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Bobby
320 posts

Bobby
@ThinknStocks
Thinking out loud on the stocks I own - and want to own
Sumali Aralık 2025
113 Sinusundan46 Mga Tagasunod

@outthered Likely can’t go wrong with either but I’d probably go $META if I had to choose between the two. Prefer to buy $AMZN though in all honesty.
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@WillBiddy_ Like $META a lot but already own $GOOG and $AMZN so I’m unlikely to enter. Not keen on $ADBE tbh but it’s definitely cheap!
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@realroseceline Really like $MSCI too. One I’ve had on the watchlist for a while but have yet to enter into a position.
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I keep coming back to how good this whole “financial tollbooth space” is. Businesses companies like $SPGI, $MCO, $MSCI, and $FICO all embedded in the system and take a small cut every time money moves or decisions get made. Since they are asset light and don’t require much capital, a lot of the revenue turns into cash and it is a great economic model.
$SPGI and $MCO are great because they’re tied to credit markets. If companies want to issue debt or investors want to understand risk, they’re part of that process. It’s hard to replace them once they’re embedded.
$FICO is similar in terms of quality. It has a very strong position and great economics, but it’s closer to the consumer so when it pushes pricing too hard, attract unwanted attention. It’s still a great business, just a bit more exposed.
$CME is a different kind of tollbooth. It doesn’t charge for data or ratings, it charges for activity. Every time someone trades futures or hedges risk, $CME takes a cut. The beautiful part is that volatility actually helps them. When markets get messy, volumes go up, and so does revenue. So instead of being hurt by uncertainty, they benefit from it.
There are more businesses in this category like $ICE, $LESG, $NDAQ, etc.
But $MSCI is the one that stands out to me. On paper, the numbers might look similar, but the type of pricing power is different. $MSCI doesn’t charge individuals or even single institutions in a meaningful way. Its fees are spread across trillions of dollars tied to benchmarks, so almost no one feels the increase directly. That makes its pricing power less noticeable, and because of that it’s better and more durable.
What’s interesting is the meaningful insider buying stock in the open market at prices not far from where it trades today. That’s not something you see often in already well understood, high quality businesses.
So I really do think this financial tollbooth space is a great place to invest. $SPGI, $MCO, $CME, and $FICO are all excellent. But even with all that, I still come back to $MSCI as my favorite. The pricing power is just more elite. Fees are spread across trillions tied to benchmarks, so no one really feels them, and flows come automatically through passive investing and asset allocation. It’s simple, embedded, and very extremely hard to disrupt.
🌹
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@Mindset4Money_X Just entered into a position. The sell-off seems overblown to me. 22x fwd PE for a company growing this quickly, with elite margins, ROCE, buybacks, AND a monopoly?
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@DimitryNakhla @investmish I like that Dimitry and I think I agree. I’ve done more research on $RACE than $RMS - what do you think makes it a better business?
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@ThinknStocks @investmish $RACE is a great business as well. All else equal, I prefer $RMS — but $RACE is a very close second.
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@investmish @DimitryNakhla Fair enough. Yeah, both have come down considerably.
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@ThinknStocks @DimitryNakhla If I had to pick one it would be $HESAY
But I couldn't
$RACE's price too good to pass
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@investmish @DimitryNakhla How would you compare the company against $RACE? Really like them both but $HESAY a bit more expensive.
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@DimitryNakhla In the luxury segment, no stock comes anywhere close
The stock is not on sale, but its a fair price
Wonderful company at a fair price and all that...
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@QualityAtScale_ Added to both $MA and $AMZN recently along with $NFLX. Greedily, I’d love to see $FICO a bit lower so I can start a position.
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@ThinknStocks Yeah, exactly. My next podcast episode will be a portfolio review and one of the three companies I’m reviewing in that episode is $RACE. I’ll document a few reasons why I’m watching it a little closer than other positions. I do like $HESAY a little more between the two.
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Pulled 10-YR monthly returns via Python (Yahoo Finance adj. prices) and ran partial correlations ( $SPY removed) across my portfolio.
Biggest overlaps:
$RACE and $HESAY
$BKNG and $MA
$ICE and $CTAS
Interesting one for me as $RACE sits on my hot seat.
👉 What are you seeing across your portfolio?

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@FinanceJack44 Completely agree. Comfortable holding this one as a larger position. A ‘boring’ stock that will outperform easily imo.
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Been talking about $MA a lot recently, so let me give you my 2 year price targets.
Bull case: $805 (61% upside)
Base case: $716 (44% upside)
Bear case: $580 (16% upside)
Getting a 7.7% CAGR for a bear case implies a solid margin of safety for $MA. In my opinion this is a fantastic "sleep well at night" compounder.

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@1000xStocks I think financials in general have been getting a re-rating. Personally, I’m buying $MA here. It’s not often you get this valuation for the company.
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For almost a decade, $MA rarely traded below 30–35x earnings.
Right now? It’s closer to 25–26x forward P/E.
But here’s the interesting part:
👉 Mastercard just did $32.8B in revenue (+16% YoY)
👉 Profit margins are around 46%
👉 And it generated $17.6B in free cash flow.
All while sitting in a global payments duopoly with $V.
What do you think is the reason?

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@FinanceJack44 True, definitely not as cheap. Still think it offers a good opportunity today though, especially given the extra cash pile which will be used for buybacks.
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@ThinknStocks Seriously considered it during the whole WBD situation. Not as cheap now though unfortunately.
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