DividendMil Low price is not best price in markets! Ask the $PYPL $200 strike put sellers when it was at $250
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$MSFT is at $376 this morning
You have 2 choices
Buy 100 shares for $37,600
OR
Sell a $375 cash secured put expiring in 2 weeks
And get paid $705 immediately 💰
Here’s what that means
You’re agreeing to buy $MSFT at $375
Which is already below today’s price
But because of volatility and time
You get paid $705 upfront
That’s nearly 2% in 2 weeks 🤯
Now let’s break outcomes down
If $MSFT stays above $375
You keep the full $705
No shares assigned
If $MSFT drops below $375
You get assigned at $375
But your real cost basis is $367.95
Because you already collected the premium
So you’re buying one of the strongest companies in the world at a discount
And let’s be real
$MSFT is a long term beast
Cloud with Azure ☁️
AI with OpenAI integration 🤖
Enterprise dominance that isn’t going anywhere
This is exactly how we play it
Get paid to wait
Lower your entry
Or keep the cash
That’s the power of options
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If you held a gun to my head and said "Brandon, beat the market in the next 10 years or you are dead"
I would say, no problem.
There is a 99% chance I will.
This is exactly how.
First off, "the market" is the SP500.
We will say I have a $1m account to start.
The first thing I would do to beat the market is to simply buy the market.
So I would buy $1m of $VOO (sp500 ETF)
Second, just buying the market via $VOO will actually underperform a tad because of the expense ratio... no prob
So here is the spot that matters to beat it.
In that 10 year period, I would be patient, sitting, & waiting for a market shock to come.
& it will come in a 10 year period for sure.
So when it does, & valuations are cheap & everyone is panicking, I will sell put contracts secured by the $VOO shares & generate about $100k in premium.
I would do 2 year duration sold put contracts with a strike just a tad below the current market price.
I will take the $100k in premium received & buy more shares of $VOO.
Then I will simply wait & do nothing.
99% chance the SP500 recovers in the next 2 years & the sold put expires worthless.
(if not, I will roll)
I pay zero interest this entire time (selling portfolio secured put, not cash secured)
So I had the $VOO shares matching the market, plus I added another 100k from the sold put.
So the 100k addition to the 1m account = an extra 10% in a 10 year period.
For simple numbers, that is 1% a year.
That right there is how you beat the market with 99% certainty.
Keep in mind, 95% of retail & institutional investors will not beat the SP500 after fees in the long run, so doing this instantly puts you in the 5% bucket of the few that do.
Think about this before you go to bed tonight.
It's not "hard" to beat the market, but most won't simply because they are not patient.
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The market is never wrong. Opinions often are.
lordfed.co.uk/p/this-is-wher…
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@Invest_Brandon It's all good until US equities grind down for 10 years
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The BIGGEST hack with selling portfolio secured puts is that you can technically make an unlimited ROI.
(not kidding)
Roll with me on this one, it will BLOW YOUR MIND!
So selling puts is a bullish strategy.
That's why I would never want to sell "cash secured puts", I sell "portfolios secured puts."
(cash sits there and does nothing, but portfolio secured works for you being invested)
Ok.
So when I sell portfolio secured puts and collect say $20k for example, I take that cash flow and buy $20k in shares of the company I am bullish on. (same one I am selling puts on)
I usually sell 1 year contracts (much safer and easier)
Usually if done correctly, about 6 months in to the 12 month contract, you will be around 75% profit on the trade.
I buy back the contract for around $5k.
But I still have 15k in shares in the company I am bullish on.
Yet the trade is closed out 100%
I can hold those shares forever and ride them to technically infinity!
Another reason why portfolio secured puts with longer duration contracts win.
Cash secured sucks.
Your cash sits there and does nothing.
Short duration sucks & is gambling.
So many retail investors get this so wrong...
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There's the taco 😂😂😂

The Great Martis@great_martis
The only thing that can save markets temporarily.
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I told you.
You’re welcome.
Dark Pool Don@SpoozDon
Folks, Lows are just about in. Check back in a few months. Now 6540.
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We bought calls on Friday
Now we do nothing.
Our work is done.
KaneCap@KaneCapz
@SpoozDon What’re we scooping here broski
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Land. The answer is always land
Jesse Cohen@JesseCohenInv
Stocks are down The dollar is down Gold is down Silver is down Copper is down Oil is down Bitcoin is down What is left to buy?
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This can only mean one thing
Barchart@Barchart
S&P 500 Financial Stocks just formed a Death Cross ☠️ for the first time since October 2023 🚨
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@Invest_Brandon Mr. Market rubs my belly
And tickles my balls,
He giggles and wiggles
Whenever he calls.
Up goes the ticker,
Oh what a thrill!
Down comes the hammer,
Gives me a chill.
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My option strategy is base hits all day.
Not home runs.
When you swing for homers you strike out more.
When you keep striking out you eventually wipe out the account.
& you cannot compound from zero.
(this boring system is what I use to beat the market in the last 10+ years which is what most people do not even get close to doing)
Base hit system:
Build base portfolio
Do options with conservative strike prices.
1 year+ duration to give EPS time to grow.
Ratios in check to be fine in any volatility.
Only great companies at good prices.
Home run swinger:
Aggressive bets.
Short duration.
Win big or lose big.
Eventually resets to zero.
I would rather make less money on a trade than get wiped out like most ppl...
You only have to get rich once.
Don't blow it chasing a quick win.

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@Invest_Brandon Why not do this on ETFs for albeit smaller return but much less concentration risk
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Same Nvidia.
Same $180 strike.
Completely different outcome.
1 month put: collect $385. Margin of safety: 7%.
1 year put: collect $2,540. Margin of safety: 34%.
Safety comes from buying below fair value & EPS growth in the time frame.
To beat me with monthlies you need 8 wins in a row.
One bad month wipes everything.
& you are forced to sell puts when the market is hot & there is less deals too.
Can a CEO make his company more valuable in 1 month?
No.
In 1 year? Absolutely.
Stocks follow the profits.
That does not materially change in a month...

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@Invest_Brandon One of the greatest feelings in life is watching the options you wrote expire worthless
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Most people get a pay raise & immediately upgrade their lifestyle.
New car. Nicer place. Better restaurants.
That is exactly why most people are broke.
I could buy a Lambo right now.
I could buy a plane right now. (I'm a private pilot)
I will not do either.
Because that money stops working for me the second I spend it.
My goal is simple.
Get the portfolio to a level where it pays for my entire lifestyle many times over.
The biggest flex is not needing a day job.

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People are waking up to the financial reality of owning a home.
Vivi 👑 The Options Queen@Biotech_SD
Paid $8500 of my $17k property taxes today. Owning a home is a scam 😝 now, if someone buys my house today, they will pay $31k for the adjusted property taxes, even a bigger scam. 🤬
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