Tom (trad opinion, data and forecasting)

@Frankie_1643 Sadly, Reform are now part of the Uniparty.

To all you Restorers, just stop and think for a minute. It will take at least 5 years to build a credible political party from scratch that can challenge Labour. Reform is in that position now and able to remove the Uniparty. Get them out first, then the gloves can come off 😉

Rupert, I am with you on every aspect of this, apart from one part that needs clarity. Are you saying that, if a legal migrant speaks English, has a job, is integrated in society, but lives in social housing, they would have to leave? It doesn't sit right with me, if so. And is not in the benefit of the country

There continues to be an immense amount of fake news circulating around Restore Britain’s principles of immigration. Here is our position. Read it, and let me know if you agree… Step one. Remove the illegal migrant population. Two million? Three million? Even more? Doesn’t matter. They will all be detained, and they will all be deported. We will of course start with the third world invaders and foreign criminals - this is a day one priority. A Restore Britain Government would launch the largest deportation scheme in British history - we have the plan, we’ve already published the most comprehensive deportation scheme ever released. 100+ pages of it. We know how to do it. Now we are seeking the power to implement it. The illegals are the priority. Foreign criminals go too, but that doesn’t even need discussing anymore. They’re out the door on the first flight home. What happens to them in their own country is not our problem. Step two. Legal migrants who can’t speak English, refuse to work, claim benefits, live in social housing, hate our way of life or even actively want to do us harm? They go too - hopefully voluntarily. If not, they will be removed. Dual nationals who want to kill us? Strip them off their British citizenship and send them back. Foreign Islamists, gone. Dual national Islamists, gone. If foreigners want to live in an Islamic country, we will make that a reality for them. This would all be twinned with drastic reductions of the number of people settling in the country, and I mean drastic. It will be in the thousands, not the hundreds of thousands. Who can come? Ultra high-skilled migrants to fill gaps, and spouses of British men and women. We would ease that process, allowing Brits to bring their husband/wives into our country without the endless bureaucracy, red tape and cost - allowing them to build a family. That is positive immigration. We will encourage it. All done alongside our Red List. If a country is proven to supply us with sex pests, rapists, criminals and illegals? We will shut off entire visa routes. We will discriminate based on the evidence. Afghanistan would be top of that list. Those Afghans who came following the data breach would be removed and relocated. All of them. The asylum system would be abolished in its entirety. ILR would be scrapped. Benefits for foreign nationals would be cancelled. Social housing currently filled with foreigners would be freed for British families. The whole immigration scam would finally end. When a visa ends, that individual will be expected to leave Britain - that principle will be enforced for the first time in decades. And here’s a mad idea. Our aim would be to train the millions of healthy Brits on benefits to do these jobs. This is just so painfully obvious. If they don’t like it, they lose their universal credit. Simple. None of this is complicated. It just takes balls. The number of people living in Britain would radically reduce - millions would go during the first five years of a Restore Britain Government. Millions. Our immigration system would put one group of people at the top of the agenda. The British people. If you want all of this - vote for it. Join Restore Britain, support Restore Britain. Put us in power, and we will get it done. I promise you that.

Data from the US tells a story of White Women. Men, from any race, are more likely for their marriage to fail, if they marry outside of their race to a white woman. You may expect the same for white men? Not quite. The same data set found White Men remained married for longer if they married outside of their race. White Man/Black Women marriages have a 44% redcued risk of divorce compared to the white-white baseline. More on that data, and why i think it is happening, in the link below.

@lmharpin We are a Christian country. So yes, it is an act of cultural dominance. And that's what we need

Hi Nick Timothy. An act of domination ?

Calling this now, Your Party will be absorbed into the Green Party within the next 12 months. The combination of Corbyn x Green may just mean they hold a share between 15-25%.

@LDNRom @AaronBastani @StopTheHate_UK @nicolelampert If I wanted to say it I would. I don't think it is civil so I wouldn't. But I also don't think we should have a two tiered lexicon dependent on race. I agree with Aaron that it is ridiculous to say you can't call a Jew a parasite but a Jew could say to you

@Pulse650 @AaronBastani @StopTheHate_UK @nicolelampert Which is obviously nonsense. The nazis used all kinds of words in this way, they had a long list of things they thought were wrong with jewish people. You just want to be able use the n word. Why?

We are appalled that the leader of the Green party described @nicolelampert, a Jewish journalist, as 'parasitic'. There is no excuse for this. We hope other journalists and MPs from all parties will condemn this hate speech.

@LDNRom @AaronBastani @StopTheHate_UK @nicolelampert That is not my argument. My argument is, should there be a list of words that one subset of society can use that others can't. Aaron is suggesting they shouldn't be the case. Which means he either would ban the n word completely or permit white people to use it

@Pulse650 @AaronBastani @StopTheHate_UK @nicolelampert I haven't made your argument, but i guess I have partially rubbished my own argument, though. One is a word commonly used for people for their actions, the other is used only because of someone's characteristic. Your argument is that there isn't a difference between them.

@LDNRom @AaronBastani @StopTheHate_UK @nicolelampert Calling someone a parasite doesn't dehumanise them? It's literally the reason you'd call someone a parasite. Liken them to a creature that lives off another that is not human. You literally just made my argument!

@Pulse650 @AaronBastani @StopTheHate_UK @nicolelampert That's a slur. There is no reason to call someone it other than to degrade and dehumanise them. Just like there is never a good reason to use anti jewish slurs. The word in question here is not a slur, but a trope. It's not the same thing.

