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Overbay Cap 🃏
478 posts

Overbay Cap 🃏
@OverbayCap
Not Financial Advice | Options & Futures @TheOptionCartel | All My Links👇
Sumali Ekim 2022
74 Sinusundan989 Mga Tagasunod

March was, without a doubt, the most difficult month I’ve had trading in the last 6 months.
Coming into the year, I had strong cushion/momentum.
January through February, the portfolio was up +163%, and everything felt in sync.
Setups were working, follow-through was there, and my system was operating exactly how it’s supposed to.
Then March hit, and the market shifted into a completely different phase. We’ve been stuck in a multi-month distribution range, constant chop, failed moves, and on top of that, rising geopolitical uncertainty added another layer of instability.
This wasn’t a market that I believed rewarded aggression, and if you didn’t adapt quickly, you paid for it.
--
My numbers reflect that shift:
A total of 10 trades taken...
- 1 win
- 2 breakeven
- 7 losses
Closing the month at -4.44%.
Trades:
$XOM 150c 20 Mar @ 3.65 -> 10.60 +191%
$INTC 48c 20 Mar @ 1.45 -> 1/2(b/e)
$RKLB 75c 20 Mar @ 3.20 (b/e)
$PLTR 160c 17 Apr @ 5.80 -> 5.50 -5%
$COIN 230c 17 Apr @ 6.20 -> 5.80 -6%
$RKLB 75c 20 Mar @ 2.80 -> 2.40 -14%
$NVDA 170p Apr 17 @ 4.30 -> 3.70 -14%
$CRCL 120c Apr 17 @ 5.80 -> 5.00 -20%
$HIMS 25c Apr 17 @ 1.95 -> 1.46 -25%
$DELL 145c 20 Mar @ 3.40 -> 2.50 -26%
On paper, that doesn’t look great, but context matters more than anything. This was a small paper cut… not a wound, and that’s the entire point.
The biggest lesson I’ve taken from this month (and the one I want to hammer home) is that keeping losses small is everything.
I didn’t fight the tape, I didn’t size up when conditions didn’t call for it, and I didn’t let one loss spiral into something bigger.
Every trade had defined risk, and every loss was accepted quickly.
That’s the only reason I was able to protect the majority of my gains from earlier in the year. There are a lot of variables I consider when determining risk (structure, volatility, environment), but it all ties back to one thing:
My equity curve.
1) Do I have a cushion?
2) Should I be pressing or preserving?
That awareness dictates everything.
After February, I knew things were changing, and I made the adjustment early. I’ve been very transparent over the past few weeks about sitting out more, waiting longer, and focusing on survival over more activity.
That wasn’t me yapping for the fun of posting... it was intentional, and it was exactly what I was doing!!
I know that...
Some months are for making money,
Some months are for protecting it,
...and some months are for learning.
March was all three.
And if I’m being honest, I’m extremely proud of how I handled it. Not because of the result, but because of the discipline I had.
I didn’t compare myself to others who were catching moves while I sat on my hands. I stayed in my lane, stuck to my process, and focused on what I can control.
Because at the end of the day, I know what comes next.
Whether the next leg is higher or lower…
I’m prepared.
So if there’s anything I want you to take away from this month, it’s this:
1) don’t let anyone rush your process
2) don’t force trades in an environment that doesn’t support your edge, and most importantly...
3) TAKE SMALL LOSSES.
This was my first red month of the year, but in reality, it was just a small paper cut.
And I’ll take that outcome every single time.
I hope you learn from my mistakes!
- iain 🩵

English

Super slow week but ending it here on a good note
Trading is not linear and every day/week/month will not be the same
You just have to show up every day and focus on that task at hand which is making money and getting out
Too many people try to stay on charts and trade all day
The best traders get in, make their money, and get out

English

Very slow week
Had a good read on price this morning but decided to stay sidelined
Trade would have worked before eventually getting stopped breakeven
Not ideal conditions for me and my system right now
Protect capital and live to fight another day
The longer you can do this
The "Luckier" you get
English

A lot of the times the ones who make it aren't more talented than you.. they are more obsessed than you
They love what they do
It's all they think about
Constantly working on how to get 1% better
Most think they are working hard but aren't putting in a fraction the effort and work others are
They dream about what they think success is or a certain lifestyle more than they actually work
Real success comes from real passion that makes you obsessed with your craft
You fall in love with the work before you ever make it
English

I just earned a payout from @Topstep! Discipline pays off. 💪
The last two months while this market has been beyond difficult to trade I’ve been trying my best to take futures serious. As someone who is generally pretty bad at day trading I was a little slow to catch on but thanks to @OverbayCap @artisanwill12 and the futures chat over at @TheOptionCartel I’m starting to get the hang of it.
This is my second payout in the last 2 weeks. I’m taking small gains where I can get them as I try to develop a system that works for me.

English

After graduating high school but before going to college I worked in a fiberglass plant all summer
For a 18 year old kid out of HS I felt like I was making insane money
But
It was hard work. It was 60 hours a week. It was night shift.
It taught me the values of hard work and the cost of a dollar
Through trading I can now make that months pay in a day
Never give up
English

I'm not a believer in having a plan B
If you are 100% passionate about something
Go all in
Give 110% to whatever it is
Work as hard as you can
It's not going to be easy but it will be rewarding
If it doesn't work out it doesn't work out
BUT
If you show up 110% every day you will make it
You will find a way
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