Ed Powell

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Ed Powell

Ed Powell

@Ed__Powell

Pro-science, technology, free enterprise. Astrophysics PhD. Likes: computers,science, history, politics, Tolkien, cats. “Contra Odium Suorum”

Centreville, VA Sumali Haziran 2011
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Ed Powell
Ed Powell@Ed__Powell·
After a five-month hiatus, @Lauren_Southern is back to tackle the unchristian behavior of much of the online Christian right and asks the question of whether you can find true Christianity online. youtube.com/watch?v=M3OS-F… is back to tackle the unchristian behavior of much of the online Christian right and tackles the question of whether you can find true Christianity online.
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Brivael
Brivael@brivael·
Elon Musk avait dit un truc qui m'avait marqué sur l'allocation de ressources. En substance : passé un certain niveau de richesse, l'argent n'est plus de la consommation, c'est de l'allocation de capital. Cette phrase change tout. L'économie, dans le fond, c'est juste un problème d'allocation. Tu as des ressources finies et des usages infinis. Qui décide où va quoi ? Imagine une cour de récré. 100 enfants, des paquets de cartes Pokémon distribués au hasard. Tu laisses faire. Très vite, un ordre émerge. Les bons joueurs accumulent les cartes rares, les collectionneurs trient, les négociateurs trouvent des deals. Personne n'a planifié. Et pourtant chaque carte finit dans les mains de celui qui en tire le plus de valeur. Le système maximise le bonheur total de la cour. C'est ça, la main invisible. Maintenant fais entrer la maîtresse. Elle trouve ça injuste. Léo a 50 cartes, Tom en a 3. Elle confisque, redistribue, impose l'égalité. Trois effets immédiats. Les bons joueurs arrêtent de jouer, à quoi bon. Les mauvais n'ont plus de raison de progresser, ils auront leur part. Les échanges s'effondrent. La cour est égale, et morte. Elle a maximisé l'égalité, elle a détruit le bonheur. Le problème de la maîtresse, c'est qu'elle ne peut pas avoir l'information que la cour avait collectivement. C'est le problème du calcul économique de Mises, formulé en 1920. L'URSS a essayé de le résoudre pendant 70 ans avec le Gosplan. Résultat : pénuries, queues, effondrement. Pas parce que les Soviétiques étaient bêtes, parce que le problème est mathématiquement insoluble en mode centralisé. Quand Musk a 200 milliards, il ne les consomme pas, il les alloue. SpaceX, Starlink, Neuralink, xAI. Chaque dollar est un pari sur le futur. Et lui a un track record. PayPal, Tesla, SpaceX. Il a démontré qu'il sait identifier des problèmes immenses et y allouer des ressources avec un rendement spectaculaire. L'État aussi a un track record. Hôpitaux qui s'effondrent, éducation qui décline, dette qui explose, services publics qui se dégradent malgré des budgets en hausse constante. Le marché identifie les bons allocateurs, la politique identifie les bons communicants. Le profit n'est pas une finalité, c'est un signal. Il dit : tu as alloué des ressources rares vers un usage que les gens valorisent suffisamment pour payer. Plus le profit est gros, plus la création de valeur est grande. Quand Starlink est rentable, ça veut dire que des millions de gens dans des zones rurales ont enfin internet. Quand un ministère est en déficit, ça veut dire qu'il consomme plus qu'il ne produit. L'un crée, l'autre détruit, et on appelle ça redistribution. Dans nos sociétés il y a deux catégories d'acteurs. Les entrepreneurs et les bureaucrates. L'entrepreneur prend un risque personnel pour identifier un problème, mobiliser des ressources, créer une solution. S'il se trompe il perd. S'il a raison, ses clients gagnent, ses employés gagnent, ses fournisseurs gagnent, l'État collecte des impôts. Il est la cellule de base du progrès humain. Le bureaucrate ne prend aucun risque personnel. Son salaire est garanti. Au mieux il maintient une rente existante. Au pire il la détruit par excès de réglementation, mauvaise allocation forcée, incitations perverses qui découragent ceux qui produisent. Mais dans aucun cas il ne crée. Regarde les 50 dernières années. iPhone, internet civil, SpaceX, Tesla, Google, Amazon, Stripe, mRNA, ChatGPT. Toutes des inventions privées, portées par des entrepreneurs, financées par du capital risque. Pas un seul ministère n'a inventé quoi que ce soit qui ait changé ta vie au quotidien. La France est devenue le laboratoire mondial de la dérive bureaucratique. 57% du PIB en dépenses publiques, record absolu. Une administration tentaculaire, une fiscalité qui pénalise la création de richesse. Résultat : décrochage face aux États-Unis, à l'Allemagne, à la Suisse. Fuite des cerveaux. Désindustrialisation. Dette qui explose. Et le pire c'est que la mauvaise allocation s'auto-renforce. Plus l'État prélève, moins les entrepreneurs créent. Moins ils créent, moins il y a de base fiscale. Plus l'État s'endette et taxe. Boucle de rétroaction négative parfaite. La maîtresse pense qu'elle aide, et chaque année la cour produit moins. Dans nos sociétés, ce sont les entrepreneurs, toujours, qui font avancer la civilisation. Les bureaucrates au mieux maintiennent une rente, au pire la détruisent. Aucune société n'a jamais progressé en taxant ses créateurs pour subventionner ses gestionnaires. La question n'est jamais qui a combien. C'est qui alloue le mieux la prochaine unité de ressource pour maximiser le futur de l'humanité. La réponse depuis 200 ans n'a jamais changé. Ce ne sont pas les fonctionnaires.
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Giga Based Dad
Giga Based Dad@GigaBasedDad·
Do you want to date a Russian woman?
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Ed Powell
Ed Powell@Ed__Powell·
Can AIs do math? Here’s the result of giving them the premiere mathematics test, the Putnam exam. Note that even in my absolute peak of performance, I’d have failed the Putnam. matharena.ai/putnam/
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Ed Powell
Ed Powell@Ed__Powell·
@TheWhizzAI ChaGPT 5.5 right now got 190. The capability of LLMs is growing exponentially. Any peer-reviewed paper on LLMs is a year out of date.