@BassistDas @JSP07812 @AaronBastani @StopTheHate_UK @nicolelampert They agree with me that it is so silly that there is a word that is repeatedly used in music that the audience, if they sung, would be deemed racist

@Pulse650 @JSP07812 @AaronBastani @StopTheHate_UK @nicolelampert Right and do you think they would make the same parallel you do?

@BassistDas @JSP07812 @AaronBastani @StopTheHate_UK @nicolelampert Yes, many times. I don't like the word and I dont think anyone should use it

@Pulse650 @JSP07812 @AaronBastani @StopTheHate_UK @nicolelampert Have you ever spoken to a black person

@UKPropertyTruth Are you just doing London

What should we post next?

Since we posted this, many of you asked: "Is it just this one flat?" We pulled every resale in Battersea & Nine Elms from HM Land Registry data. 1,034 properties resold since 2025. 863 sold at a profit. 171 sold at a loss. That's a 16.5% loss rate — vs 12.9% across London. Almost all losses? Leasehold flats bought 2014-2018 at peak new-build prices. But the area is still net positive. Most owners did fine. The issue isn't Battersea — it's buying new-build at the top.

How so? They were both used as terms as part of a theory that one type of person was inferior to another and therefore deserved fewer rights. That's the logical conclusion, that no words could be select for use by a specific race or type of people. And I agree with Aaron here. But as normal, he only wants it one way

@Pulse650 @AaronBastani @StopTheHate_UK @nicolelampert That's not "follow this to its logical conclusion". The 2 things are completely different.

The irony of those criticising Matt Goodwin's book is that it has been great publicity for him to sell the book. On Amazon, the book is up over a 1000% this week. The next biggest mover is up 400%.

Aaron, if we follow this to its logical conclusion, a white person should be able to say n*gger because black people do? I agree with you, that there should be no lists of words anyone can use, that others can't. But I don't think you truly believe that. I think you likely think that black people have taken back a word from slavery and only they can use it. So the arguement that because it was used by Nazis so don't say it holds in line with this. As I say, I think both are silly arguments.

@StopTheHate_UK @nicolelampert What other words can Jewish people use against me that I’m not allowed to use against them. A list would be helpful.

@MajorGowen_ There's many things to criticise Starmer for, but for having a game of football with his pals, isn't one

Keir Starmer playing football has all the mobility of Norman Wisdom on Ketamine.

I see a lot of people on my side of politics with Israel flags in their bios lately. Can I ask why? A lot on the right seems to have this special fondness for Israel. Not about Jews, I'm not into race-based stuff. But look, CIA agents on Diary of a CEO and elsewhere have floated that Epstein was basically a Mossad asset running a kid-trafficking blackmail op for kompromat on the powerful. If there's really something to that, it makes zero sense to treat the country like some shining beacon. Worthy of flags in bio. But I don't really think people have a great deep love for Israel. I think what's really driving a chunk of it is what I'd call 'retribution politics.' The left obsesses over Israel and is married to Islamists who hate Jews, so the right flips their own 'racist!' weapon back at them. It's satisfying to expose the hypocrisy. But retribution feels weak. It doesn't build anything lasting. Better to spend that energy spelling out your actual vision for the future is, what we're for, not just what we're against.

I don't care where it comes from as long as it's cheap & doesn't destroy the countryside. It's currently not cheap. It's rising! We need abundant cheap energy to boost GDP as people will A) have savings that they spend elsewhere. B) stop the offshoring that has been driven by high energy prices. Is any of this going to make energy cheaper, Aaron?

Britain is presently generating 71% of electricity from renewables and is exporting some to boot. Nuclear plus renewables is presently 85% of all electricity being generated. Good things are possible. Ignore the boomer Murdoch press.

@GoodwinMJ We know what's happening Matt. Why is it happening, is a better question. Do you think you being a secular liberal has anything to do with it

Suicide of a Nation is now the 2nd bestseller on Amazon - a new peak. I wanted to tell people the TRUTH about what is happening to the country we all love and I am delighted so many are now reading the truth, from one city, one town, one village to the next

I like a lot of your stuff, Tom.. But this is one that makes zero sense. When you buy stocks, you avoid stocks that are a bubble. You assess the PE ratio, you look at the quant metrics on sites. The London bubble was always going to pop. Let's buy a flat for 1m in a city with rampant crime, white flight, and an increasing 3rd world immigration base. I don't think I'm going to lose much money on my 5 bed detached house that I bought for 290k in a village in the Midlands. Paying 1k a month in a mortgage. The house was new build so needs no work. That is 420 cheaper than the average rent in the UK. And my mortgage Vs average rent for a 5 bed detached (2400 per month rent), is 1400 cheaper. Oh and, this mortgage is pretty stable, I got it at 5% rates, so if anything, the monthly payments will get cheaper or stay static for the rest of my life. Meanwhile, rent will continue to increase in line with inflation. And, I won't be paying rent or a mortgage in 30 years. And will likely have a property worth 500-1m in 2055. On top of the 1 grand a month in the stock market, thanks to my saving from NOT renting a UK average 5 bed detached house. To be clear, don't buy the London bedsit bubble. Buy a family home in an affordable place. Live a nice life, and invest in stocks at the same time

The rent and buy the SP500 argument continues