TerryLocksmith

⚾ MLB MAX POTD: Atlanta Braves ML (50u) ATL Braves -1.5 (10u) MLB Preview: Reynaldo Lopez is set to start with a 1-0 record, a 1.15 ERA, and an impressive 0.96 WHIP over 15.2 innings this season. He will face a Miami Marlins offense that has been strong this season, ranking 8th in runs scored, sixth in batting average (.259), and fifth in OPS (.736). The Braves have won all three of Lopez’s starts by two runs this season, with a 30-6 run total. The ATL Braves pitching staff has the second-best batting average against (.210), second in WHIP (1.07), and the best ERA (2.86). The Braves’ bullpen ranks fourth in ERA (2.83) and seventh in batting average against (.221). The Miami Marlins’ pitching staff is also solid, ranking 10th in WHIP (1.24) and 3rd in batting average against (.213). Miami’s bullpen has the best batting average against (.158) and the third-best ERA (2.56). Max Meyer will start for the Marlins, holding a 1-0 record, a 3.68 ERA, and a 1.36 WHIP over 14.2 innings pitched this season. Meyer had a 5.38 ERA on the road and a .260 OBA in 2023. He played on the road this season against the Yankees, lasting 4.2 innings with a 4.38 ERA, allowing 2 earned runs and three walks. The Braves rank third in OPS (.785), second in batting average (.274), and third in runs scored overall. The last time he faced the Braves was last season, when he went six innings with a 4.50 ERA and a .308 OBA, with eight strikeouts in a 0-10 Marlins loss. The Marlins are 2-1 this season in his starts. Overall, Miami is 4-6 SU in Max Meyer’s last ten starts. The Marlins’ road struggles are likely to show today. Their pitching staff ranks 12th in ERA (3.87), but on the road, it dips significantly, 28th in ERA (5.74) and 29th in WHIP (1.69) over seven road games. Last season, the Marlins ranked 27th in ERA (4.97) on the road. While Miami is tied for first in run differential at home (+20), their road run differential is tied for the third-worst (-18). The Braves have the best run differential this season (+40) and the third-best at home (+18). The Marlins won yesterday but still been 22.2% in their last nine road games. The Braves are 7-4 SU at home. In their last ten head-to-head matchups, the Marlins have been outscored 3.90 runs to 6.20 runs by the Braves. The Braves are 7-4 SU versus Miami and should bounce back here. ATL Braves ML Best Line: BetMGM (-160) All Marlins’ losses have been by two runs this season. Braves covers the spread ATL Braves -1.5 (+140) (10u)

NBA MAX POTD🔥🔓: Miami Heat ML(5u) NBA Preview: Charlotte Hornets are favored by -6 in the Play-In Tournament against the Miami Heat. Whoever wins tonight will play the loser of the Philadelphia 76ers-Orlando Magic for the No. 8 seed and a first-round playoff series against the No. 1 seed Detroit Pistons. Hornets have the home-court advantage and have been one of the hottest teams post-All-Star, ranking eighth in win percentage after the break. However, the value is with the Miami Heat, who are more than capable of an upset. The Miami Heat are Play-In Tournament warriors, having been in the spot before with three straight playoff appearances as the No. 8 seed. Miami holds the NBA record for most Play-In Tournament wins with a 4-2 record. They even made it to the NBA Finals in 2023 as the No. 8 seed. The Hornets are coming into this matchup with limited playoff experience. The last time the Charlotte Hornets made the playoffs was in the 2015-2016 season. Coincidentally, they lost in the first round to the Miami Heat (3-4). In fact, the Miami Heat was the team to end the Hornets’ six-game winning streak. On 3/6, Miami Heat was a +8 underdog against the Hornets and pulled off the upset with a 128-120 win, ending their streak. That came after Hornets beat the Celtics 118-89 on 3/4. The Heat finished the regular season with a 3-1 record against the Hornets, scoring at least 126 points in all three victories. The one game Hornets won on 3/17 by 20 points, Bam Adebayo didn't even play. Hornets haven't shown they can slow Bam down, as he’s averaging 25.0 points and 9.0 rebounds per game, shooting 47.6% from the field and 54.4% on true shooting percentage in his two matchups with the Hornets this season. Furthermore, the Heat has the more experienced coach in Erik Spoelstra. The Hornets are 1-5 SU at home versus the Miami Heat. Miami Heat have had this team’s number with a 10-2 SU record against the Charlotte Hornets. 74% of the money is on the Charlotte ML, but the play here is with the Heat. Miami Heat win outright as underdogs. Best Line: theScoreBet(+220)

