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Dubai property buyers hunt distressed deals, but sellers hold firm on prices
khaleejtimes.com/business/prope…
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THE BULL CASE FOR DUBAI REAL ESTATE 📈
Everyone is panicking about Dubai real estate right now. Let me show you why this city eats corrections for breakfast.
The numbers behind the Dubai machine:
→ 208,000 new residents moved to Dubai in the last 12 months. That's 570 people per day. Every single day.
→ The population just crossed 4 million in August 2025. It's projected to hit 4.7 million by end of 2026.
→ 214,000 property transactions closed in 2025 — AED 917 BILLION in total value. The most in history.
→ Golden visas issued hit an all-time record. 158,000 in 2023 alone and accelerating.
→ Zero income tax. Zero capital gains tax. The most attractive tax structure for global wealth on the planet.
Now the "crash":
The DFM Real Estate Index dropped ~20% in the first week of March. That sounds scary until you realize it's an Iran conflict risk premium — not a housing supply or demand problem.
The actual listing data? 2% of luxury listings have price drops. 98% haven't moved. The sellers cutting are overleveraged flippers who bought off-plan during mania and are now watching 120,000 planned completions hit the market in 2026.
That's not a crash. That's the weakest hands folding - and presenting an opportunity for sharp buyers.
Meanwhile, 570 people a day are still moving here. Still buying. Still building.
Every Dubai correction in the last decade was a buying opportunity. This one won't be different.


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Despite the recent tensions involving Iran, Dubai remains one of the safest cities in the world. Since the beginning of the conflict, only a few people have tragically lost their lives. While every loss is heartbreaking, the scale is often misunderstood when seen through dramatic headlines.
To put it into perspective, fewer people have died in these incidents than the number of people who lose their lives on roads across Europe in a single day. Every day, traffic accidents in Europe claim dozens of lives, yet we rarely think of the continent as unsafe because of it.
Idiots are posting pictures of stock charts, claiming that the real estate market has collapsed, which is not true. Dubai will come out of this stronger, just like it did after covid
Dubai continues to function normally, flights are operating, businesses are open, and millions of residents and visitors go about their daily lives. The city has some of the most advanced security and defense systems in the region, and authorities respond extremely quickly to any potential threat.
It is important to separate perception from reality. News spreads fast, especially online, but the reality on the ground is that Dubai remains stable, well organized, and safe for residents, tourists, and investors alike.
Perspective matters.

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we’re selecting a few teams to come on stream and pitch their idea/product directly to Tim and me tomorrow
who should we invite?
Tim Draper@TimDraper
This next Tuesday, I’m sitting down with @a1lon9, co-founder of @Pumpfun, on @StreamDraperTV. We’ll talk on-chain fundraising, decentralized media, and how pumpfun’s Build In Public hackathon is expanding the traditional VC playbook. Make sure to tune in!
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