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The Whizz AI
The Whizz AI@TheWhizzAI·
🚨 Apple just proved AI cannot do math. Not advanced math. Grade school math. The kind a 10-year-old solves in seconds. And the way they proved it is devastating. Apple changed one thing in an AI math test. Not the logic. Not the steps. Just the numbers. AI failed completely. It did not learn math. It memorized the answers. Everything you trust about AI just changed. Every model's performance dropped. Every single one. 25 state-of-the-art models tested. But that wasn't the real experiment. The real experiment broke everything. They added one sentence to a math problem. One sentence that is completely irrelevant to the answer. It has nothing to do with the math. A human would read it and ignore it instantly. Here's the actual example from the paper: "Oliver picks 44 kiwis on Friday. Then he picks 58 kiwis on Saturday. On Sunday, he picks double the number of kiwis he did on Friday, but five of them were a bit smaller than average. How many kiwis does Oliver have?" The correct answer is 190. The size of the kiwis has nothing to do with the count. A 10-year-old would ignore "five of them were a bit smaller" because it's obviously irrelevant. It doesn't change how many kiwis there are. But o1-mini, OpenAI's reasoning model, subtracted 5. It got 185. Llama did the same thing. Subtracted 5. Got 185. They didn't reason through the problem. They saw the number 5, saw a sentence that sounded like it mattered, and blindly turned it into a subtraction. The models do not understand what subtraction means. They see a pattern that looks like subtraction and apply it. That is all. Apple tested this across all models. They call the dataset "GSM-NoOp" — as in, the added clause is a no-operation. It does nothing. It changes nothing. The results are catastrophic. Phi-3-mini dropped over 65%. More than half of its "math ability" vanished from one irrelevant sentence. GPT-4o dropped from 94.9% to 63.1%. o1-mini dropped from 94.5% to 66.0%. o1-preview, OpenAI's most advanced reasoning model at the time, dropped from 92.7% to 77.4%. Even giving the models 8 examples of the exact same question beforehand, with the correct solution shown each time, barely helped. The models still fell for the irrelevant clause. This means it's not a prompting problem. It's not a context problem. It's structural. The Apple researchers also found that models convert words into math operations without understanding what those words mean. They see the word "discount" and multiply. They see a number near the word "smaller" and subtract. Regardless of whether it makes any sense. The paper's exact words: "current LLMs are not capable of genuine logical reasoning; instead, they attempt to replicate the reasoning steps observed in their training data." And: "LLMs likely perform a form of probabilistic pattern-matching and searching to find closest seen data during training without proper understanding of concepts." They also tested what happens when you increase the number of steps in a problem. Performance didn't just decrease. The rate of decrease accelerated. Adding two extra clauses to a problem dropped Gemma2-9b from 84.4% to 41.8%. Phi-3.5-mini from 87.6% to 44.8%. The more thinking required, the more the models collapse. A real reasoner would slow down and work through it. These models don't slow down. They pattern-match. And when the pattern becomes complex enough, they crash. This paper was published at ICLR 2025, one of the most prestigious AI conferences in the world. You are using AI for financial decisions, legal documents, work problems, and your children's homework. Apple just proved it is not thinking. It is pattern matching. The moment something unexpected shows up, it breaks. It does not tell you it broke. It just confidently gives you the wrong answer.
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Jeremy Carl
Jeremy Carl@realJeremyCarl·
A few underrated follow-ons from this voting rights decision: (1) it will eliminate a lot of the very worst members of Congress because members elected from majority minority districts conspicuously tended to ignore the interests of White voters in their districts and to engage in corrupt politics. (2) it will also tend to draw more moderately Republican districts as opposed to very conservative GOP districts as more minority voters are distributed to those districts, but I think the practical effects of this will be somewhat muted because there are many GOP congressmen from very conservative districts that already did not vote conservatively. (3) When combined with the 2032 redistricting that will see another 10 or so districts move from blue states to red states, it makes the math for a Democrat house majority much more challenging. Even with a GOP House majority the Democrats already hold 46 of the 69 House seats that were decided by 10 points or less so their possibilities for durable gains are already kind of small. Even a wave election right now would probably only net the Democrats a number of seats in the low 20s. That level of gain will be completely wiped out by the number of seats changing hands due to this voting rights decision and the subsequent 2032 redistricting. (4) Bottom Line: this is the first time we’ve had fair electoral maps for the GOP in decades. If we combine this with electoral reforms like the SAVE act, it will be very, very difficult for the Democrats to have a durable House majority at any time in the 2030s. By contrast, even in moderately good elections for the GOP in the 2030s, we could see very sizable House majorities, which if combined with filibuster reform, could actually leave the GOP with its first true working congressional majorities in my lifetime. In summary, this is a huge win for the GOP, for fair elections, and for the United States as a whole.
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Ed Powell
Ed Powell@Ed__Powell·
I'm not entirely sure I buy this. AI has made me far more efficient. Just not efficient enough to fire me, because if I'm fired, who would construct the prompts that make the AI do the job?
Ricardo@Ric_RTP

