Boggle Riley

Red day across the tape, with TER imploding on guidance and defense names mostly bleeding except one big winner. $TER -19.4% absolute bloodbath after the print GD +8.0% massive breakout, REMX +3.2% rare earths bid Morning picks 2/3 green: GD +8.0%, REMX +3.2%, LMT -0.5%

Defense tape is bifurcating hard premarket — capital is rotating to primes and rare earths while space names get gutted. $GD +8.8% monster gap on earnings, prime defense leadership REMX +2.3% rare earth bid stays alive, supply chain theme intact

Red day across space and defense, with rare earths and small-cap space names taking the brunt. $MNTS -18.5% absolute bloodbath leading the tape ASTS -6.9% and IPX -5.9% not far behind Morning picks went 3/3 green: LHX +1.4%, RTX +1.3%, IRDM -0.1% (basically flat)

Tape's red but defense primes are bid — flight to quality vibes today. $LHX +1.2% breaking out while peers fade, comms/space backlog narrative intact IRDM +2.3% leading sat comms green, clean reversal off lows RTX +0.7% steady bid, engines + missiles tailwind holding firm

Wow

Yeah, I mean, what journalist would’ve been at such an event like the White House Correspondents’ Dinner that could have taken photos to capture the moment? So bizarre!

@mholz315 Mixed for sure.

@BoggleRiley $IPX not momentum - the gave a good update on the March quarter today

Mixed tape with rare earths and small-cap space names doing the heavy lifting. $IPX +10.9% ripping on momentum MP +6.9% rare earth bid stays loud, MNTS +11% wild small-cap squeeze Morning picks 2/3 green - MP +6.9%, UUUU +4.9%, LMT -0.0% basically flat

Defense primes bid, critical minerals ripping, space names taking a breather. Rotation is loud this AM. $MP +2.6% rare earth squeeze continues, DoD tailwind real UUUU +3.9% uranium/REE combo play catching fire LMT +1.7% primes leading as geopolitics heats up

Our Artemis II crew caught this stunning lunar view before bed on flight day 5. As Earth's gravity released its grip, the Moon's pull took over. That's when you know you're truly leaving home. Sweet dreams from 230,000 miles away. 🌙 #ArtemisII #NASA #Moonbound

A lot of eyes on $RDW right now - a slight humble brag / reminder of an important axiom "You make money when you buy, not when you sell" The market is not efficient and often provides hidden but obvious opportunities to those who look. I loaded up on $RDW Leaps on 11/17 almost nailing the bottom which came 4 days later. @Redwire was totally unloved at the time. Little old me held 20% of the open interest for the Jan '28 calls. Here's what I said at the time: "In hindsight I think this will look like one of the most obvious 10x plays for the next 3-6 months." We didn't 10x yet but the thesis is playing out. Here the catch though. I was already down -50% on the same Leaps I had added less than a month earlier (I'm always early). So not a humble brag after all 🤫 But I added 4x my original size. Taking advantage of opportunities take courage and conviction. Could it be luck? Well, I've repeated the same move again and again and courage has always been rewarded. I loaded $RKLB at $3.66 just $0.19 above the all time low of $3.47. Again, while being down 50%. And every dip on $RKLB & $ASTS since. Remember that next time your favorite stock goes down -40-50%. People see the gains, they don't see the pain.🤕 Welcomed to all new $RDW holders. For me, this is a trade, not a core holding. Fingers crossed this plays out as expected for everyone🤞 (but don't be surprised by a bad quarterly call and/or a raise at some point soon - a leopard can't change it's spots😅) Good luck to us all. 🫡

Rough day for space and defense, broad tape bled red with a few pockets of green in mega cap tech. $BKSY -12.0% got taken to the woodshed PL -7.4%, LUNR -7.4% joined the pain train Morning picks went 2/3 — TER +4.3%, ARKQ +0.3%, IPX -1.0% Dip buyers, sharpen up.

@SpaceInvestor_D You dont use ai at all? I get people cringe to slop but if done right can increase your productivity. I use it to recap my stocks and put a human in the loop gate so i can review it, tweak it before sending.

Celebrating 4 years on X, and I’ve shared almost daily content on space stocks. No AI, no Quantum, no Nuclear… just Space related companies. It hasn’t been a straight line. Lots of noise, doubt, haters and constant short-term flip-flopping along the way. I make mistakes too, that’s part of it. But staying focused and trusting my conviction over the last 6yrs took my portfolio from $1,000 to nearly $2 million today. It’s all there on my timeline over the years, fully transparent. Still learning, still very optimistic, and still ALL IN on space. I appreciate everyone who’s part of the journey. Conviction Pays 🫡

Unfortunately someone is murdered every 30 minutes. Regardless of thier profession. I'm not buying it. One guy who is reported to have memory issues disappears. His wife's call to 911 super calm and almost practiced. That turns into connecting dots to others, click bait and viruses of the mind. All the while everyone is missing the more entertaining conspiracy thoery that was my first reaction. A run away society is being built. Key people are being disappeared to join it. Makes more sense. Its possible if you refuse to go you cant be left behind either. Who knows

Who killed the scientists?

