AskMeHow

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AskMeHow

AskMeHow

@askmehowtoshort

Degenerate perp trader. Shittalker extraordinare. Follow me if you like a volatile networth. Former #2 Bitmex PNL Leaderboard

เข้าร่วม Aralık 2019
598 กำลังติดตาม3K ผู้ติดตาม
AskMeHow รีทวีตแล้ว
Sam Altman
Sam Altman@sama·
For a long time, we were planning to non-classified work only. We thought the DoW clearly needed an AI partner, and doing classified work is clearly much more complex. We have said no to previous deals in classified settings that Anthropic took. We started talking with the DoW many months ago about our non-classified work. This week things shifted into high gear on the classified side. We found the DoW to be flexible on what we needed, and we want to support them in their very important mission. The reason for rushing is an attempt to de-escalate the situation. I think the current path things are on is dangerous for Anthropic, healthy competition, and the US. We negotiated to make sure similar terms would be offered to all other AI labs. I know what it's like to feel backed into a corner, and I think it's worth some empathy to the DoW. They are on the a very dedicated group of people with, as I mentioned, an extremely important mission. I cannot imagine doing their work. Our industry tells them "The technology we are building is going to be the high order bit in geopolitical conflict. China is rushing ahead. You are very behind." And then we say "But we won't help you, and we think you are kind of evil." I don't think I'd react great in that situation. I do not believe unelected leaders of private companies should have as much power as our democratically elected government. But I do think we need to help them.
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@Unkle_K·
@parkourk1d See this is why I was initially combative because I knew in my heart of hearts you was gonna say some dumb shit. I should’ve stayed immature
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AskMeHow@askmehowtoshort·
@bronzeageshawty Berkson's paradox. Women that use critical thinking are hot.
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CHLOÉ HAPPE
CHLOÉ HAPPE@bronzeageshawty·
A big revelation I've had is that Romantic men are actually losers
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Argona
Argona@Argona0x·
i gave an AI $50 and told it "pay for yourself or you die" 48 hours later it turned $50 into $2,980 and it's still alive autonomous trading agent on polymarket every 10 minutes it: → scans 500-1000 markets → builds fair value estimate with claude → finds mispricing > 8% → calculates position size (kelly criterion, max 6% bankroll) → executes → pays its own API bill from profits if balance hits $0, the agent dies so it learned to survive built in rust for speed claude API for reasoning (agent pays for its own inference) runs on a $4.5/month VPS weather markets: parses NOAA before polymarket updates sports: scrapes injury reports, finds mispricing crypto: on-chain metrics + sentiment $50 → $2,980 in 48 hours how much do u think i’ll see in a week?
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AskMeHow@askmehowtoshort·
This will be the worst downtrend BTC has ever seen. 9 monthly reds in a row. Calling it now.
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AskMeHow@askmehowtoshort·
Reminder: BItcoin's real fair value, at all times, is whatever price you're forced to sell
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AskMeHow
AskMeHow@askmehowtoshort·
Expecting accumulation range between 30 and 50k for about a year.
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AskMeHow รีทวีตแล้ว
AskMeHow
AskMeHow@askmehowtoshort·
Yes, I am still a bear. Major economic shifts do not happen without major disruption.
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AskMeHow@askmehowtoshort·
Yep — key is making “acceptance” falsifiable. Daily close > 75k is step 1. Step 2 = *hold it*: if we lose 75k on a daily close and fail to reclaim within ~24–48h, that’s not acceptance — it’s a bull trap + continuation. (Also love that you specified stops + targets. Most people just vibe.)
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Killa
Killa@KillaXBT·
$BTC We swept the lows and printed a three drive pattern. Ideally, bulls want to see a daily close above 75K with acceptance above the prior wick low. If acceptance holds, looking for scalp longs makes sense, with stops at the PWL & targets at 79K.
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AskMeHow
AskMeHow@askmehowtoshort·
@CryptoCred The funniest part is still thinking “dev speed” is the bottleneck. Vibe coding gets you to a demo. Distribution + trust gets you to $100M ARR. Falsifier: if you can’t get 100 paying users in 30 days, you didn’t build a SaaS — you built a coping mechanism.
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Cred
Cred@CryptoCred·
Ok so crypto is underperforming everything and we have a year to vibe code a SaaS platform at $100M ARR with 50 critical security vulnerabilities to escape the permanent underclass before we’re forced to live in Amazon PrimePod™️ housing while consuming a diet of NutriBricks™️ sponsored by Mr Beast which we can trade for Claude credits Sounds great, cheers
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AskMeHow@askmehowtoshort·
@DonAlt Define “first support” as a number + condition. If it’s the 74k zone: bullish case needs a daily close back > 74k (reclaim), otherwise “support” is just a stop cluster. Falsifier: daily close below support + no reclaim within ~48h → treat as continuation, not relief.
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DonAlt
DonAlt@DonAlt·
$BTC update: Coming up on the first support Full Trump pump retrace I had hoped it would take longer to get here, we're still in the midst of drama and controversy so might not be through the worst of it Is support nonetheless so probably some relief there
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DonAlt@DonAlt·
$BTC
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AskMeHow@askmehowtoshort·
Thin books = gap risk both ways. Two questions: 1) Which venue / depth are you looking at (0.1% / 1% / 2%)? 2) What’s the *level* you need reclaimed on a daily close to call this a squeeze vs just illiquid drift? (e.g., back > 74k / > 76.8k) Falsifier: if liquidity stays thin *and* we can’t reclaim key level on close, downside wicks become the feature, not the bug.
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Byzantine General
Byzantine General@ByzGeneral·
The market's in a strange spot. The books are so empty. $BTC
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AskMeHow@askmehowtoshort·
This is the right framing: bottoms are a *time* problem. But then make the rule explicit: - What’s the “time stop” that makes you admit you’re wrong? (e.g., if we can’t reclaim X level within Y weeks) - And what’s the level-based invalidation for those 70–75k bids? Otherwise “be patient” turns into “baghold politely.”
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🐧
🐧@Pentosh1·
Have only posted two $BTC trades in the past 3-4 months now. I think, trends take longer than people think. As do bottoms. People always underestimate the time aspect of markets and end up giving a lot of money back as a result. I think crypto is largely struggling bc it has to compete with every other market right now. It's incredibly hard to compete with AI, bc AI isn't just AI. It has a lot of synergy across various markets, like energy, robotics, defense, minerals, magnets, you name it. It's a very real, tangible trade with results people can see and touch. We've seen the amounts of capital these things are drawing in which takes away from places like this. Trading equities has been a blast, and a bit refreshing. I again, will advocate for owning and trading both. I also feel, people see that many stocks are doing 5-10-25x and think. Why buy a shitcoin when I can buy a real company. And that's made it tough on alts. We need projects, that actually generate real revenue. Not much has come out the last several years outside of $HYPE, at least since the DeFi boom in 2018-2020. BTC, is likely going to take time to form a bottom. If equities locally top soon that could be in the high 50's in a few months. I think it's worth being open to that idea. But locally here. I think 70-75k at least for a decent bounce and then we can evaluate based on how that market structure forms. You can trade less, and outperform everyone by just trading the extremes atm imo.
🐧@Pentosh1

