Samiullah Khatir

Cole Allen

Appreciative of my gracious hosts in Oman. Important discussions on bilateral matters and regional developments. As only Hormuz littoral states, our focus included ways to ensure safe transit that is to benefit of all dear neighbors and the world. Our neighbors are our priority

Axios: President Trump is expected to hold on Monday a situation room meeting on Iran with his top national security and foreign policy team. The meeting is expected to discuss the current stalemate in the negotiations with Iran and potential options for the next steps in the war. axios.com/2026/04/27/ira…

ایک طرف سید مزمل شاہ جیسا ابھرتا ہوا صحافی ہے، جسے انگریزی اور اردو دونوں زبانوں پر عبور ہے، بین الاقوامی امور پر مہارت رکھتا ہے، دنیا کے دیگر ممالک کے درمیان جنگوں، خلفشار اور جغرافیائی معاملات کو سمجھتا اور ان پر بات کرتا ہے، اور LUMS جیسے بڑے ادارے اسے اپنے سیشنز کے لیے بلاتے ہیں۔ تو دوسری طرف صابر شاکر، عارف حمید بھٹی، ارشاد بھٹی اور صدیق جان جیسے لوگ ہیں، جن کے ایک جملے سے دوسرے جملے میں ربط نہیں ہوتا، جنہوں نے عمران خان کے علاوہ دنیا کے کسی موضوع یا کانٹینٹ پر کبھی بولنے کی ہمت نہیں کی۔ انہیں شاید یہ بھی معلوم نہ ہو کہ ویتنام کے کیا مسائل ہیں، ساؤتھ چائنا سی میں کیا تنازعات ہیں، پیسیفک کے کیا ایشوز ہیں، یا لاطینی امریکہ میں کیا معاملات چل رہے ہیں۔ “اینڈ آف ہسٹری” اور “ری میکنگ آف ورلڈ آرڈر” جیسی کتابیں کیا ہوتی ہیں۔ گویا صرف ایک ہی “کتاب” پڑھی گئی ہے، جس کے 804 صفحات ہیں، اور ہر صفحے پر عمران خان کا بیانیہ ہی دوڑتا نظر آتا ہے۔ اسی کو دہرانے میں مصروف ہیں، لیکن اہلِ یوتھ کے ہیرو ہیں۔ جب ذہنی حالت یہ ہو جائے تو پھر انقلاب تو درکنار، شعور بھی مشکل سے آئے گا۔

کچھ اطلاعات ایسی ہیں کہ ہمارے بھی کچھ لوگ ایرانی وزیر خارجہ کیساتھ عمان گے تھے ایرانی وزیر خارجہ آرمی چیف کے جہاز میں عمان گے اور ان کے ساتھ آنے والا وفد اپنے جہاز میں واپس ایران گیا اب وہ وفد بھی واپس آرہا ہے صحافی کا کام ہے خبر دینا حالات اتنی تیزی سے تبدیل ہوتے ہیں خبر کسی وقت بدل جاتی ہے پھر لوگ کہتے ہیں آپ نے تو یہ کہا تھا وہ کہہ تھا عمر چیمہ

JUST IN: On April 26, 2026, the IRGC-affiliated Tasnim News Agency reported that Iran is no longer willing to negotiate any limits on its nuclear program in the Pakistani-mediated talks. Discussions are limited to ending the war, sanctions relief, war compensation, lifting the US blockade, and the legal status of the Strait of Hormuz. Nuclear, Tasnim reported, “could be addressed later in a separate agreement” only after the war has ended. The headlines are reading this as Iranian hardening. The structural reading is the opposite. Iran is not refusing nuclear because it has leverage. Iran is refusing because it has run out of time to negotiate anything else first. On April 21, Bessent stated publicly: “In a matter of days, Kharg Island storage will be full and the fragile Iranian oil wells will be shut in.” Kharg handles ninety percent of Iranian crude exports. Spare onshore storage is roughly thirteen million barrels. Net inflows from continuing production minus suppressed exports run at one to one point one million barrels per day. Twelve to thirteen days from April 26. Saturation lands in early May. On April 24, satellite imagery showed the M/T NASHA, a thirty-year-old VLCC built in 1996 with two-million-barrel capacity, towed toward Kharg as emergency floating storage. The transit took four days against a normal one and a half. NASHA buys roughly forty-eight hours. Forced shut-ins are not a pause. They cause reservoir damage, water coning and fines migration documented in petroleum engineering literature, that reduces long-term recoverable output by percentage points that compound. A regime that cannot maintain its production base cannot fund its IRGC or sustain its currency. Lloyd’s List has documented at least twenty-six shadow fleet bypasses since the blockade began on April 13. CENTCOM has redirected thirty-seven vessels and intercepted the M/V Sevan in the Arabian Sea on April 26, the day after Treasury sanctioned it. The Goreh-Jask pipeline, Iran’s only Hormuz alternative, runs at three hundred thousand barrels per day against the one million that needs evacuation. The IRGC’s bargaining power is now measured in barrels of remaining onshore storage. Each barrel filled reduces leverage. Each NASHA hour expires. The strongest contrarian counter, from FGE NextantECA via Reuters, holds that Iran can sustain roughly two months without exports using full domestic storage and refining. That covers the system. Kharg is the chokepoint. Ninety percent of crude flows through one terminal whose tanks fill in twelve to thirteen days. The system buys weeks. The valve closes in days. This is why nuclear has been dropped from the table. Tehran cannot negotiate nuclear because Tehran cannot afford the diplomatic time the storage crisis no longer permits. The sequencing demand, war end first then nuclear later, is a confession of physical constraint dressed as posture. Trump understood this on April 25 when he texted New York Post reporter Caitlin Doornbos: “Come home!!!” The political escape route closed on the same forty-eight hours NASHA was buying. Three readings of April 26. Iranian hardening on nuclear under blockade pressure. Priced. Tactical IRGC sequencing to extract sanctions relief before nuclear concessions. Narrow. The first publicly verifiable demonstration that Iran’s bargaining power is now mathematically tied to onshore Kharg storage capacity, that NASHA is the visible signature of forty-eight remaining hours, and that the nuclear deferral is a confession of constraint dressed as posture. Tehran is pricing the first. The Kharg gauges are settling the third. open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