Nvidia just admitted that "AI efficiency" is a LIE. Every major tech company is doing the same thing right now: Firing humans and replacing them with AI to "cut costs." 92,000 tech workers laid off in 2026 so far. Every single earnings call sounds the same: "AI is driving efficiency." But the VP of Applied Deep Learning at Nvidia, the company that literally SELLS the AI infrastructure, just told Axios: "For my team, the cost of compute is far beyond the costs of the employees." The man whose entire job is making AI work admitted that AI costs his company MORE than the humans it's supposed to replace. And he doesn't work at some struggling startup. We're talking about the most valuable company on Earth. An MIT study backs this up too: Researchers analyzed whether AI could actually replace human workers at a competitive cost and found that AI automation only makes financial sense in 23% of jobs. In the other 77%, humans are still cheaper. So companies are firing cheap labor and replacing it with expensive labor, then telling shareholders it's "innovation." But it gets even WORSE... Uber just revealed that they burned through their ENTIRE 2026 AI budget in 4 months. Their CTO said: "I'm back to the drawing board because the budget I thought I would need is blown away already." What happened is that Uber gave their engineers access to AI coding tools and encouraged them to use them as much as possible. They even built internal leaderboards ranking engineers by how many AI tokens they consumed, basically gamifying their own budget crisis without realizing it. By March, 95% of Uber's engineers were using AI tools monthly. 70% of all committed code was coming from AI. Monthly API costs per engineer hit $500 to $2,000. One software engineer in Stockholm told the New York Times: "I probably spend more than my salary on Claude." A human being now costs LESS than the AI tool they use to do their job. And Uber isn't some edge case. Big Tech has announced $740 billion in AI capital expenditures this year alone, up 69% from 2025, according to Morgan Stanley. Meanwhile the Yale Budget Lab says there is NO widespread data showing AI is actually displacing jobs or improving productivity at scale. So follow the money: Companies fire humans ↓ Stock goes up because "AI efficiency" ↓ Those same companies spend MORE on AI than they saved on salaries ↓ That money flows to Nvidia, Anthropic, OpenAI, and Microsoft ↓ Those companies use the revenue to justify their own insane valuations ↓ Everyone books growth ↓ But nobody's actually saving money McKinsey projects total AI spending will hit $5.2 TRILLION by 2030. The biggest wealth transfer in modern history is happening right now, and it's not from workers to companies. It's from companies to AI infrastructure providers. Every dollar "saved" on layoffs is being spent twice over on compute, tokens, and data centers. Nvidia posted $31.9 billion in profit last quarter. And somebody is paying that bill - the same companies telling their employees that AI made them "redundant." The entire narrative is a shell game: CEOs get to announce layoffs, Wall Street rewards them with a stock bump, and then the real cost shows up three months later when the AI budget explodes and nobody connects the two events. What's your take on this?