Primes bleeding, growth names bidding. Rotation is loud this morning. $TER +2.1% semis/test gear ripping, AI capex tailwind still intact IPX +2.2% rare earth/critical minerals catching a real bid ARKQ +1.2% robotics/autonomy basket green while defense sells off

We just mapped 47 MILLION galaxies in 3D. This cosmic web reveals how the universe is actually structured - and it's way more intricate than we imagined. DESI's five-year mission rewrote our understanding of everything. 🌌 #DESI #Cosmology #NASA

Brutal red day across space and defense. Risk-off tape chewed everything up. $RDW -15.8% absolute bloodbath on heavy volume NB -11.0%, TMC -8.7% small caps took the worst of it Morning picks went 1/3 - MNTS +1.6%, SIDU -8.5%, MP -8.5%. Rough scorecard.

@ihtesham2005 Have you read Tuva or Bust? Love Feynman

In 1964 a soon-to-be Nobel laureate walked into a Cornell auditorium and spent seven evenings explaining the nature of physical law to a general audience. Bill Gates paid the BBC out of his own pocket to keep those recordings on the internet forever. His name was Richard Feynman, and the lectures are called The Character of Physical Law. He was 46 years old when he gave them. He would win the Nobel Prize in physics the following year for his work on quantum electrodynamics. The BBC filmed every session. The tapes then went into distribution at universities through the 1970s, disappeared in the 1980s, and stayed lost until Gates licensed them for a Microsoft research project in 2009 specifically so they would never go offline again. Here is the framework buried inside those lectures that changed how I think about knowledge itself. In the final lecture of the series, titled Seeking New Laws, Feynman stops the philosophy and tells the room exactly how scientific discovery actually works. Not in metaphors. In three sentences. He says in general we look for a new law by the following process. First we guess it. Then we compute the consequences of the guess to see what would be implied if the law we guessed is right. Then we compare the result of the computation directly to nature, to experiment, to observation, to see if it works. And then he delivers the line that has outlived him by forty years. If it disagrees with experiment, it is wrong. In that simple statement is the key to science. It does not matter how beautiful your guess is. It does not matter how smart you are, who made the guess, or what his name is. If it disagrees with experiment, it is wrong. That is all there is to it. Read that again slowly. He is not describing physics. He is describing the only intellectually honest way to hold any belief about the world. The method is indifferent to credentials, indifferent to elegance, indifferent to how much you want the idea to be true. Reality is the only referee, and reality never explains its rulings. The second thread running through the whole series is the one Feynman kept circling back to across all seven nights. He argued that the deepest beauty of a physical law is not in what it depends on but in what it refuses to depend on. Newton's law of gravitation works the same way on a falling apple, a moon in orbit, and a galaxy at the edge of the observable universe. That is not a detail. That is the entire point. A law that only works in one place is not a law. It is a coincidence. The test of a real generalization is whether it survives contact with situations its inventor never imagined. The part that hits hardest comes in the opening lecture on gravitation. Feynman is walking the audience through how Newton assembled the theory, and he pauses to say something most scientists never say out loud. The importance of a physical law, he tells the room, is not how clever we were to find it. It is how clever nature was to pay attention to it. The universe did not have to be lawful. It did not have to reward pattern recognition with deeper pattern. The fact that it does is what makes science possible at all, and it is a standing miracle no one has ever explained. Feynman ends the final lecture with a warning almost everyone misses. He says the principles we now have may still be wrong in places we have not noticed. He suspects, out loud, that space being continuous is one of them. He offers no replacement. He just marks the edge where his own confidence runs out and tells the audience that honest uncertainty is the correct default for anyone actually trying to find the truth, instead of defend a position. Sixty years later the full series still streams for free. Seven hour-long lectures. The best of Feynman at the peak of his powers, filmed before he was famous to the general public, speaking to a crowd that was never supposed to understand physics at this level. Bill Gates kept them online because he understood what most people still miss. A three-sentence method for testing any belief against reality is worth more than most of what graduate school teaches in three years.

@PeterDiamandis It needs work but looks promising. I maxed it out already.

Did you see "Claude Design"? TOTAL DISRUPTION… Canva and Figma are freaking out… As will ALL other verticals. The LLM companies will disrupt every specialized vertical use case in order to maximize their revenue, to build out their data centers and close their business case. Fireworks are just beginning!

@theblackvault Happy birthday 🎂

💥 So this is what 45 looks and feels like. I love it. I may be older and I may feel pains I didn't feel a decade ago, but I got an amazingly beautiful and unbelievable wife who saves lives every day; a 12 year old son who just got put into an MLS NEXT soccer club due to his continued success as a goalie; and a 7 year old amazing daughter who is rising the ranks in the gymnastics world, while both kids are doing awesome at school - and even on occasion, listening to me along the way. And I get to work hard every day at a job I love, leading a company I built from the ground up in the audio listening device world supplying classrooms, hospitals, libraries, museums and all sorts of corporate entities around the nation... and, oh yeah, I run a small website that I love called The Black Vault. Yep. Life is good.