限界漂流

Distilled recap of the back-and-forth with Jensen on export controls: Dwarkesh: Wouldn’t selling Nvidia chips to China enable them to train models like Claude Mythos with cyber offensive capabilities that would be threats to American companies and national security? Jensen: First of all, Mythos was trained on fairly mundane capacity and a fairly mundane amount of it by an extraordinary company. The amount of capacity and the type of compute it was trained on is abundantly available in China. Dwarkesh: With that, could they eventually train a model like Mythos? Yes. But the question is, because we have more FLOPs, American labs are able to get to this level of capabilities first. Furthermore, even if they trained a model like this, the ability to deploy it at scale matters. If you had a cyber hacker, it's much more dangerous if they have a million of them versus a thousand of them. Jensen: Your premise is just wrong. The fact of the matter is their AI development is going just fine. The best AI researchers in the world, because they are limited in compute, also come up with extremely smart algorithms. DeepSeek is not an inconsequential advance. The day that DeepSeek comes out on Huawei first, that is a horrible outcome for our nation. Dwarkesh: Currently, you can have a model like DeepSeek that can run on any accelerator if it's open source. Why would that stop being the case in the future? Jensen: Suppose it optimizes for Huawei. Suppose it optimizes for their architecture. It would put others at a disadvantage. As AI diffuses out into the rest of the world, their standards and their tech stack will become superior to ours because their models are open. Dwarkesh: Tesla sold extremely good electric vehicles to China for a long time. iPhones are sold in China. They didn't cause some lock-in. China will still make their version of EVs, and they're dominating, or smartphones, they're dominating. Jensen: We are not a car. The fact that I can buy this car brand one day and use another car brand another day is easy. Computing is not like that. There's a reason why x86 still exists. There's a reason why Arm is so sticky. These ecosystems are hard to replace. Dwarkesh: It's just hard to imagine that there's a long-term lock-in to the Chinese ecosystem, even if they have this slightly better open-source model for a while. American labs port across accelerators constantly. Anthropic's models are run on GPUs, they're run on Trainium, they're run on TPUs. There are so many things you can do, from distilling to a model that's well fit for your chips. Jensen: China is the largest contributor to open source software in the world. China's the largest contributor to open models in the world. Today it's built on the American tech stack, Nvidia’s. Fact. All five layers of the tech stack for AI are important. The United States ought to go win all five of them. in a few years time, I'm making you the prediction that when we want American technology to be diffused around the world—out to India, out to the Middle East, out to Africa, out to Southeast Asia—on that day, I will tell you exactly about today's conversation, about how your policy ... caused the United States to concede the second largest market in the world for no good reason at all.

✨🇨🇳BYD’s newly launched Fangchengbao model lineup.

Das japanische Kaiserreich hat von 1937 bis 1945 in Asien schätzungsweise 20 bis 30 Millionen Zivilisten und Kriegsgefangene getötet. Das sind mehr als doppelt so viele Menschen wie im Holocaust. Doch während die NS-Verbrechen weltweit geächtet sind, werden die japanischen Massenverbrechen bis heute kaum im Westen thematisiert – weder juristisch noch gesellschaftlich.

何なら姪の彬子女王が昨年するっと宮家を継ぎましたね。もちろん後継は今のところいらっしゃいませんが、養子先の候補になる可能性はあります。 このような関係者がいま必死に養子案を成立させようとしています。

4/23 石油連盟専務理事『早いタイミングで需要抑制策の検討を』政府に迅速な対応求める 4/24 石油連盟『直ちに抑制する必要はないと考えています』 経産省が公式アカウントで、 石油連盟の需要抑制発言の火消し文をわざわざ拡散している。 これ、かなり異様やな。

【国家情報会議 設置法案】 本日、衆院本会議で可決。 中道改革連合は無条件ではなく、付帯決議を付した上で賛成しました。 この法案には明確な懸念があります。 ・プライバシー侵害 ・政治的悪用 これは断じて許されません。 一方で 外国勢力による工作やサイバー攻撃、偽情報など、 現実の脅威から目を背けることもできない。 だからこそ、 ・プライバシー保護 ・政治的中立性の確保 ・不適切なタスキングの禁止 などを付帯決議に明記し、歯止めをかけました。 本来求めていた条文修正は受け入れられませんでした。 そのため、問題点は国会質疑で一つひとつ確認し、 答弁として議事録に残しています。 それでも不安が残ることは承知しています。 施行後の運用を厳しく監視し、問題があれば即座に追及します。 白紙委任ではありません。 私たちは一貫して、 国民の自由と人権を守る立場から臨みます。 (事務所スタッフ)

今朝は靖國神社春季例大祭に参列 平和の社としての靖國神社を 国内外に広くご理解いただくために 私も力を尽くしたいと思います。