Mathew Tolcon

16.1K posts

Mathew Tolcon

Mathew Tolcon

@MTolcon

Sumali Kasım 2022
282 Sinusundan709 Mga Tagasunod
Mathew Tolcon
Mathew Tolcon@MTolcon·
@Peter_Fitz If this analysis was true the ONP vote nationally would be shit. Other than a few inner city seats that have been left turning for decades, the LNP vote has moved to ONP or RIGHT . Not sure how many ways this can be explained. The teal seats are 10% or less of the electorate
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Peter FitzSimons
Peter FitzSimons@Peter_Fitz·
Mate, any Coalition that included One Nation, would see the whole thing fall in on itself. Moderate Libs must be what - 40 to 50 per cent of the overall Lib vote? You'd lose the lot of them. Sydney and Melbourne would Teal-Towns.
Steve Roberts@SteveLRoberts1

@Peter_Fitz You know very well they will not win a general election outright, but they may get enough seats to form a coalition government and push Labor out, what a joyous occasion that would be!

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Quentin Dempster
Quentin Dempster@QuentinDempster·
The ABC is as Australian as Blue Hills (by Gwen Meredith), The Country Hour, Landline and Back Roads. What Barnaby doesn’t like is being asked pertinent questions by ABC reporters. He prefers free kicks on Sky (after dark).
Sky News Australia@SkyNewsAust

Barnaby Joyce has defended the decision to ban the ABC from a One Nation event in Farrer, saying the national broadcaster is an "inner city clique that doesn't represent Australia." skynews.com.au/australia-news…

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PonderousWhisperer
PonderousWhisperer@dmacc_ms·
Why have Labor been "legitimising" The Greens all of these years? Is this not what democracy is all about? The people have a choice who they vote for, and the people get to decide who they preference. One Nation wouldn't be climbing so fast if the Uniparty hadn't begun telling Australian's they are racist, or everyone besides aboriginals are immigrants. Albanese's mask is slipping here, his Commie soul is being revealed.
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Senator Babet
Senator Babet@senatorbabet·
One Nation isn’t right wing. They’re middle of the road. Everyone else has just become far Left radical communists.
Senator Babet tweet media
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Crocodile
Crocodile@Crocodylus121·
One Nation won Farrer because Labor have run the largest and fastest migration intake in Australian history, in the middle of a housing crisis, for 4yrs straight, the Liberals won’t commit to a cap on the migration intake and One Nation will.
Crocodile tweet media
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Katherine Deves Morgan 🇦🇺🚺
“A big & dangerous mistake to legitimise One Nation” Does this halfwit not understand how democracy works? ABC is nothing more than a sheltered workshop for second rate ideological hacks that identify as journalists Defund
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Doug Cameron
Doug Cameron@DougCameron51·
I have witnessed One Nation in “action” in the Senate. Racist, anti union, economically incoherent and environmental vandals. Labor must demonstrate a clear progressive vision for working people on housing, cost of living, health and education. More of the same will not do.
Doug Cameron tweet media
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Pauline Hanson 🇦🇺
Pauline Hanson 🇦🇺@PaulineHansonOz·
One Nation won the seat of Farrer with close to 60% of the two party preferred vote in a democratic election. Last night the ABC, our $1 billion a year taxpayer funded national broadcaster, implied that One Nation was an illegitimate political party. This morning on Insiders the ABC allowed commentators to declare One Nation was “at its core” “a racist and bigoted” party. The “impartial” ABC failed to challenge or even debate the claim. Other supposedly “impartial” media outlets have published similar articles, dismissing and demonising the millions of Australians who have said they would vote for One Nation. These people don’t get it. We live in a democracy. Labor, Liberal, the media, the academics and the lobbyists don’t get to decide who represents Australian people. No one except the people of Australia get to decide who is “legitimate” and worthy of representing them in Parliament. On Saturday, the people of Farrer chose One Nation.
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Craig Kelly:🇦🇺Foundation for Economic Education
DEFUND THE ABC What is a “big and dangerous mistake” is to "legitimise" the far-left propaganda machine known as the ABC with over a billion dollars of taxpayers’ money. The arrogance and stinking hide of these people is astonishing — their lavish lifestyles are funded by the very people they sneer at, and whose views they do not even consider legitimate. Enough is enough. It’s long past time to completely defund the ABC, strip it of its taxpayer teat, and force it onto a voluntary subscription model. If their “journalism” is so brilliant and unbiased, let the public who actually want it pay for it fund it themselves — instead of forcing every Australian to subsidise this partisan far-left echo chamber.
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Mathew Tolcon
Mathew Tolcon@MTolcon·
@Ben_Davison1 I would treat these polls with contempt. They massively underestimated the ONP vote last night!
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Ben Davison
Ben Davison@Ben_Davison1·
Anthony Albanese is preferred PM with a lead of 9%points over Angus “Temu Trump” Taylor & NINETEEN PERCENTAGE POINTS! (19%) over Pauline “Gina’s puppet” Hanson with those leads growing over the last month The more bizarre you cookers & grievance grifters get on here the better
AusPoll@AusPoll6