⚾ MLB MAX POTD: Boston Red Sox ML(10u) Cleveland Guardians ML(30u) Atlanta Braves ML(30u) MLB Preview: Garrett Crochet has a 2-1 record, a 3.12 ERA, and a 1.04 WHIP, with 22 strikeouts. The Minnesota Twins will start Bailey Ober, who has a 1-0 record, a 5.27 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and seven strikeouts. In their last ten games, the Red Sox pitching staff has a 3.38 ERA and a .245 batting average with a 5-5 record. The Twins have a 7-3 record, a .229 batting average, and a pitching staff with a 4.10 ERA. The case for the Red Sox is that they are 2-6 SU on the road, while the Twins are 5-2 at home. However, when Garret starts on the mound on the road, the Red Sox are 8-2 SU in their last ten games away from home. The Red Sox win here with their significant edge on the mound. Best Line: BetMGM(-160) The Marlins are 0-2 SU versus the Braves when Eury Perez pitches. He has a 1-1 record, a 5.06 ERA, a 1.38 WHIP, and 18 strikeouts this season. The Braves will start Grant Holmes, who has been better with a 1-1 record, a 2.55 ERA, a 1.07 WHIP, and 14 strikeouts. In their last ten games, the Atlanta Braves have performed better both offensively and on the mound. The Braves are 6-4, with a .281 batting average and a 2.76 ERA. However, the Marlins in their last ten games are 3-7, with a .224 batting average and a poor 4.60 ERA. The Marlins are 1-7 SU on the road, while the Braves are 7-3 SU at home. The Atlanta Braves have won this head-to-head matchup with a 7-3 SU record versus the Miami Marlins. Braves win. Best Line: BetMGM(-145) Worst odds: BetRivers(-165) The Guardians are 2-1 SU with Gavin Williams on the mound this season. Gavin Williams ties for 8th in strikeouts (25) and is 20th in ERA (2.04). The St. Louis Cardinals are 3-0 SU in Matthew Liberatore's starts this season, with a 0-0 record, a 3.38 ERA (tied for 49th), and a 1.50 WHIP (72nd), finishing tied for 141st in strikeouts with 10. Both offenses this season have started with low batting averages. Cleveland Guardians at .222 and St. Louis Cardinals at .223. However, the Guardians' pitching has been better, with a .230 OBA, ranking 11th in the league, while the Cardinals are 29th worst with a .266 batting average against. Furthermore, the Cardinals' offense hasn't improved like the Guardians', and their pitching staff remains poor. The Cardinals are 5-5 in their last 10 games, batting just .209 with a 5.10 ERA. The Guardians hold a 6-4 record, with a .243 batting average and a 3.78 ERA. The Guardians are 0-5 SU versus the St. Louis Cardinals, but the value here is with the Guardians. The Guardians are the better team right now in terms of offense and pitching. They are 11-5 SU as favorites and 6-0 SU after a loss this season. The Guardians will bounce back from their ugly 13-1 loss to the Braves with a win here. Best Line: BetMGM(-115)

⚾ MLB MAX POTD: New York Yankees ML(50u) New York Yankees -1.5(10u) MLB Preview: The New York Yankees have lost three straight games after starting the season 8-2, but their offense has been the reason why. In their last three games, the Yankees have a very poor .112 batting average, .223 OBP, and .169 SLG, recording only 6 runs on 89 at-bats. This season, the offense hasn't been good, ranking 28th in batting average (.201) and 23rd in OPS (.643). The Tampa Bay Rays are seventh in OPS (.712) and fifth in batting average (.251). However, despite their strong offense, they are still 20th in win percentage because of their poor pitching. The Tampa Bay Rays' pitching staff are ranked 28th in ERA (4.80) and 22nd in hits allowed. Their bullpen is also very poor, ranking 29th in ERA (6.33). Despite the Yankees' losing streak, they still have the third-best win rate this season (61.5%) thanks to their elite pitching, which ranks second in ERA (2.50) and third in WHIP (1.08). The Yankees' bullpen has a 2.66 ERA, ranking fourth best in the league. They will also start their ace, Max Fried, who is 2-0 this season. Max Fried has a record of 2 wins and 0 losses with a 1.35 ERA over 3 starts and 20.0 innings pitched. He has allowed 10 hits, 3 earned runs, no home runs, 5 walks, and 14 strikeouts, with a WHIP of 0.75 and opponents' batting average of .147. The Yankees have beaten teams by two runs in six of Fried's seven away starts. The Yankees are 5-2 ATS on the road and 23-9 SU on the road. The Yankees have also performed well against the Rays, with a 6-1 SU record in their seven head-to-head matchups, winning by two runs in five of those wins. When Fried starts against the Rays, the Yankees are 3-0 SU and have won by two runs in all three wins. The Yankees have won by two runs in all eight of their wins this season and are likely to win outright. Yankees ML Best Line: Bet365(-170) Yankees -1.5 Best Line: theScoreBet(+105)

