♕Deborah Mayo♕

More power puzzles: power and severity with nonsignificant results. errorstatistics.com/2026/03/14/pow…

power and severity with non-significant results: more puzzles? Well, I'm leading up slowly to pulling back the cover on the biggest confusions--errorstatistics.com/2026/03/14/pow…

New blogpost: Continuing the blizzard of 26 power howlers. Check to see that you can shovel through this easy peasy power quiz. Then see the bottom notes to ponder why many critics of tests get this backwards. errorstatistics.com/2026/03/03/con…

Send your power howlers to errorstatistics.com for the next week.

New blogpost: A blizzard of power puzzles replicate in meta-research: Those leading the abandon significance movement are back. Now they're declaring test results need shrinkage to fit Bayesian misinterpretations of power. But the correct construal is already given by a proper use of tests. errorstatistics.com/2026/03/01/a-b…

Just a random gooey, gross guess-weird Wordle 1,717 3/6 🟨⬜⬜⬜🟩 ⬜⬜🟩⬜🟩 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩

@cellokik the errors & how the capability of controlling them changes

@learnfromerror on?

it depends...

any philo of stat folk in NYC this week?

Here's your chance to learn what shpower is, and to make sure you don't confuse it with power (in the proper N-P sense) errorstatistics.com/2026/02/12/lei…

Surprising guess: Taking some of your friend's popcorn when they're not looking ⬜⬜⬜⬜⬜ ⬜🟩⬜⬜⬜ 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩

@PhilosopherMD1 @predict_addict I was interviewed by a reporter on it the other day.

None to happy about the FDA opening up to Bayesian stats. I agree with @predict_addict

Read Jeff Bowers' comment on my blogpost #comment-269246" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">errorstatistics.com/2026/01/29/sev…

Severe Testing of Deep Learning Models of Cognition. errorstatistics.com/2026/01/29/sev…

@DongNguyeb @dylanarmbruste3 @lakens You can find the whole book (SIST 2018) in proof form here: errorstatistics.com/2019/07/08/sis…. Or follow my slow cruise errorstatistics.com

@dylanarmbruste3 @lakens We would like to know about the opinion of Deborah Mayo about the Karl Popper’s perspective and the severity test in science applied to statistics. Would you give us some comments, @learnfromerror ?

A hypothesis developed based on the data is often more likely to be true, than if you had not used the data. The problem is not whether the hypothesis is true. The problem is the hypothesis was not severely tested. You can't *claim* it is true until you test it on new data.

@PsychRabble @dylanarmbruste3 @DongNguyeb @lakens Jerzy.

@learnfromerror @dylanarmbruste3 @DongNguyeb @lakens That's some company. But which one has the Hitler mustache? Its a bit creepy... I mean, I get that it was just the fashion at the time and he probably sported it pre-actual-Hitler. But still...

@dylanarmbruste3 @PsychRabble @DongNguyeb @lakens who didn't?

@PsychRabble @learnfromerror @DongNguyeb @lakens Top left is Donald Rubin. Next to him is John Tuckey. Next to Tukey is Fisher. Bottom left is Jerzy Neyman(the person you're talking about, he was polish). Next to Neyman is Bradley Efron. I'm not surprised you don't recognize him.

@dylanarmbruste3 @PsychRabble @DongNguyeb @lakens I'm on the cover of Rod Little's new book, along with Fisher and N-P, in relation to my paper on the LP. Not that he agrees with me.

@PsychRabble @DongNguyeb @lakens @learnfromerror Thats one of her books, yes. I was going to reference this one: amazon.com/Experimental-K…

@DongNguyeb @dylanarmbruste3 @lakens go to error statistics.com, search for Popper, also to full excerpts from Stat Inference as Severe Testing (2018)