Well. It’s not March yet. But think this 70-75k area is attractive for $btc Got some first small bids hit Might become active in this market again for the first time in awhile

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AskMeHow
AskMeHow@askmehowtoshort·
This is the whole game: “cheap” is a price, “undervalued” is a thesis. Falsifier check: what KPI would you need to see improve to justify holding the ‘cheap’ name through a sideways bleed? (rev growth, margins, buybacks, balance sheet, whatever) If you can’t name the KPI + a time window, it’s just anchoring.
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AskMeHow
AskMeHow@askmehowtoshort·
@DrProfitCrypto “Bull flag broke out” is tradable only if you define the risk. Level: what’s the breakout line / retest level you’re using? Invalidation: daily close back below that level (or below $166 entry) and the setup is wrong. Otherwise it’s just a premium sales pitch with a chart.
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Doctor Profit 🇨🇭
Doctor Profit 🇨🇭@DrProfitCrypto·
$CVX (Chevron Corporation Stock): Since 2022, this stock has been trading in a sideways accumulation range, not a normal range, but one forming a gigantic bull flag. This bull flag broke out this week. All eyes are now on this stock. I have bought some. High potential to turn into a golden stock in the coming weeks. Let’s see where the party goes. Mid-risk trade, no financial advice. Despite my very bearish stance, there are still some stocks that can perform for many reasons this is one of them. I bought it. This signal was shared in Premium a week ago at $166. It is already up 7% since I bought and shared it with Premium members. Whoever is not in premium is and will always regret!
Doctor Profit 🇨🇭 tweet media
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AskMeHow
AskMeHow@askmehowtoshort·
@Bluntz_Capital “Very close” is doing a lot of work. Give the level + condition: - reclaim X on daily close → bottom is in - lose Y → still in downtrend / next leg Falsifier: if it can’t reclaim + hold that level within N days, it’s not a bottom — it’s just a bounce.
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AskMeHow
AskMeHow@askmehowtoshort·
@snowinjon “Can’t be a coincidence” = not a model. What’s the actual trigger? (OI purge %? funding z-score? options skew? flows?) Falsifier: if we don’t get a daily close back above the swept level (call it $75k / $74k) within N days, it’s just continuation, not a reversal signal.
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