⚾️MLB MAX POTD: Kansas City Royals ML(40u) MLB Preview: Davis Martin begins the season with a record of 2-0, an earned run average (ERA) of 2.45, and 12 strikeouts, accompanied by a 1.18 WHIP over 11 innings pitched. His performance last season at home was better with a 3.63 ERA in 2025, compared to a 4.52 ERA on the road. His 2026 season opener was an away game, where he allowed three runs in five innings, resulting in a 5.40 ERA against the Miami Marlins. His most recent start was at home, where he pitched six shutout innings to secure his second victory against the Blue Jays. In 2023, he posted a 4.83 ERA, followed by a 4.32 ERA in 2024, and a 4.10 ERA in 2025. Despite his 2.45 ERA so far this season, his expected ERA (xERA) stands at 4.81, with a low whiff rate of 19.7%. Davis Martin has a record of 1-2 with an ERA of 2.67, along with 23 strikeouts in five appearances against the Kansas City Royals. On April 17, 2026, he pitched six scoreless innings, although the White Sox lost the game 2-6. Historically, the White Sox have a 1-4 record when Davis Martin pitches against the Royals. Kris Bubic aims to rebound following a challenging outing on April 5, in which he allowed four earned runs over five innings. Bubic’s record stands at 1-1, with an ERA of 4.09 and 12 strikeouts. His expected batting average (xBA) is .185, complemented by an elite whiff rate of 38.0% (91st percentile) and a strikeout rate of 27.3% for the 2026 season. In 2024, he posted a 2.67 ERA primarily as a reliever, and in 2025, he finished with a 2.55 ERA as a starter. Bubic’s career record against the White Sox is 1-4, with an ERA of 2.30 and 45 strikeouts in 11 appearances. His most recent start against Chicago was on May 8, 2025, when he pitched seven scoreless innings, striking out seven and walking one, contributing to a 10-0 victory for the Kansas City Royals. The Kansas City Royals are favored to win this matchup. The White Sox have an record of 8-18 as underdog. This season the White Sox are 5-8 but most of those losses where on the road with 2-5 SU road record. On the road, the White Sox, have a poor batting average of .189 and the third-highest number of runs allowed on the road. The Royals have a home record of 3-3. The White Sox have struggled against Kansas City, with a 4-16 record in their last 20 encounters. The Royals have dominated at home, with a 14-1 record in their last 15 games against the White Sox at Kauffman Stadium. Best Line: theScoreBet (-175)

⚾️MLB MAX POTD: New York Mets ML(35u) MLB Preview: In 16 road starts last season, Eduardo Rodriguez went 6-7 with a 4.94 ERA and a 1.55 WHIP. This season, Rodriguez has been impressive in his two starts, posting a 0.00 ERA, 8 strikeouts, 3 walks, and a 0.92 WHIP over 12 innings pitched against the Dodgers and Braves. The Mets have historically performed well against Rodriguez. In his only start against them last season, he allowed 8 earned runs, 3 home runs, and a .429 OBA in 4 innings. In 104 at-bats against him (without Juan Soto), the Mets hold a .250/.304/404 slash line. In his career against the Mets, Rodriguez is 1-1 with a 6.23 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, and 8.3 K/9 across 4 starts. The Mets are 6th in OPS(.753 ) and 8th in batting average (.248) this season. The Diamondbacks are 21st in batting average (.223), 20th in runs scored, and 22nd in OPS(.651). The Diamondbacks' pitching staff is 22nd in runs allowed. The Diamondbacks' bullpen ranks 17th in WHIP and 26th in ERA(5.77). The New York Mets bullpen is 9th in WHIP(1.16)and 3rd in ERA(1.71). The Mets' pitching staff is 5th in runs allowed. The Mets will start right-hander Nolan McLean in 2026. McLean is 1–0 with a 2.61 ERA, 0.87 WHIP, and 12 strikeouts in 10.1 innings pitched this season. Last season, he went 5-1 with a 2.08 ERA and 1.04 WHIP. The Mets are 3-2 at home this season. At Citi Field last season, McLean posted a 0.37 ERA, went 2-0, and held opponents to a .176 OBA. In his first home start this season, he recorded eight strikeouts, two earned runs, and a .211 OBA against the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Mets are 4-4 against the Diamondbacks in their last eight meetings. Soto is out but the Mets are 4-1 since Soto limped off the field last Friday with a .303 batting average and .771 OPS. The Arizona Diamondbacks are 2-11 as underdogs and 1-7 on the road. The Mets will win here. Best Line: theScoreBet(-175)