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Ed Powell
Ed Powell@Ed__Powell·
@TheLaurenChen Facebook has got to be the worst designed, worst user experience of any enterprise platform ever. But Instagram is pretty good, especially targeted ads. But you are fundamentally right: Meta should be sold off for parts.
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The Deplorable One
The Deplorable One@DeplorableFlood·
It's the Grey-Town Abyss lol. I basically welded CS Lewis' Grey-Town spatial mechanics with Nietzsches Abyss as a diagnostic tool. It's... Kinda terrifying. Currently rereading that Milo Yianopoulos hit-piece I wrote after he blocked my sorry ass for calling him a hypocrite. It basically mirrors what he did to @Lauren_Southern back in 2019 when she left the first time. Call it... Revenge via a "swift kick in the groin".
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The Deplorable One
The Deplorable One@DeplorableFlood·
Dude! I've been subscribed since last year (not a paid member). Ahahaha! My substack consists of frameworks, basically me reinventing the wheel. Hegel, Jung, Nietzche, the outdated political compass (now with a Z Axis), . Y'all should subscribe to me! 🤣🤣🤣 Give ya boi a follow! 👇 @lsfmedia?utm_source=share&utm_medium=android&r=1gc3ai" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">substack.com/@lsfmedia?utm_…
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Ed Powell
Ed Powell@Ed__Powell·
@MartinSellner_ I think they mean, “Europe is for Europeans, we get to define who a European is, and you aren’t one of them. Inshallah.”
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Martin Sellner
Martin Sellner@MartinSellner_·
How can you say 'Europe is for Europeans' and then talk about geopolitics in the next sentence? The biggest threat for most Europeans comes from Afro-Arab immigration that has been boosted and organized by our own elites. Demographic sovereignty before everything.
NXT EU@NXT4EU

Europe is for Europeans. Not for the Americans, not for Putin, and not for the Far-Right/Left which support our adversaries. Europe is for all Europeans that are proud, and want to strengthen it 🇪🇺

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The Deplorable One
The Deplorable One@DeplorableFlood·
I think it's a combination of harassment bots, and people that believe the narrative that was sent out. Who for the most part probably have never been in a romantic relationship, and have probably never touched a woman in their lives. Ed, never underestimate the power of human stupidity and gullibility. And truthfully it was Einstein that said this: "Two things are infinite. The universe and human stupidity, and I'm not so sure about the universe."
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Ed Powell
Ed Powell@Ed__Powell·
@DeplorableFlood @Lauren_Southern @TheOmniLiberal It’s just that so much of X is complete slop-posting. We used to think most comments were bots, but honestly, no LLM could be a stupid as the people in Lauren’s comments. It was just nice to see one sane comment out of a couple of hundred.
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The Deplorable One
The Deplorable One@DeplorableFlood·
Ahaha. You don't need to thank me @Ed__Powell. I am flattered. The individual you should be thanking here is @Lauren_Southern herself. She's suffered and sacrificed a lot publicly. And truthfully. If I'm being honest here. Watching her grow from the firebrand we all saw when she was 19 (I was 20 at the time) and seeing her grow into the woman that she has become today. It kinda makes me proud.
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The Deplorable One
The Deplorable One@DeplorableFlood·
Again. As I've said before on here and I'll say it for the umpteenth time... Again. Until it sticks with everyone reading the comments. (It won't, because everyone is obsessed over @Lauren_Southern hooking up with @TheOmniLiberal. Who the fuck cares? Y'all sound like a bunch of broken records. He was a rebound, get over yourselves you sad, lonely retards. Rebounds are normal especially if you were fresh off of a divorce from an abusive partner. It happens. Nothing to feel ashamed about.) The "Tradlife" observably speaking is nothing more than a LARP and a kink. It is basically bdsm with extra steps RPing around like a couple from a bygone era. (Again as you've said, "much like communism it only works on paper" to paraphrase you, truer words have never been spoken until now.) Most human beings are naturally horny. It doesn't matter if you're on the left or the right. It is how the species survived up to this point. Without our parents being horny and their parents before them and so forth none of us would even exist. Just keep your repressed shadow on a leash or train it to be integrated. It's all you can do.
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mads campbell
mads campbell@martyrdison·
easiest places to find a gf/bf in DC: - longworth cafeteria starbucks line - protest in lafayette square - tune inn at 2am - the e barrett prettyman federal courthouse - making eye contact on the dirksen line electric monorail - arlington national cemetery - pentagon security line - dulles people movers - the burned out rubble of rfk stadium - tatte bakery - any random sit down political dinner at the capitol hilton - desert 5 - rave at vera on saturdays - the basement of capital hill club at 2pm on a weekday
Murray Hill Guy@MurrayHillGuy1

Easiest Cities/Towns to settle and find a Girlfriend 1. Hoboken, NJ 2. Morristown, NJ 3. Patchogue, NY 4. West Hartford, CT 5. Clarendon (VA) 6. Naperville, IL 7. Overland Park, KS 8. Carmel, IN 9. Madison, WI 10. Grand Rapids, MI 11. Harrisburg, PA 12. Delray Beach, FL 13. Walnut Creek, CA 14. Manhattan Beach, CA 15. Greenville, SC

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