niveshak@Sandeepnirvan
๐๐ณ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ฌ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ ๐ถ๐ป ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ฒ๐๐, ๐ ๐ฅ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐น๐ถ๐๐ฒ๐ฑโฆ ๐ ๐ผ๐๐ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐๐ ๐๐ผ๐ฒ๐๐ปโ๐ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐๐ฒ๐ฟ
Surprisingly, Today I completed my 21st year in the market.
Seen many days where markets moved 5%+ in a blink โ like during the Global Financial Crisis, when panic became the norm.
Seen multiple 10%+ corrections, whether it was the taper tantrum in 2013 or sudden global shocks.
Seen brutal 20%+ bear phases โ
like the crash during the COVID-19 market crash, where fear peaked and liquidity vanished.
Seen two full, long, and disastrous crashes:
๐ 2008 Global Meltdown
๐ 2020 Pandemic Crash
Also witnessed:
โ๏ธ Sharp 10% rallies that came out of nowhere
โ๏ธ Massive 20%+ bull runs fueled by liquidity
โ๏ธ Two clear, long bull markets โ
post-2009 recovery and post-2020 stimulus rally
But hereโs the real truth ๐
๐นEvery bear phase felt like the end of markets
๐นEvery bull phase felt like easy money forever
๐ In 2008, people believed equity was dead
๐ In 2020, people thought the world itself might stop
๐ In 2021โ24, people believed stocks only go up
And yetโฆ
Markets didnโt follow emotions.
They followed liquidity, earnings, and time.
On top of that, all these crashes, bull phases, and rallies in the indices seem meaningless.
๐ช๐ต๐ ๐ฎ๐บ ๐ ๐๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐๐ผ?
Because retail investors rarely benefit from these moves in the market.
Such investors are always lagging behind due to:
๐ธ Lack of understanding
๐ธ Emotional biases towards the market
๐ธ Excess noise, which keeps them out
๐ธ FOMO, which compels them to buy at higher levels
๐ธ Loss aversion, which stops them from selling losing bets
Markets change cycles โ they go up, go down, and sometimes remain in consolidation.
I believe nothing matters more than the behaviour of investors.
I have seen many investors with strong conviction in their stocks or ETF portfolios.
They make good money even in sideways or flat markets.
There are also instances where investors make no money โ or even lose โ during bull phases too.
๐๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ฎ๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต ๐ฅ๐ฐ๐ฆ๐ด๐ฏโ๐ต ๐ฎ๐ข๐ฌ๐ฆ ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ฆ๐บ.
๐๐ฏ๐ท๐ฆ๐ด๐ต๐ฐ๐ณ ๐ฃ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ข๐ท๐ช๐ฐ๐ถ๐ณ ๐ฅ๐ฐ๐ฆ๐ด.
๐กIn the end, itโs not about timing the market โ itโs about understanding it, and survive with discipline.
๐ฝ๐๐๐๐ช๐จ๐ ๐ข๐๐ง๐ ๐๐ฉ๐จ ๐๐ค๐ฃโ๐ฉ ๐ ๐ฃ๐ค๐ฌ ๐ฎ๐ค๐ช๐ง ๐๐๐๐ง๐๐๐จ, ๐ฉ๐๐๐ฎ ๐ง๐๐ฌ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐๐๐๐ซ๐๐ค๐ช๐ง ๐๐ฃ๐ ๐ฅ๐๐ฉ๐๐๐ฃ๐๐.