⚾ MLB MAX POTD: New York Yankees -1.5(35u) MLB Preview: Luis Severino had an 8-11 record with a 4.54 ERA and 1.30 WHIP over 29 starts in 2025. Severino will make his third start of the 2026 season. He started this season poorly with a 1.80 WHIP, 6.48 ERA, and a 0-1 record. The Athletics have lost both games started by Luis this season, and both were on the road. The Yankees will counter with RHP Will Warren, who had a 9-8 record with a 4.44 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9, and 9.5 K/9 last season. Warren makes his third start of the season with a 1-0 record, a 2.70 ERA, and 1.10 WHIP. In his last appearance, he earned a win, pitching 5 2/3 innings, allowing 2 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 6 K in an 8-2 victory at home vs. the Miami Marlins. Last season at home, Warren posted a 7-4 record, 1.20 WHIP, and 3.50 ERA. The Yankees are 2-0 SU this season in Warren’s two starts. Over his career, Warren went 2-0 with a 0.73 ERA and 0.89 WHIP vs. the Athletics last season. Luis, on the other hand, went 0-2 vs. the Yankees last season with a 15.26 ERA, 16.43 hits per nine, and 2.48 WHIP. In 65 at-bats, the Yankees hit .277/.347/.615 against him, with Aaron Judge batting .600 in 5 at-bats. Both teams' offenses seem similar, as the Yankees rank 19th in batting average (.225), slightly ahead of the Athletics at 20th (.224). However, the Athletics rank 22nd in OPS (.657), 26th in walks, 24th in strikeouts, and 23rd in runs scored (43). The Yankees are 9th in OPS (.718) and 11th in runs scored (52). Yankees’ pitching staff ranks second in ERA (2.42), third in WHIP (1.02), and has a .199 opponent batting average. Their bullpen is 11th in WHIP (1.21) and 7th in ERA (2.83). Oakland’s pitching staff ranks worst in the majors for WHIP (1.76), 28th in ERA (5.52), and has a .273 opponent average, also ranking 28th. Their bullpen batting average is worse, allowing a .293 OBA (29th), with a WHIP of 1.83 (30th) and ERA of 5.48 (22nd). This high WHIP isn't ideal against a Yankees offense ranked sixth in walks and fifth in strikeouts (95). Even with a lead, the A’s bullpen can blow it, as seen in Game 1. The A's had a 3-1 lead in the eighth after Aaron Civale pitched 5 innings, allowing 1 ER, 2 H, 4 BB, 6 K, 1 HR, but the bullpen collapsed, giving up 4 runs in just 2/3 of the inning. The Yankees' offense should perform better, and their pitching will aim to maintain the lead. The Yankees have beaten the A’s by two runs in five of their last seven matchups. They are 8-2 SU this season, winning all eight games by two runs. The Yankees cover the spread. Best Line: theScoreBet (+110)

⚾️MLB MAX POTD: Baltimore Orioles ML(35u) MLB Preview: Both teams start the season 4-6. Baltimore finally ended its 3-game losing streak by beating the White Sox in Game 1. Chicago’s 3-home-game winning streak came to an end on Monday. The Orioles come into this matchup with a significant advantage on the mound. The Orioles' pitching staff is 20th in ERA (4.33) and 19th in OBA (.244). The White Sox are 29th in pitching ERA (5.76) and 27th in batting average against (.271). The White Sox will start Shane Smith, who has struggled with command and has been giving up many hittable pitches early in the season. The bases are nearly always loaded or multiple runners are on base before he can finish the inning, making it almost impossible to prevent high scores. In 4.2 innings over two starts, Smith has a 19.29 ERA and a very high 3.21 WHIP. He is also allowing opponents to bat .440 against him. The Orioles have the offense to do some damage, as they are 10th in the majors in batting average (.246), 13th in hits, and 5th in BABIP. Trevor Rogers will face a White Sox team that’s 25th in batting average (.209), 26th in OPS (.625), and 26th in hits. Last season, over 109.2 innings pitched, Rogers had a 9-3 record, an impressive 1.81 ERA, and a 0.90 WHIP. This season, in 13 innings, Rogers has a 1.38 ERA (18th), a 1.08 WHIP, and a .200 batting average against. Rogers’ strong performance translates to Orioles wins. When Rogers is on the mound, the Orioles are 8-2 SU in their last ten games. The Orioles also have a 72% win rate in 2025 when Rogers pitches. Lastly, the Orioles have dominated this matchup, winning seven straight head-to-head games against the White Sox. Baltimore is 9-0 SU on the road against Chicago White Sox. Baltimore wins here. Best Line: Caesers(-145) Worst Odds: Flif(-165)