🚨 NEW: Pauline Hanson has dropped by four points in a preferred prime minister head-to-head matchup with Anthony Albanese, with Angus Taylor's support also down in the latest YouGov poll

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Mike Carlton
Mike Carlton@MikeCarlton01·
Just as an aside, is anyone else totally turned off by those mindless grunts of ‘Aussie Aussie Aussie, oi oi oi ?’
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Jane Caro
Jane Caro@JaneCaro·
Imagine if Libs & Nats had had the courage to preference the Independent instead of No Nation in Farrer. She’d likely have won, but even if she didn’t people who’ve turned away from LNP might have turned to re-examine them. As it is, they’ve turned even more voters against them.
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Mathew Tolcon
Mathew Tolcon@MTolcon·
@AusPoll6 I think post Farrer you have to factor in a silent ONP that wont show up in the polls
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AusPoll
AusPoll@AusPoll6·
Victoria (state) voting intention (men) 🟧 ONP: 29.5% (-1) 🟦 L/NP: 26.5% (+2) 🟥 ALP: 23% (-) 🟩 GRN: 11% (-) ⬜️ IND: 7.5% (+0.5) ⬛️ OTH: 2.5% (-1.5) Two-party-preferred 🟦 L/NP: 55% (-) 🟥 ALP: 45% (-) ALP vs ONP 🟧 ONP: 52% (-3.5) 🟥 ALP: 48% (+3.5) L/NP vs ONP 🟦 L/NP: 56.5% (+4) 🟧 ONP: 43.5% (-4) Roy Morgan | 22-24 Apr | n=~850 [subsample from statewide poll] | +/- 13-16 Feb
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Pauline Hanson 🇦🇺
Pauline Hanson 🇦🇺@PaulineHansonOz·
Thank you to the people of Farrer and Australia. We and David Farley for Farrer won’t let you down.
Pauline Hanson 🇦🇺 tweet media
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Kat A 🌸
Kat A 🌸@SaiKate108·
Legacy media should be ashamed of themselves. Running these worn out smears calling Pauline Hanson a racist. It’s well know by now that Imam Tawhidi and around 20 leaders of the Iraqi Muslim community in Sydney literally begged Hanson for help. She was the only one willing to act against dangerous radicals within their community. Hanson is supported by migrants that don’t want Australia to become like the countries they left.
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Avi Yemini
Avi Yemini@OzraeliAvi·
The loony left thought they had this in the bag 😭
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Mathew Tolcon
Mathew Tolcon@MTolcon·
@MarioNawfal The strategy in Iraq was 230,000 troops on the ground for a decade which became a security and peacekeeping force. It has no resemblance to the current strategy in Iran?
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🇺🇸 The "1% Doctrine" was Dick Cheney's post-9/11 framework that shaped a generation of American foreign policy. The idea: if there's even a 1% chance of a catastrophic threat, especially terrorism or weapons of mass destruction, the U.S. should treat it as a near certainty and act aggressively to stop it. It became part of the justification for the Iraq War and most of the preemptive security policies that followed. The doctrine sounds reasonable on paper. In practice, it ended up justifying decades of war, hundreds of thousands of deaths, trillions of dollars in spending, and a Middle East that is arguably less stable than when the policies began. The 1% threshold is impossibly low. Almost any threat clears it. Once you accept that a 1% chance equals a near certainty, every adversary, every weapons program, every regime that hates America can be turned into a justification for action. The reason this matters now is obvious. The same logic is being applied to Iran today. A nuclear Iran is treated as so unacceptable that almost any cost is justified to prevent it, including a war whose damage is already compounding into food crises, energy shocks, and economic strain across multiple continents. There's a difference between taking real threats seriously and using a 1% probability as a license for unlimited action. The first is responsible governance. The second is what got the country into Iraq. Worth remembering which version we're currently living in...
Mario Nawfal tweet media
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