Iran offer Trump to OPEN STRAIT — US official Trump summons Situation Room today for response

Extremely depressed about Iran. The situation keeps deteriorating, and the war, unsurprisingly, has done nothing to improve the lives of Iranians — it has only deepened their suffering. I haven’t been able to reach many of my family members for weeks due to the regime’s oppressive shutdown of access to the global internet.

JUST IN: 🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran offers US deal to reopen Strait of Hormuz, end the war, and postpone nuclear talks, Axios reports.

.@POTUS: When you're a consequential president or if you have a consequential administration, things happen that wouldn't happen if you're Joe Biden.

The meeting between the Iranian Foreign Ministry and the Russian President will take place in St. Petersburg, — said the Iranian Ambassador to Moscow, Kazem Jalali.

NEGOTIATIONS UPDATE: IRAN’S NEW PROPOSAL (NUCLEAR ENRICHMENT WON’T BE NEGOTIATED Iran proposal: ✅ Ceasefire would be extended for a long period or the parties would agree on a permanent end to the war. ✅ The nuclear negotiations would only start at a later stage, after the strait was open and the blockade lifted. ✅ The White House has received the proposal. Source: Axios

Iran views Pakistan as a friendly neighboring country; however, it does not consider it a suitable intermediary for negotiations and believes it lacks the necessary credibility for mediation. This position was expressed by a spokesperson for Iran’s Commission on National Security and Foreign Policy, who argued that Islamabad tends to take U.S. interests into account and avoids contradicting Washington’s stance, citing the ceasefire situation in Lebanon as an example.

🚨President Trump is expected to hold on Monday a situation room meeting on Iran with his top national security and foreign policy team 🚨The meeting is expected to discuss the current stalemate in the negotiations with Iran and potential options for the next steps in the war

Axios: Iran through Pakistani mediators gave the U.S. a new proposal for reaching a deal on the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and the ending of the war, with nuclear negotiations postponed for a later stage, according to a U.S. official and two sources with knowledge.

NEW: Iran gave the U.S. a new proposal for reaching a deal on the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and lifting the naval blockade first, and postponing nuclear negotiations for a later stage. My story on @axios axios.com/2026/04/27/ira…

Although we don’t yet have the details about the motives behind last night's shooting at the White House Correspondents Dinner, it’s incumbent upon all us to reject the idea that violence has any place in our democracy. It’s also a sobering reminder of the courage and sacrifice that U.S. Secret Service Agents show every day. I’m grateful to them – and thankful that the agent who was shot is going to be okay.

3. Cole Allen shared mainstream Democrat politician posts like @AOC, @JBPritzker, @SenWarren, and @SenWhitehouse. "Trump is already breaking the law." "Prepare... for a tsunami of plunder and corruption"

ایرانی وزیر خارجہ روس روانہ ہو چکے ہیں پیوٹن سے ملاقات کریں گے یہ ملاقات بہت اہم ہوگی کہہ جا رہا ہے عباس عراقچی نے پاکستان ، عمان اور روس کا دورہ اظہارے تشکر کے لیے کیا مگر اصل بات یہ نہیں ہے پاکستان کو اپنا اسٹینڈ واضح کرنے آئے تھے جبکہ عمان میں بات ضرور آبنائے ہرمز کے نئے نظام پر ہو گی روس کو بھی اعتماد میں لیا جائے گا

@TheIranianzg3z The leverage has a clock though Iraq is reopening the Turkey pipeline UAE is expanding Fujairah bypass Saudi East-West is being rebuilt. Iran has six months before the Hormuz card depreciates. They know it, so does Washington.